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De-interleaving of the mixtures of Hidden Markov Processes (HMPs) generally depends on its representation model. Existing representation models consider Markov chain mixtures rather than hidden Markov, resulting in the lack of robustness to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-04 Jiadi Bao , Mengtao Zhu , Yunjie Li , Shafei Wang

We consider the problem of statistical inference for a class of partially-observed diffusion processes, with discretely-observed data and finite-dimensional parameters. We construct unbiased estimators of the score function, i.e. the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-12 Jeremy Heng , Jeremie Houssineau , Ajay Jasra

The approximation of fixed-interval smoothing distributions is a key issue in inference for general state-space hidden Markov models (HMM). This contribution establishes non-asymptotic bounds for the Forward Filtering Backward Smoothing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-30 Cyrille Dubarry , Sylvain Le Corff

A hidden Markov model (HMM) solved recursively by the Viterbi algorithm can be configured to search for persistent, quasimonochromatic gravitational radiation from an isolated or accreting neutron star, whose rotational frequency is unknown…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2021-09-01 A. Melatos , P. Clearwater , S. Suvorova , L. Sun , W. Moran , R. J. Evans

Markov-modulated fluid queues (MMFQs) are a powerful modeling framework for analyzing the performance of computer and communication systems. Their distinguishing feature is that the underlying Markov process evolves on a continuous state…

Performance · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Benny Van Houdt

We consider missing data in the context of hidden Markov models with a focus on situations where data is missing not at random (MNAR) and missingness depends on the identity of the hidden states. In simulations, we show that including a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-08 Maarten Speekenbrink , Ingmar Visser

A regularized vector autoregressive hidden semi-Markov model is developed to analyze multivariate financial time series with switching data generating regimes. Furthermore, an augmented EM algorithm is proposed for parameter estimation by…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-19 Zekun Xu , Ye Liu

In this paper we introduce a novel particle filter scheme for a class of partially-observed multivariate diffusions. %continuous-time dynamic models where the %signal is given by a multivariate diffusion process. We consider a variety of…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-10-24 Paul Fearnhead , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Gareth Roberts

We develop a quantum statistical framework for passive optical surface metrology. Modelling a surface as an incoherent ensemble of point emitters imaged through a diffraction-limited system, we employ techniques from quantum parameter…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-12 Jernej Frank , George Brumpton , Tommaso Tufarelli , Gerardo Adesso , Samanta Piano

We propose a framework for semi-automated annotation of video frames where the video is of an object that at any point in time can be labeled as being in one of a finite number of discrete states. A Hidden Markov Model (HMM) is used to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-12-06 Lex Fridman , Bryan Reimer

State space models (SSMs) provide a flexible framework for modeling complex time series via a latent stochastic process. Inference for nonlinear, non-Gaussian SSMs is often tackled with particle methods that do not scale well to long time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-18 Christopher Aicher , Srshti Putcha , Christopher Nemeth , Paul Fearnhead , Emily B. Fox

In a real life process evolving over time, the relationship between its relevant variables may change. Therefore, it is advantageous to have different inference models for each state of the process. Asymmetric hidden Markov models fulfil…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Carlos Puerto-Santana , Pedro Larrañaga , Concha Bielza

Over the past few decades, the Hawkes process has become a popular framework for modeling temporal events thanks to its flexibility to capture different dependency structures. The objective of this work is to model call sequences emitted by…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Anna Bonnet , Stéphane Robin

Recent theoretical studies in quantum spectroscopy have emphasized the potential of non-classical correlations in entangled photon pairs for selectively targeting specific nonlinear optical processes in nonlinear optical responses. However,…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2026-04-21 Yuta Fujihashi , Ozora Iso , Ryosuke Shimizu , Akihito Ishizaki

In the era of rapidly increasing amounts of time series data, classification of variable objects has become the main objective of time-domain astronomy. Classification of irregularly sampled time series is particularly difficult because the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-21 Sven Dennis Kügler , Nikos Gianniotis , Kai Lars Polsterer

In this article we consider the estimation of static parameters for partially observed diffusion processes with discrete-time observations over a fixed time interval. In particular, when one only has access to time-discretized solutions of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-26 Miguel Alvarez , Ajay Jasra

In preparation for the era of the time-domain astronomy with upcoming large-scale surveys, we propose a state-space representation of a multivariate damped random walk process as a tool to analyze irregularly-spaced multi-filter light…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-11-19 Zhirui Hu , Hyungsuk Tak

The problem of discrete universal filtering, in which the components of a discrete signal emitted by an unknown source and corrupted by a known DMC are to be causally estimated, is considered. A family of filters are derived, and are shown…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Taesup Moon , Tsachy Weissman

The model of light-matter interaction in quantum electrodynamics typically relies on the Markovian approximation, which assumes that the system's future evolution depends solely on its current state, effectively treating it as a…

Quantum metrology utilizes quantum effects to reach higher precision measurements of physical quantities compared with their classical counterparts. However the ubiquitous decoherence obstructs its application. Recently, non-Markovian…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-03-04 Kai Bai , Hong-Gang Luo , Wenxian Zhang , Meng Xiao
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