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Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) have become very popular as a computational tool for the analysis of sequential data. They are memoryless machines which transition from one internal state to another, while producing symbols. These symbols…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2012-10-01 Ben O`Neill , Tom M. Barlow , Dominik Safranek , Almut Beige

Recently we have presented a hidden variable model of measurements for a qubit where the hidden variable state space dimension is one-half the quantum state manifold dimension. The absence of a short memory (Markov) dynamics is the price…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2011-03-23 Alberto Montina

Aoristic data can be described by a marked point process in time in which the points cannot be observed directly but are known to lie in observable intervals, the marks. We consider Bayesian state estimation for the latent points when the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-25 M. N. M. van Lieshout , R. L. Markwitz

High-quality quantum state generation is essential for advanced quantum information processing, including quantum communication, quantum sensing, and quantum computing. In practice, various error sources degrade the quality of quantum…

We propose a hidden Markov model for univariate proportion time series taking values in (0,1), where regime switching captures latent structural changes and the emission distribution belongs to the Beta family. In each latent state, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Andrea Nigri , Han Lin Shang , Marco Bonetti

Filtering is concerned with the sequential estimation of the state, and uncertainties, of a Markovian system, given noisy observations. It is particularly difficult to achieve accurate filtering in complex dynamical systems, such as those…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-14 Wonjung Lee , Andrew Stuart

The formalism of state estimation and hidden Markov models (HMMs) can simplify and clarify the discussion of stochastic thermodynamics in the presence of feedback and measurement errors. After reviewing the basic formalism, we use it to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-11-13 John Bechhoefer

This paper considers hidden Markov models where the observations are given as the sum of a latent state which lies in a general state space and some independent noise with unknown distribution. It is shown that these fully nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-30 Elisabeth Gassiat , Sylvain Le Corff , Luc Lehéricy

Quanta emitted by an open quantum system carry information about intrinsic parameters, enabling their estimation via continuous monitoring. In practice, however, only a fraction of the emitted quanta is detected, reducing the achievable…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-27 Robert Mattes , Igor Lesanovsky , Albert Cabot

For a wide class of continuous-time Markov processes, including all irreducible hypoelliptic diffusions evolving on an open, connected subset of $\RL^d$, the following are shown to be equivalent: (i) The process satisfies (a slightly weaker…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-27 Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Sean P. Meyn

Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) can be accurately approximated using co-occurrence frequencies of pairs and triples of observations by using a fast spectral method in contrast to the usual slow methods like EM or Gibbs sampling. We provide a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-03-29 Dean P. Foster , Jordan Rodu , Lyle H. Ungar

We investigate the time-dependent, coherent, and dissipative dynamics of bound particles in single multilevel quantum dots in the presence of sequential tunnelling transport. We focus on the nonequilibrium regime where several channels are…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2010-02-11 Eduardo Vaz , Jordan Kyriakidis

In order to steer e-commerce users towards making a purchase, marketers rely upon predictions of when users exit without purchasing. Previously, such predictions were based upon hidden Markov models (HMMs) due to their ability of modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-09 Tobias Hatt , Stefan Feuerriegel

We consider Markov models of stochastic processes where the next-step conditional distribution is defined by a kernel density estimator (KDE), similar to Markov forecast densities and certain time-series bootstrap schemes. The KDE Markov…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-31 Gustav Eje Henter , Arne Leijon , W. Bastiaan Kleijn

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are flexible time series models in which the distributions of the observations depend on unobserved serially correlated states. The state-dependent distributions in HMMs are usually taken from some class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-19 Roland Langrock , Thomas Kneib , Alexander Sohn , Stacy DeRuiter

There is much interest in the Hierarchical Dirichlet Process Hidden Markov Model (HDP-HMM) as a natural Bayesian nonparametric extension of the ubiquitous Hidden Markov Model for learning from sequential and time-series data. However, in…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-11 Matthew J. Johnson , Alan S. Willsky

The development of new fluorescent molecules and dyes requires precise determination of their emission efficiency, which ultimately defines the potential of the developed materials. For this, the photoluminescence quantum yield (QY) is…

Instrumentation and Detectors · Physics 2018-07-27 Bart van Dam , Benjamin Bruhn , Gejza Dohnal , Katerina Dohnalova

Significant achievements in the reduction of classical-noise floor will allow macroscopic systems to prepare nearly Heisenberg-Limited quantum states through a continuous measurement, i.e. conditioning. In order to probe the conditional…

Systems of interacting continuous-time Markov chains are a powerful model class, but inference is typically intractable in high dimensional settings. Auxiliary information, such as noisy observations, is typically only available at discrete…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-21 Giosue Migliorini , Padhraic Smyth

Every quantum system is coupled to an environment. Such system-environment interaction leads to temporal correlation between quantum operations at different times, resulting in non-Markovian noise. In principle, a full characterisation of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-09-01 K. Goswami , C. Giarmatzi , C. Monterola , S. Shrapnel , J. Romero , F. Costa