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Uncertainty quantification is a crucial step of cosmological mass-mapping that is often ignored. Suggested methods are typically only approximate or make strong assumptions of Gaussianity of the shear field. Probabilistic sampling methods,…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-06-22 Augustin Marignier , Thomas Kitching , Jason D. McEwen , Ana M. G. Ferreira

We propose an efficient Bayesian MCMC algorithm for estimating cosmological parameters from CMB data without use of likelihood approximations. It builds on a previously developed Gibbs sampling framework that allows for exploration of the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-03-29 Benjamin Racine , Jeffrey B. Jewell , Hans Kristian K. Eriksen , Ingunn K. Wehus

We present a method of calibrating the properties of photometric redshift bins as part of a larger Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) analysis for the inference of cosmological parameters. The redshift bins are characterised by their mean and…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-12-02 Michael McLeod , Sreekumar T. Balan , Filipe B. Abdalla

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques are now widely used for cosmological parameter estimation. Chains are generated to sample the posterior probability distribution obtained following the Bayesian approach. An important issue is how…

We present general, analytic methods for Cosmological likelihood analysis and solve the "many-parameters" problem in Cosmology. Maxima are found by Newton's Method, while marginalization over nuisance parameters, and parameter errors and…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-18 A. N. Taylor , T. D. Kitching

We use the mock catalog of galaxies, constructed based on the COSMOS galaxy catalog including information on photometric redshifts (photo-z) and SED types of galaxies, in order to study how to define a galaxy subsample suitable for weak…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-18 Atsushi J. Nishizawa , Masahiro Takada , Takashi Hamana , Hisanori Furusawa

We study the sensitivity of weak lensing surveys to the effects of catastrophic redshift errors - cases where the true redshift is misestimated by a significant amount. To compute the biases in cosmological parameters, we adopt an efficient…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2010-01-28 Gary Bernstein , Dragan Huterer

In this paper, we describe a procedure for modelling strong lensing galaxy clusters with parametric methods, and to rank models quantitatively using the Bayesian evidence. We use a publicly available Markov chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) sampler…

We present an independent calibration of the photometric redshift (photo-$z$) distributions for source galaxies in the HSC-Y3 weak lensing survey using small-scale galaxy-galaxy lensing. By measuring the tangential shear around…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-03-31 Divya Rana , Surhud More , Hironao Miyatake , Sunao Sugiyama , Tianqing Zhang , Masato Shirasaki

Bayesian modelling and computational inference by Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a principled framework for large-scale uncertainty quantification, though is limited in practice by computational cost when implemented in the simplest…

Computation · Statistics 2020-09-21 Colin Fox , Tiangang Cui , Markus Neumayer

Determining the distribution of redshifts for galaxies in wide-field photometric surveys is essential for robust cosmological studies of weak gravitational lensing. We present the methodology, calibrated redshift distributions, and…

Weak gravitational lensing is becoming a mature technique for constraining cosmological parameters, and future surveys will be able to constrain the dark energy equation of state $w$. When analyzing galaxy surveys, redshift information has…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-10-07 Andrea Petri , Morgan May , Zoltán Haiman

