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Predictive analysis in business process monitoring aims at forecasting the future information of a running business process. The prediction is typically made based on the model extracted from historical process execution logs (event logs).…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-04-25 Ario Santoso , Michael Felderer

The shift from the understanding and prediction of processes to their optimization offers great benefits to businesses and other organizations. Precisely timed process interventions are the cornerstones of effective optimization.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-08 Hans Weytjens , Wouter Verbeke , Jochen De Weerdt

Imagining potential outcomes of actions before execution helps agents make more informed decisions, a prospective thinking ability fundamental to human cognition. However, mainstream model-free Reinforcement Learning (RL) methods lack the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-01 Liangliang Liu , Yi Guan , BoRan Wang , Rujia Shen , Yi Lin , Chaoran Kong , Lian Yan , Jingchi Jiang

Multi-stage decision-making under uncertainty, where decisions are taken under sequentially revealing uncertain problem parameters, is often essential to faithfully model managerial problems. Given the significant computational challenges…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Simon Thomä , Maximilian Schiffer , Wolfram Wiesemann

The large majority of inferences drawn in empirical political research follow from model-based associations (e.g. regression). Here, we articulate the benefits of predictive modeling as a complement to this approach. Predictive models aim…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-20 Skyler J. Cranmer , Bruce A. Desmarais

Process mining enables the reconstruction and evaluation of business processes based on digital traces in IT systems. An increasingly important technique in this context is process prediction. Given a sequence of events of an ongoing trace,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-09 Dominic A. Neu , Johannes Lahann , Peter Fettke

Feature engineering is a crucial step in the process of predictive modeling. It involves the transformation of given feature space, typically using mathematical functions, with the objective of reducing the modeling error for a given…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-09-22 Udayan Khurana , Horst Samulowitz , Deepak Turaga

The field of motion prediction for automated driving has seen tremendous progress recently, bearing ever-more mighty neural network architectures. Leveraging these powerful models bears great potential for the closely related planning task.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-08-15 Marcel Hallgarten , Martin Stoll , Andreas Zell

To make good decisions in the real world people need efficient planning strategies because their computational resources are limited. Knowing which planning strategies would work best for people in different situations would be very useful…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Saksham Consul , Lovis Heindrich , Jugoslav Stojcheski , Falk Lieder

We address the problem of prescribing an optimal decision in a framework where the cost function depends on uncertain problem parameters that need to be learned from data. Earlier work proposed prescriptive formulations based on supervised…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-09 Dimitris Bertsimas , Bart Van Parys

In recent years, there is a growing interest in combining techniques attributed to the areas of Statistics and Machine Learning in order to obtain the benefits of both approaches. In this article, the statistical technique lasso for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-08 David Delgado , Ernesto Curbelo , Danae Carreras

Most clinical prediction studies are developed from retrospective cohorts and reported as if all patient information were observed at once. In practice, clinicians face a more consequential question: \emph{when is there already enough…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-27 Hui-Mean Foo , Yuan-chin Ivan Chang

A desirable property of learning systems is to be both effective and interpretable. Towards this goal, recent models have been proposed that first generate an extractive explanation from the input text and then generate a prediction on just…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-02-05 Zijian Zhang , Koustav Rudra , Avishek Anand

Time series forecasts are widely used to inform decisions. Human decision-makers interpret these forecasts, incorporate prior experience and uncertainty about future outcomes, and then make a decision. In this paper, we propose a new…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-01 Daniel Andrew Coulson , Martin T. Wells

Many computer vision algorithms depend on a variety of parameter choices and settings that are typically hand-tuned in the course of evaluating the algorithm. While such parameter tuning is often presented as being incidental to the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2012-09-25 J. Bergstra , D. Yamins , D. D. Cox

Preprocessing forms an oft-neglected foundation for a wide range of statistical and scientific analyses. However, it is rife with subtleties and pitfalls. Decisions made in preprocessing constrain all later analyses and are typically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-27 Alexander W. Blocker , Xiao-Li Meng

Capabilities of inference and prediction are significant components of visual systems. In this paper, we address an important and challenging task of them: visual path prediction. Its goal is to infer the future path for a visual object in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-12-16 Siyu Huang , Xi Li , Zhongfei Zhang , Zhouzhou He , Fei Wu , Wei Liu , Jinhui Tang , Yueting Zhuang

It has been found that stochastic algorithms often find good solutions much more rapidly than inherently-batch approaches. Indeed, a very useful rule of thumb is that often, when solving a machine learning problem, an iterative technique…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-08-19 Andrew Cotter

Selective Prediction is the task of rejecting inputs a model would predict incorrectly on. This involves a trade-off between input space coverage (how many data points are accepted) and model utility (how good is the performance on accepted…

Machine learning (ML) has emerged as a powerful tool for tackling complex regression and classification tasks, yet its success often hinges on the quality of training data. This study introduces an ML paradigm inspired by domain knowledge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-10 Mohsen Rashki
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