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Adaptive seamless designs combine confirmatory testing, a domain of phase III trials, with features such as treatment or subgroup selection, typically associated with phase II trials. They promise to increase the efficiency of development…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-25 Tim Friede , Nigel Stallard , Nicholas Parsons

The traditional more-is-better dose selection paradigm, developed based on cytotoxic chemotherapeutics, is often problematic When applied to the development of novel molecularly targeted agents (e.g., kinase inhibitors, monoclonal…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-04 Liyun Jiang , Ying Yuan

The two-stage preference design (TSPD) enables the inference for treatment efficacy while allowing for incorporation of patient preference to treatment. It can provide unbiased estimates for selection and preference effects, where a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-28 Ruyi Liu , Fan Li , Denise Esserman , Mary M. Ryan

Group sequential designs drive innovation in clinical, industrial, and corporate settings. Early stopping for failure in sequential designs conserves experimental resources, whereas early stopping for success accelerates access to improved…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-27 Luke Hagar , Shirin Golchi , Marina B. Klein

Crossover designs are an extremely useful tool to investigators, whilst group sequential methods have proven highly proficient at improving the efficiency of parallel group trials. Yet, group sequential methods and crossover designs have…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-11 Michael Grayling , James Wason , Adrian Mander

Background: Drug development is often inefficient, costly and lengthy, yet it is essential for evaluating the safety and efficacy of new interventions. Compared with other disease areas, this is particularly true for Phase II / III cancer…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-13 Abigail Burdon , Thomas Jaki , Xijin Chen , Pavel Mozgunov , Haiyan Zheng , Richard Baird

A group sequential clinical trial design can be an attractive option when planning a pivotal trial as this approach has the ability to stop the trial early for success, whilst also being well accepted from a regulatory review perspective.…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-03 Fraser I Lewis

Adaptive designs have been proposed for clinical trials in which the nuisance parameters or alternative of interest are unknown or likely to be misspecified before the trial. Whereas most previous works on adaptive designs and mid-course…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-05-18 Jay Bartroff , Tze Leung Lai

In a group sequential clinical trial, accumulated data are analysed at numerous time-points in order to allow early decisions about a hypothesis of interest. These designs have historically been recommended for their ethical, administrative…

Computation · Statistics 2017-11-29 Michael Grayling , James Wason , Adrian Mander

Recently, methodology was presented to facilitate the incorporation of interim analyses in stepped-wedge (SW) cluster randomised trials (CRTs). Here, we extend this previous discussion. We detail how the stopping boundaries, allocation…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-28 Michael Grayling , David Robertson , James Wason , Adrian Mander

Adaptive approaches, allowing for more flexible trial design, have been proposed for individually randomized trials to save time or reduce sample size. However, adaptive designs for cluster-randomized trials in which groups of participants…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-10 Junwei Shen , Shirin Golchi , Erica E. M. Moodie , David Benrimoh

Biomarker subpopulations have become increasingly important for drug development in targeted therapies. The use of biomarkers has the potential to facilitate more effective outcomes by guiding patient selection appropriately, thus enhancing…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-07 Ting-Yu Chen , Jing Zhao , Linda Sun , Keaven Anderson

Group sequential design (GSD) is widely used in clinical trials in which correlated tests of multiple hypotheses are used. Multiple primary objectives resulting in tests with known correlations include evaluating 1) multiple experimental…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-22 Keaven M. Anderson , Zifang Guo , Jing Zhao , Linda Z. Sun

To generalize inferences from a randomized trial to the target population of all trial-eligible individuals, investigators can use nested trial designs, where the randomized individuals are nested within a cohort of trial-eligible…

The win ratio is increasingly used in randomized trials due to its intuitive clinical interpretation, ability to incorporate the relative importance of composite endpoints, and its capacity for combining different types of outcomes (e.g.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Tracy Bergemann , Tim Hanson

The development of targeted therapies, which benefit only a subgroup of patients treated for a given type of cancer, has been extremely attractive to many investigators. Adaptive seamless phase II/III designs in oncology clinical trials…

Applications · Statistics 2016-03-08 Ryuji Uozumi , Chikuma Hamada

The Win Ratio has gained significant traction in cardiovascular trials as a novel method for analyzing composite endpoints (Pocock and others, 2012). Compared with conventional approaches based on time to the first event, the Win Ratio…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-10 Baoshan Zhang , Yuan Wu

The US FDA's Project Optimus initiative that emphasizes dose optimization prior to marketing approval represents a pivotal shift in oncology drug development. It has a ripple effect for rethinking what changes may be made to conventional…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-04 Yuhan Li , Yiding Zhang , Gu Mi , Ji Lin

Due to ethical and economical reasons, sequential single-arm trial designs are used for assessing the therapeutic efficacy of new treatments in phase II trials. Simon's 2-stage design and Lan-DeMets' $\alpha$-spending function method with…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-31 Tasuku Inao , Isao Yokota

Adaptive sample size re-estimation, early stopping, and trial re-design at interim analyses can reduce expected sample sizes in randomised trials. Cluster randomised trials, in which groups of participants are randomly allocated to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-09 Samuel I. Watson , James Martin
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