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Machine learning (ML) systems are increasingly deployed in high-stakes domains where reliability is paramount. This thesis investigates how uncertainty estimation can enhance the safety and trustworthiness of ML, focusing on selective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Stephan Rabanser

Enhancing the performance of trajectory planners for lane - changing vehicles is one of the key challenges in autonomous driving within human - machine mixed traffic. Most existing studies have not incorporated human drivers' prior…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Cailin Lei , Haiyang Wu , Yuxiong Ji , Xiaoyu Cai , Yuchuan Du

Designing a controller for autonomous vehicles capable of providing adequate performance in all driving scenarios is challenging due to the highly complex environment and inability to test the system in the wide variety of scenarios which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-24 Sampo Kuutti , Richard Bowden , Yaochu Jin , Phil Barber , Saber Fallah

Most state-of-the-art works in trajectory forecasting for automotive target predicting the pose and orientation of the agents in the scene. This represents a particularly useful problem, for instance in autonomous driving, but it does not…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Luca Paparusso , Stefano Melzi , Francesco Braghin

Deep Learning methods have been proven to be flexible to model complex phenomena. This has also been the case of Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS), in which several areas such as vehicular perception and traffic analysis have widely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-07 Eric L. Manibardo , Ibai Laña , Javier Del Ser

As a core part of autonomous driving systems, motion planning has received extensive attention from academia and industry. However, real-time trajectory planning capable of spatial-temporal joint optimization is challenged by nonholonomic…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-04-11 Zhichao Han , Yuwei Wu , Tong Li , Lu Zhang , Liuao Pei , Long Xu , Chengyang Li , Changjia Ma , Chao Xu , Shaojie Shen , Fei Gao

Risk is traditionally described as the expected likelihood of an undesirable outcome, such as collisions for autonomous vehicles. Accurately predicting risk or potentially risky situations is critical for the safe operation of autonomous…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-06-10 Kasra Mokhtari , Alan R. Wagner

Deep reinforcement learning has great potential to acquire complex, adaptive behaviors for autonomous agents automatically. However, the underlying neural network polices have not been widely deployed in real-world applications, especially…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-06-04 Tingxiang Fan , Pinxin Long , Wenxi Liu , Jia Pan , Ruigang Yang , Dinesh Manocha

This paper presents a continuous-time optimal control framework for the generation of reference trajectories in driving scenarios with uncertainty. A previous work presented a discrete-time stochastic generator for autonomous vehicles;…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Ange Valli , Shangyuan Zhang , Abdel Lisser

One of the greatest challenges towards fully autonomous cars is the understanding of complex and dynamic scenes. Such understanding is needed for planning of maneuvers, especially those that are particularly frequent such as lane changes.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-05-18 Oliver Scheel , Loren Schwarz , Nassir Navab , Federico Tombari

Trajectory prediction plays a vital role in the performance of autonomous driving systems, and prediction accuracy, such as average displacement error (ADE) or final displacement error (FDE), is widely used as a performance metric. However,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Phong Tran , Haoran Wu , Cunjun Yu , Panpan Cai , Sifa Zheng , David Hsu

Self-driving vehicles (SDVs) hold great potential for improving traffic safety and are poised to positively affect the quality of life of millions of people. To unlock this potential one of the critical aspects of the autonomous technology…

Safe, socially compliant, and efficient navigation of low-speed autonomous vehicles (AVs) in pedestrian-rich environments necessitates considering pedestrians' future positions and interactions with the vehicle and others. Despite the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Mahsa Golchoubian , Moojan Ghafurian , Kerstin Dautenhahn , Nasser Lashgarian Azad

Predicting a vehicle's trajectory is an essential ability for autonomous vehicles navigating through complex urban traffic scenes. Bird's-eye-view roadmap information provides valuable information for making trajectory predictions, and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-01-29 Ross Greer , Nachiket Deo , Mohan Trivedi

To plan safe maneuvers and act with foresight, autonomous vehicles must be capable of accurately predicting the uncertain future. In the context of autonomous driving, deep neural networks have been successfully applied to learning…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-08-02 Salar Arbabi , Davide Tavernini , Saber Fallah , Richard Bowden

Predicting the states of dynamic traffic actors into the future is important for autonomous systems to operate safelyand efficiently. Remarkably, the most critical scenarios aremuch less frequent and more complex than the uncriticalones.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Osama Makansi , Özgün Cicek , Yassine Marrakchi , Thomas Brox

Autonomous driving presents one of the largest problems that the robotics and artificial intelligence communities are facing at the moment, both in terms of difficulty and potential societal impact. Self-driving vehicles (SDVs) are expected…

To safely and efficiently navigate in complex urban traffic, autonomous vehicles must make responsible predictions in relation to surrounding traffic-agents (vehicles, bicycles, pedestrians, etc.). A challenging and critical task is to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-04-10 Yuexin Ma , Xinge Zhu , Sibo Zhang , Ruigang Yang , Wenping Wang , Dinesh Manocha

Dynamical systems are frequently used to model biological systems. When these models are fit to data it is necessary to ascertain the uncertainty in the model fit. Here we present prediction deviation, a new metric of uncertainty that…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-08 Benjamin Letham , Portia A. Letham , Cynthia Rudin , Edward P. Browne

In normal on-road situations, autonomous vehicles will be expected to have smooth trajectories with relatively little demand on the vehicle dynamics to ensure passenger comfort and driving safety. However, the occurrence of unexpected…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-06-26 Florent Altché , Philip Polack , Arnaud de La Fortelle
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