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We study the smoothed log-concave maximum likelihood estimator of a probability distribution on $\mathbb{R}^d$. This is a fully automatic nonparametric density estimator, obtained as a canonical smoothing of the log-concave maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-11 Yining Chen , Richard J. Samworth

Transparency is an essential requirement of machine learning based decision making systems that are deployed in real world. Often, transparency of a given system is achieved by providing explanations of the behavior and predictions of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-18 André Artelt , Barbara Hammer

Because the stochastic calculus yields rarely random variables with laws defined by explicit closed formulas, probabilistic numerical computations are done most often by simulation. The simulation by the shift, whose field of application is…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Nicolas Bouleau

We compare weighted sums of i.i.d. positive random variables according to the usual stochastic order. The main inequalities are derived using majorization techniques under certain log-concavity assumptions. Specifically, let $Y_i$ be i.i.d.…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-19 Yaming Yu

Some statistical models are specified via a data generating process for which the likelihood function cannot be computed in closed form. Standard likelihood-based inference is then not feasible but the model parameters can be inferred by…

Computation · Statistics 2015-02-20 Michael U. Gutmann , Jukka Corander , Ritabrata Dutta , Samuel Kaski

Quantification is well known to be a major obstacle in the construction of a probabilistic network, especially when relying on human experts for this purpose. The construction of a qualitative probabilistic network has been proposed as an…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Silja Renooij , Linda C. van der Gaag

Balancing a rare and serious possibility against a more common and less serious one is a familiar problem in many situations, such as the prediction of rare diseases. The relative costs of forecasting errors can be used for any prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-05-04 Paul T Seed

Cognitive modelling shares many features with statistical modelling, making it seem trivial to borrow from the practices of robust Bayesian statistics to protect the practice of robust cognitive modelling. We take one aspect of statistical…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-11 Lauren Kennedy , Daniel Simpson , Andrew Gelman

In quantum mechanics, not everything that can be observed can be observed simultaneously. Observational data exhibits \emph{contextuality} -- a generalisation of nonlocality -- if the result of an observation is necessarily dependent on…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-13 Ask Ellingsen

We review and formulate results concerning log-concavity and strong-log-concavity in both discrete and continuous settings. We show how preservation of log-concavity and strongly log-concavity on $\mathbb{R}$ under convolution follows from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-24 Adrien Saumard , Jon A. Wellner

Shape-constrained density estimation is an important topic in mathematical statistics. We focus on densities on $\mathbb{R}^d$ that are log-concave, and we study geometric properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for weighted…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-25 Elina Robeva , Bernd Sturmfels , Caroline Uhler

Quantile aggregation with dependence uncertainty has a long history in probability theory with wide applications in finance, risk management, statistics, and operations research. Using a recent result on inf-convolution of quantile-based…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-09 Jose Blanchet , Henry Lam , Yang Liu , Ruodu Wang

Opacity is a general language-theoretic framework in which several security properties of a system can be expressed. Its parameters are a predicate, given as a subset of runs of the system, and an observation function, from the set of runs…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-02-20 B. Bérard , J. Mullins , M. Sassolas

A composite likelihood is an inference function derived by multiplying a set of likelihood components. This approach provides a flexible framework for drawing inference when the likelihood function of a statistical model is computationally…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-10 Giuseppe Alfonzetti , Ruggero Bellio , Yunxiao Chen , Irini Moustaki

Profile likelihood is the key tool for dealing with nuisance parameters in likelihood theory. It is often asserted, however, that profile likelihood is not a 'true' likelihood. One implication is that likelihood theory lacks the generality…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-06 Oliver J. Maclaren

An usual problem in statistics consists in estimating the minimizer of a convex function. When we have to deal with large samples taking values in high dimensional spaces, stochastic gradient algorithms and their averaged versions are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-12 Antoine Godichon-Baggioni

A fundamental problem arising in many areas of machine learning is the evaluation of the likelihood of a given observation under different nominal distributions. Frequently, these nominal distributions are themselves estimated from data,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-18 Viet Anh Nguyen , Soroosh Shafieezadeh-Abadeh , Man-Chung Yue , Daniel Kuhn , Wolfram Wiesemann

``Localization'' has proven to be a valuable tool in the Statistical Learning literature as it allows sharp risk bounds in terms of the problem geometry. Localized bounds seem to be much less exploited in the Stochastic Optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-30 Roberto I. Oliveira , Philip Thompson

We study probability density functions that are log-concave. Despite the space of all such densities being infinite-dimensional, the maximum likelihood estimate is the exponential of a piecewise linear function determined by finitely many…

This paper introduces and fully characterizes the novel class of quasi-logconvex measures of risk, to stand on equal footing with the rich class of quasi-convex measures of risk. Quasi-logconvex risk measures naturally generalize logconvex…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-17 Roger J. A. Laeven , Emanuela Rosazza Gianin