English
Related papers

Related papers: Optimal Estimation of Generic Dynamics by Path-Dep…

200 papers

We present data-dependent learning bounds for the general scenario of non-stationary non-mixing stochastic processes. Our learning guarantees are expressed in terms of a data-dependent measure of sequential complexity and a discrepancy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-16 Vitaly Kuznetsov , Mehryar Mohri

The governing equations of stochastic dynamical systems often become cost-prohibitive for numerical simulation at large scales. Surrogate models of the governing equations, learned from data of the high-fidelity system, are routinely used…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Joanna Zou , Han Cheng Lie , Youssef Marzouk

In this chapter, we utilize dynamical systems to analyze several aspects of machine learning algorithms. As an expository contribution we demonstrate how to re-formulate a wide variety of challenges from deep neural networks, (stochastic)…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Dennis Chemnitz , Maximilian Engel , Christian Kuehn , Sara-Viola Kuntz

In this article, we employ a collection of stochastic differential equations with drift and diffusion coefficients approximated by neural networks to predict the trend of chaotic time series which has big jump properties. Our contributions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-04 Luxuan Yang , Ting Gao , Yubin Lu , Jinqiao Duan , Tao Liu

We propose a continuous neural network architecture, termed Explainable Tensorized Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (ETN-ODE), for multi-step time series prediction at arbitrary time points. Unlike the existing approaches, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-13 Penglei Gao , Xi Yang , Rui Zhang , Kaizhu Huang

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are widely used to describe the time evolution of natural phenomena across various scientific fields. Estimating the parameters of these systems from data is a challenging task, particularly when…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-23 S. Syafiie , Aries Subiantoro , Vivi Andasari , Fernando Tadeo

Numerical stochastic perturbation theory is a powerful tool for estimating high-order perturbative expansions in lattice field theory. The standard algorithms based on the Langevin equation, however, suffer from several limitations which in…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2017-09-11 Mattia Dalla Brida , Marco Garofalo , A. D. Kennedy

This work proposes a general framework for capturing noise-driven transitions in spatially extended non-equilibrium systems and explains the emergence of coherent patterns beyond the instability onset. The framework relies on stochastic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-12-16 Mickaël D. Chekroun , Honghu Liu , James C. McWilliams

Traffic forecasting, which benefits from mobile Internet development and position technologies, plays a critical role in Intelligent Transportation Systems. It helps to implement rich and varied transportation applications and bring…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Chengzhi Yao , Zhi Li , Junbo Wang

Time series forecasting based on deep architectures has been gaining popularity in recent years due to their ability to model complex non-linear temporal dynamics. The recurrent neural network is one such model capable of handling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-28 Zexuan Yin , Paolo Barucca

Predicting irregularly spaced event sequences with discrete marks poses significant challenges due to the complex, asynchronous dependencies embedded within continuous-time data streams.Existing sequential approaches capture dependencies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Yuxiang Liu , Qiao Liu , Tong Luo , Yanglei Gan , Peng He , Yao LIu

Detecting anomalies in irregularly sampled multi-variate time-series is challenging, especially in data-scarce settings. Here we introduce an anomaly detection framework for irregularly sampled time-series that leverages neural jump…

Gaussian processes (GPs) furnish accurate nonlinear predictions with well-calibrated uncertainty. However, the typical GP setup has a built-in stationarity assumption, making it ill-suited for modeling data from processes with sudden…

We develop a novel data-driven framework as an alternative to dynamic flux balance analysis, bypassing the demand for deep domain knowledge and manual efforts to formulate the optimization problem. The proposed framework is end-to-end,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-21 Santanu Rathod , Pietro Lio , Xiao Zhang

This paper investigates the mean square exponential stabilization problem for a class of coupled PDE-ODE systems with Markov jump parameters. The considered system consists of multiple coupled hyperbolic PDEs and a finite-dimensional ODE,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-06 Kaijing Lyu , Umberto Biccari , Junmin Wang

Predicting discrete events in time and space has many scientific applications, such as predicting hazardous earthquakes and outbreaks of infectious diseases. History-dependent spatio-temporal Hawkes processes are often used to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Negar Erfanian , Santiago Segarra , Maarten de Hoop

We analyze the convergence of gradient-based optimization algorithms that base their updates on delayed stochastic gradient information. The main application of our results is to the development of gradient-based distributed optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-05-02 Alekh Agarwal , John C. Duchi

Economic forecasting is concerned with the estimation of some variable like gross domestic product (GDP) in the next period given a set of variables that describes the current situation or state of the economy, including industrial…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-08 Pedro Afonso Fernandes

Up to now, the nonparametric analysis of multidimensional continuous-time Markov processes has focussed strongly on specific model choices, mostly related to symmetry of the semigroup. While this approach allows to study the performance of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-04 Niklas Dexheimer , Claudia Strauch , Lukas Trottner

We present a powerful general framework for designing data-dependent optimization algorithms, building upon and unifying recent techniques in adaptive regularization, optimistic gradient predictions, and problem-dependent randomization. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-10-14 Mehryar Mohri , Scott Yang