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We study fairness in Machine Learning (FairML) through the lens of attribute-based explanations generated for machine learning models. Our hypothesis is: Biased Models have Biased Explanations. To establish that, we first translate existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-22 Aditya Jain , Manish Ravula , Joydeep Ghosh

The choice of model class is fundamental in statistical learning and system identification, no matter whether the class is derived from physical principles or is a generic black-box. We develop a method to evaluate the specified model class…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-20 Andreas Svensson , Dave Zachariah , Thomas B. Schön

Probabilistic modeling is cyclical: we specify a model, infer its posterior, and evaluate its performance. Evaluation drives the cycle, as we revise our model based on how it performs. This requires a metric. Traditionally, predictive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-25 Alp Kucukelbir , David M. Blei

Deep learning is extensively used in many areas of data mining as a black-box method with impressive results. However, understanding the core mechanism of how deep learning makes predictions is a relatively understudied problem. Here we…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-03-28 Michael Livanos , Ian Davidson

Machine learning models can assign fixed predictions that preclude individuals from changing their outcome. Existing approaches to audit fixed predictions do so on a pointwise basis, which requires access to an existing dataset of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-10 Connor Lawless , Tsui-Wei Weng , Berk Ustun , Madeleine Udell

Machine learning models are increasingly integrated into societally critical applications such as recidivism prediction and medical diagnosis, thanks to their superior predictive power. In these applications, however, full automation is…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-03-18 Vivian Lai , Samuel Carton , Chenhao Tan

Statistical modeling is a powerful tool for developing and testing theories by way of causal explanation, prediction, and description. In many disciplines there is near-exclusive use of statistical modeling for causal explanation and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-01-06 Galit Shmueli

A common approach in forecasting problems is to estimate a least-squares regression (or other statistical learning models) from past data, which is then applied to predict future outcomes. An underlying assumption is that the same…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-22 Malte Schierholz

Machine learning models are central to people's lives and impact society in ways as fundamental as determining how people access information. The gravity of these models imparts a responsibility to model developers to ensure that they are…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-13 Cyrus DiCiccio , Sriram Vasudevan , Kinjal Basu , Krishnaram Kenthapadi , Deepak Agarwal

Before deploying a black-box model in high-stakes problems, it is important to evaluate the model's performance on sensitive subpopulations. For example, in a recidivism prediction task, we may wish to identify demographic groups for which…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-09 John J. Cherian , Emmanuel J. Candès

Data-trained predictive models see widespread use, but for the most part they are used as black boxes which output a prediction or score. It is therefore hard to acquire a deeper understanding of model behavior, and in particular how…

Although contrastive and other representation-learning methods have long been explored in vision and NLP, their adoption in modern time series forecasters remains limited. We believe they hold strong promise for this domain. To unlock this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Yifan Hu , Jie Yang , Tian Zhou , Peiyuan Liu , Yujin Tang , Rong Jin , Liang Sun

Forecasts of various processes have always been a sophisticated problem for statistics and data science. Over the past decades the solution procedures were updated by deep learning and kernel methods. According to many specialists, these…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Igor Mackarov

Machine learning methods are being increasingly applied in sensitive societal contexts, where decisions impact human lives. Hence it has become necessary to build capabilities for providing easily-interpretable explanations of models'…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Alfredo Carrillo , Luis F. Cantú , Luis Tejerina , Alejandro Noriega

We observe that the human trajectory is not only forward predictable, but also backward predictable. Both forward and backward trajectories follow the same social norms and obey the same physical constraints with the only difference in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-04-10 Hao Sun , Zhiqun Zhao , Zhihai He

Nowadays, many decisions are made using predictive models built on historical data.Predictive models may systematically discriminate groups of people even if the computing process is fair and well-intentioned. Discrimination-aware data…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2015-11-23 Indre Zliobaite

Modern data analytics underpinned by machine learning techniques has become a key enabler to the automation of data-led decision making. As an important branch of state-of-the-art data analytics, business process predictions are also faced…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-07-22 Chun Ouyang , Renuka Sindhgatta , Catarina Moreira

Machine learning (ML) applications have automated numerous real-life tasks, improving both private and public life. However, the black-box nature of many state-of-the-art models poses the challenge of model verification; how can one be sure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Ioannis Papantonis , Vaishak Belle

Informed machine learning methods allow the integration of prior knowledge into learning systems. This can increase accuracy and robustness or reduce data needs. However, existing methods often assume hard constraining knowledge, that does…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Christian Schlauch , Nadja Klein , Christian Wirth

Biological systems are often modelled at different levels of abstraction depending on the particular aims/resources of a study. Such different models often provide qualitatively concordant predictions over specific parametrisations, but it…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-10 Giulio Caravagna , Luca Bortolussi , Guido Sanguinetti