We use numerical simulations to characterize the performance of a clustering-based method to calibrate photometric redshift biases. In particular, we cross-correlate the weak lensing (WL) source galaxies from the Dark Energy Survey Year 1…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-03-14 M. Gatti , P. Vielzeuf , C. Davis , R. Cawthon , M. M. Rau , J. DeRose , J. De Vicente , A. Alarcon , E. Rozo , E. Gaztanaga , B. Hoyle , R. Miquel , G. M. Bernstein , C. Bonnett , A. Carnero Rosell , F. J. Castander , C. Chang , L. N. da Costa , D. Gruen , J. Gschwend , W. G. Hartley , H. Lin , N. MacCrann , M. A. G. Maia , R. L. C. Ogando , A. Roodman , I. Sevilla-Noarbe , M. A. Troxel , R. H. Wechsler , J. Asorey , T. M. Davis , K. Glazebrook , S. R. Hinton , G. Lewis , C. Lidman , E. Macaulay , A. Möller , C. R. O'Neill , N. E. Sommer , S. A. Uddin , F. Yuan , B. Zhang , T. M. C. Abbott , S. Allam , J. Annis , K. Bechtol , D. Brooks , D. L. Burke , D. Carollo , M. Carrasco Kind , J. Carretero , C. E. Cunha , C. B. D'Andrea , D. L. DePoy , S. Desai , T. F. Eifler , A. E. Evrard , B. Flaugher , P. Fosalba , J. Frieman , J. García-Bellido , D. W. Gerdes , D. A. Goldstein , R. A. Gruendl , G. Gutierrez , K. Honscheid , J. K. Hoormann , B. Jain , D. J. James , M. Jarvis , T. Jeltema , M. W. G. Johnson , M. D. Johnson , E. Krause , K. Kuehn , S. Kuhlmann , N. Kuropatkin , T. S. Li , M. Lima , J. L. Marshall , P. Melchior , F. Menanteau , R. C. Nichol , B. Nord , A. A. Plazas , K. Reil , E. S. Rykoff , M. Sako , E. Sanchez , V. Scarpine , M. Schubnell , E. Sheldon , M. Smith , R. C. Smith , M. Soares-Santos , F. Sobreira , E. Suchyta , M. E. C. Swanson , G. Tarle , D. Thomas , B. E. Tucker , D. L. Tucker , V. Vikram , A. R. Walker , J. Weller , W. Wester , R. C. Wolf

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) provide a promising framework for modeling predictive uncertainty and enhancing out-of-distribution robustness (OOD) by estimating the posterior distribution of network parameters. Stochastic Gradient Markov…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Hyunsu Kim , Giung Nam , Chulhee Yun , Hongseok Yang , Juho Lee

In many hierarchical inverse problems, not only do we want to estimate high- or infinite-dimensional model parameters in the parameter-to-observable maps, but we also have to estimate hyperparameters that represent critical assumptions in…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-18 Johnathan Bardsley , Tiangang Cui

We describe the derivation and validation of redshift distribution estimates and their uncertainties for the galaxies used as weak lensing sources in the Dark Energy Survey (DES) Year 1 cosmological analyses. The Bayesian Photometric…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-05-15 B. Hoyle , D. Gruen , G. M. Bernstein , M. M. Rau , J. De Vicente , W. G. Hartley , E. Gaztanaga , J. DeRose , M. A. Troxel , C. Davis , A. Alarcon , N. MacCrann , J. Prat , C. Sánchez , E. Sheldon , R. H. Wechsler , J. Asorey , M. R. Becker , C. Bonnett , A. Carnero Rosell , D. Carollo , M. Carrasco Kind , F. J. Castander , R. Cawthon , C. Chang , M. Childress , T. M. Davis , A. Drlica-Wagner , M. Gatti , K. Glazebrook , J. Gschwend , S. R. Hinton , J. K. Hoormann , A. G. Kim , A. King , K. Kuehn , G. Lewis , C. Lidman , H. Lin , E. Macaulay , M. A. G. Maia , P. Martini , D. Mudd , A. Möller , R. C. Nichol , R. L. C. Ogando , R. P. Rollins , A. Roodman , A. J. Ross , E. Rozo , E. S. Rykoff , S. Samuroff , I. Sevilla-Noarbe , R. Sharp , N. E. Sommer , B. E. Tucker , S. A. Uddin , T. N. Varga , P. Vielzeuf , F. Yuan , B. Zhang , T. M. C. Abbott , F. B. Abdalla , S. Allam , J. Annis , K. Bechtol , A. Benoit-Lévy , E. Bertin , D. Brooks , E. Buckley-Geer , D. L. Burke , M. T. Busha , D. Capozzi , J. Carretero , M. Crocce , C. B. D'Andrea , L. N. da Costa , D. L. DePoy , S. Desai , H. T. Diehl , P. Doel , T. F. Eifler , J. Estrada , A. E. Evrard , E. Fernandez , B. Flaugher , P. Fosalba , J. Frieman , J. García-Bellido , D. W. Gerdes , T. Giannantonio , D. A. Goldstein , R. A. Gruendl , G. Gutierrez , K. Honscheid , D. J. James , M. Jarvis , T. Jeltema , M. W. G. Johnson , M. D. Johnson , D. Kirk , E. Krause , S. Kuhlmann , N. Kuropatkin , O. Lahav , T. S. Li , M. Lima , M. March , J. L. Marshall , P. Melchior , F. Menanteau , R. Miquel , B. Nord , C. R. O'Neill , A. A. Plazas , A. K. Romer , M. Sako , E. Sanchez , B. Santiago , V. Scarpine , R. Schindler , M. Schubnell , M. Smith , R. C. Smith , M. Soares-Santos , F. Sobreira , E. Suchyta , M. E. C. Swanson , G. Tarle , D. Thomas , D. L. Tucker , V. Vikram , A. R. Walker , J. Weller , W. Wester , R. C. Wolf , B. Yanny , J. Zuntz

