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When a novel treatment has successfully passed phase I, different options to design subsequent phase II trials are available. One approach is a single-arm trial, comparing the response rate in the intervention group against a fixed…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-03 Johannes Krisam , Dorothea Weber , Richard F. Schlenk , Meinhard Kieser

Thanks to computing power increase, the certification and the conception of complex systems relies more and more on simulation. To this end, predictive codes are needed, which have generally to be evaluated in a huge number of input points.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-06 Sophie Marque-Pucheu , Guillaume Perrin , Josselin Garnier

There is a growing interest in the implementation of platform trials, which provide the flexibility to incorporate new treatment arms during the trial and the ability to halt treatments early based on lack of benefit or observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-25 Peter Greenstreet , Thomas Jaki , Alun Bedding , Pavel Mozgunov

2-in-1 design (Chen et al. 2018) is becoming popular in oncology drug development, with the flexibility of using different endpoints at different decision time. Based on the observed interim data, sponsors choose either to seamlessly…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-15 Runjia Li , Liwen Wu , Rachael Liu , Jianchang Lin

Practical employment of Bayesian trial designs is still rare. Even if accepted in principle, the regulators have commonly required that such designs be calibrated according to an upper bound for the frequentist type I error rate. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-25 Elja Arjas , Dario Gasbarra

There is growing interest in platform trials that allow for adding of new treatment arms as the trial progresses as well as being able to stop treatments part way through the trial for either lack of benefit/futility or for superiority. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-14 Peter Greenstreet , Thomas Jaki , Alun Bedding , Chris Harbron , Pavel Mozgunov

Tumor response, a binary variable, has historically been the main measure of antitumor activity for many cancer phase II single-arm trials. Simon two-stage designs are often used. Sargent et al. proposed a three-outcome trial design in this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-20 Minghua Shan

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) can be used to generate guarantees on treatment effects. However, RCTs often spend unnecessary resources exploring sub-optimal treatments, which can reduce the power of treatment guarantees. To address…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-10-16 Santiago Cortes-Gomez , Naveen Raman , Aarti Singh , Bryan Wilder

Test procedures for multiple hypotheses in a group sequential clinical trial that control the family-wise error rate are considered. Several graphical group sequential tests suggested in the literature, which are special cases of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-13 Liane Kluge , Werner Brannath

Primarily motivated by the drug development process, several publications have now presented methodology for the design of multi-arm multi-stage experiments with normally distributed outcome variables of known variance. Here, we extend…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-04 Michael Grayling , James Wason , Adrian Mander

In industrial engineering and manufacturing, quality control is an essential part of the production process of a product. To ensure proper functionality of a manufactured good, rigorous testing has to be performed to identify defective…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-02 Michael Balzer

Because of the high cost of commercial genotyping chip technologies, many investigations have used a two-stage design for genome-wide association studies, using part of the sample for an initial discovery of ``promising'' SNPs at a less…

Clinical trials with time-to-event endpoints, such as overall survival (OS) or progression-free survival (PFS), are fundamental for evaluating new treatments, particularly in immuno-oncology. However, modern therapies, such as…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-10 James Salsbury , Jeremy Oakley , Steven Julious , Lisa Hampson

In the search for effective treatments for COVID-19, initial emphasis has been on re-purposed treatments. To maximise the chances of finding successful treatments, novel treatments that have been developed for this disease in particular,…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-14 Thomas Jaki , Helen Barnett , Andrew Titman , Pavel Mozgunov

Clinical research and drug development in orphan diseases is challenging, since large-scale randomized studies are difficult to conduct. Formally synthesizing the evidence is therefore of great value, yet this is rarely done in the drug…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-11 Simon Wandel , Beat Neuenschwander , Tim Friede , Christian Röver

In large scale collective decision making, social choice is a normative study of how one ought to design a protocol for reaching consensus. However, in instances where the underlying decision space is too large or complex for ordinal…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-10-03 Brandon Fain , Ashish Goel , Kamesh Munagala , Sukolsak Sakshuwong

We consider clinical trials in which an experimental treatment is compared with a control in pre-specified patient subpopulations. In such settings, adaptive enrichment designs allow the enrolled population to be modified at an interim…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Enyu Li , Nigel Stallard , Ekkehard Glimm , Dominic Magirr , Peter K. Kimani

Purpose: The 3+3 design has been shown to be less likely to achieve the objectives of phase I dose-finding trials when compared with more advanced model-based designs. One major criticism of the 3+3 design is that it is based on simple…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-30 Meizi Liu , Sue-Jane Wang , Yuan Ji

Multi-arm multi-stage trial designs can bring notable gains in efficiency to the drug development process. However, for normally distributed endpoints, the determination of a design typically depends on the assumption that the patient…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-11 Michael Grayling , James Wason , Adrian Mander

When designing confirmatory Phase 3 studies, one usually evaluates one or more efficacious and safe treatment option(s) based on data from previous studies. However, several retrospective research articles reported the phenomenon of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-25 Tianyu Zhan