English
Related papers

Related papers: Long-Tail Prediction Uncertainty Aware Trajectory …

200 papers

As machine learning models are increasingly employed to assist human decision-makers, it becomes critical to communicate the uncertainty associated with these model predictions. However, the majority of work on uncertainty has focused on…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-07-29 Daniel D'souza , Zach Nussbaum , Chirag Agarwal , Sara Hooker

We focus on the problem of long-range dynamic replanning for off-road autonomous vehicles, where a robot plans paths through a previously unobserved environment while continuously receiving noisy local observations. An effective approach…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Matt Schmittle , Rohan Baijal , Brian Hou , Siddhartha Srinivasa , Byron Boots

Self-driving vehicles rely on sensory input to monitor their surroundings and continuously adapt to the most likely future road course. Predictive trajectory planning is based on snapshots of the (uncertain) road course as a key input.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Benjamin Bogenberger , Johannes Bürger , Vladislav Nenchev

Conformal prediction has emerged as a rigorous means of providing deep learning models with reliable uncertainty estimates and safety guarantees. Yet, its performance is known to degrade under distribution shift and long-tailed class…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-06 Kevin Kasa , Graham W. Taylor

Research in the field of automated driving has created promising results in the last years. Some research groups have shown perception systems which are able to capture even complicated urban scenarios in great detail. Yet, what is often…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-08-15 Marcus Nolte , Marcel Rose , Torben Stolte , Markus Maurer

Behaviour prediction function of an autonomous vehicle predicts the future states of the nearby vehicles based on the current and past observations of the surrounding environment. This helps enhance their awareness of the imminent hazards.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-08-07 Sajjad Mozaffari , Omar Y. Al-Jarrah , Mehrdad Dianati , Paul Jennings , Alexandros Mouzakitis

Accurate trajectory prediction is crucial for autonomous driving, yet uncertainty in agent behavior and perception noise makes it inherently challenging. While multi-modal trajectory prediction models generate multiple plausible future…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-03-10 Sajad Marvi , Christoph Rist , Julian Schmidt , Julian Jordan , Abhinav Valada

Data-driven models (DDM) based on machine learning and other AI techniques play an important role in the perception of increasingly autonomous systems. Due to the merely implicit definition of their behavior mainly based on the data used…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2022-06-15 Janek Groß , Rasmus Adler , Michael Kläs , Jan Reich , Lisa Jöckel , Roman Gansch

Predicting future behavior of other traffic participants is an essential task that needs to be solved by automated vehicles and human drivers alike to achieve safe and situationaware driving. Modern approaches to vehicles trajectory…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-10-02 Florian Mirus , Terrence C. Stewart , Jorg Conradt

Trajectory prediction in autonomous driving has traditionally been studied from a model-centric perspective. However, existing datasets exhibit a strong long-tail distribution in scenario density, where common low-density cases dominate and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Ruining Yang , Yi Xu , Yun Fu , Lili Su

Reliable uncertainty quantification in trajectory prediction is crucial for safety-critical autonomous driving systems, yet existing deep learning predictors lack uncertainty-aware frameworks adaptable to heterogeneous real-world scenarios.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-12-08 Yiming Shu , Jiahui Xu , Linghuan Kong , Fangni Zhang , Guodong Yin , Chen Sun

Traffic prediction is a crucial topic because of its broad scope of applications in the transportation domain. Recently, various studies have achieved promising results. However, most studies assume the prediction locations have complete or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-07 Hao Mei , Junxian Li , Zhiming Liang , Guanjie Zheng , Bin Shi , Hua Wei

Self-driving vehicles must be able to act intelligently in diverse and difficult environments, marked by high-dimensional state spaces, a myriad of optimization objectives and complex behaviors. Traditionally, classical optimization and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-11-11 Josiah Coad , Zhiqian Qiao , John M. Dolan

While data-driven trajectory prediction has enhanced the reliability of autonomous driving systems, it still struggles with rarely observed long-tail scenarios. Prior works addressed this by modifying model architectures, such as using…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-31 Daehee Park , Monu Surana , Pranav Desai , Ashish Mehta , Reuben MV John , Kuk-Jin Yoon

Annually, a large number of injuries and deaths around the world are related to motor vehicle accidents. This value has recently been reduced to some extent, via the use of driver-assistance systems. Developing driver-assistance systems…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-05-18 Zahra Salahshoori Nejad , Hamed Heravi , Ali Rahimpour Jounghani , Abdollah Shahrezaie , Afshin Ebrahimi

The autonomous driving industry is expected to grow by over 20 times in the coming decade and, thus, motivate researchers to delve into it. The primary focus of their research is to ensure safety, comfort, and efficiency. An autonomous…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-04-19 Jilan Samiuddin , Benoit Boulet , Di Wu

Trajectory planning is vital for autonomous driving, ensuring safe and efficient navigation in complex environments. While recent learning-based methods, particularly reinforcement learning (RL), have shown promise in specific scenarios, RL…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Dongkun Zhang , Jiaming Liang , Ke Guo , Sha Lu , Qi Wang , Rong Xiong , Zhenwei Miao , Yue Wang

High capacity end-to-end approaches for human motion (behavior) prediction have the ability to represent subtle nuances in human behavior, but struggle with robustness to out of distribution inputs and tail events. Planning-based…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-07-14 Liting Sun , Xiaogang Jia , Anca D. Dragan

In autonomous driving, accurate motion prediction is crucial for safe and efficient motion planning. To ensure safety, planners require reliable uncertainty estimates of the predicted behavior of surrounding agents, yet this aspect has…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Aron Distelzweig , Andreas Look , Eitan Kosman , Faris Janjoš , Jörg Wagner , Abhinav Valada

Efficient trajectory planning for urban intersections is currently one of the most challenging tasks for an Autonomous Vehicle (AV). Courteous behavior towards other traffic participants, the AV's comfort and its progression in the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-10-08 Oliver Speidel , Maximilian Graf , Ankit Kaushik , Thanh Phan-Huu , Andreas Wedel , Klaus Dietmayer