A trustworthy estimate of the redshift distribution $n(z)$ is crucial for using weak gravitational lensing and large-scale structure of galaxy catalogs to study cosmology. Spectroscopic redshifts for the dim and numerous galaxies of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-07-27 Alex I. Malz , David W. Hogg

Systematic uncertainties that have been subdominant in past large-scale structure (LSS) surveys are likely to exceed statistical uncertainties of current and future LSS data sets, potentially limiting the extraction of cosmological…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-10-21 Tim Eifler , Elisabeth Krause , Scott Dodelson , Andrew Zentner , Andrew Hearin , Nickolay Gnedin

Weak gravitational lensing induces flux dependent fluctuations in the observed galaxy number density distribution. This cosmic magnification (magnification bias) effect in principle enables lensing reconstruction alternative to cosmic shear…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-12-04 Ruijie Ma , Pengjie Zhang , Yu Yu , Jian Qin

We present photometric redshift estimates for galaxies used in the weak lensing analysis of the Dark Energy Survey Science Verification (DES SV) data. Four model- or machine learning-based photometric redshift methods -- ANNZ2, BPZ…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-09-07 C. Bonnett , M. A. Troxel , W. Hartley , A. Amara , B. Leistedt , M. R. Becker , G. M. Bernstein , S. Bridle , C. Bruderer , M. T. Busha , M. Carrasco Kind , M. J. Childress , F. J. Castander , C. Chang , M. Crocce , T. M. Davis , T. F. Eifler , J. Frieman , C. Gangkofner , E. Gaztanaga , K. Glazebrook , D. Gruen , T. Kacprzak , A. King , J. Kwan , O. Lahav , G. Lewis , C. Lidman , H. Lin , N. MacCrann , R. Miquel , C. R. O'Neill , A. Palmese , H. V. Peiris , A. Refregier , E. Rozo , E. S. Rykoff , I. Sadeh , C. Sánchez , E. Sheldon , S. Uddin , R. H. Wechsler , J. Zuntz , T. Abbott , F. B. Abdalla , S. Allam , R. Armstrong , M. Banerji , A. H. Bauer , A. Benoit-Lévy , E. Bertin , D. Brooks , E. Buckley-Geer , D. L. Burke , D. Capozzi , A. Carnero Rosell , J. Carretero , C. E. Cunha , C. B. D'Andrea , L. N. da Costa , D. L. DePoy , S. Desai , H. T. Diehl , J. P. Dietrich , P. Doel , A. Fausti Neto , E. Fernandez , B. Flaugher , P. Fosalba , D. W. Gerdes , R. A. Gruendl , K. Honscheid , B. Jain , D. J. James , M. Jarvis , A. G. Kim , K. Kuehn , N. Kuropatkin , T. S. Li , M. Lima , M. A. G. Maia , M. March , J. L. Marshall , P. Martini , P. Melchior , C. J. Miller , E. Neilsen , R. C. Nichol , B. Nord , R. Ogando , A. A. Plazas , K. Reil , A. K. Romer , A. Roodman , M. Sako , E. Sanchez , B. Santiago , R. C. Smith , M. Soares-Santos , F. Sobreira , E. Suchyta , M. E. C. Swanson , G. Tarle , J. Thaler , D. Thomas , V. Vikram , A. R. Walker