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For nearly any challenging scientific problem evaluation of the likelihood is problematic if not impossible. Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) allows us to employ the whole Bayesian formalism to problems where we can use simulations…

Computation · Statistics 2011-07-04 Chris Barnes , Sarah Filippi , Michael P. H. Stumpf , Thomas Thorne

A method of proving local continuity of concave functions on convex set possessing the $\mu$-compactness property is presented. This method is based on a special approximation of these functions. The class of $\mu$-compact sets can be…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2010-06-22 M. E. Shirokov

We study the problem of maximum likelihood estimation of densities that are log-concave and lie in the graphical model corresponding to a given undirected graph $G$. We show that the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) is the product of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Kaie Kubjas , Olga Kuznetsova , Elina Robeva , Pardis Semnani , Luca Sodomaco

Composite likelihood provides approximate inference when the full likelihood is intractable and sub-likelihood functions of marginal events can be evaluated relatively easily. It has been successfully applied for many complex models.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-05 Wentao Li , Rosabeth White , Dennis Prangle

We study nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation of a log-concave probability density and its distribution and hazard function. Some general properties of these estimators are derived from two characterizations. It is shown that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-17 Lutz Duembgen , Kaspar Rufibach

There is a mismatch between the standard theoretical analyses of statistical machine learning and how learning is used in practice. The foundational assumption supporting the theory is that we can represent features and models using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-29 Annie Cherkaev , Waiming Tai , Jeff Phillips , Vivek Srikumar

Latent variable models are used to estimate variables of interest quantities which are observable only up to some measurement error. In many studies, such variables are known but not precisely quantifiable (such as "job satisfaction" in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-10-19 Ricardo Silva

This paper constructs a counterexample showing that not every locally $L^0$--convex topology is necessarily induced by a family of $L^0$--seminorms. Random convex analysis is the analytic foundation for $L^0$--convex conditional risk…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-15 Mingzhi Wu , Tiexin Guo

Log-linear models are a well-established method for describing statistical dependencies among a set of n random variables. The observed frequencies of the n-tuples are explained by a joint probability such that its logarithm is a sum of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Daniel Herrmann , Dominik Janzing

There is widespread confusion about the role of projectivity in likelihood-based inference for random graph models. The confusion is rooted in claims that projectivity, a form of marginalizability, may be necessary for likelihood-based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-04 Michael Schweinberger , Pavel N. Krivitsky , Carter T. Butts

We derive two-sided bounds for moments of linear combinations of coordinates od unconditional log-concave vectors. We also investigate how well moments of such combinations may be approximated by moments of Gaussian random variables.

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-06 Rafał Latała

Through extended consideration of two wide classes of case studies -- dilute gases and linear systems -- I explore the ways in which assumptions of probability and irreversibility occur in contemporary statistical mechanics, where the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-04-23 David Wallace

From an optimizer's perspective, achieving the global optimum for a general nonconvex problem is often provably NP-hard using the classical worst-case analysis. In the case of Cox's proportional hazards model, by taking its statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-07 Jianqing Fan , Wenyan Gong , Qiang Sun

This manuscript studies statistical properties of linear classifiers obtained through minimization of an unregularized convex risk over a finite sample. Although the results are explicitly finite-dimensional, inputs may be passed through…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-15 Matus Telgarsky

Classical mechanics involves position and momentum variables that must be special coordinates chosen to promote to suitable quantum operators. Since classical variables may be broadly chosen, only unique variables should be chosen. We will…

General Physics · Physics 2022-09-08 John R. Klauder

How do we compare between hypotheses that are entirely consistent with observations? The marginal likelihood (aka Bayesian evidence), which represents the probability of generating our observations from a prior, provides a distinctive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-03 Sanae Lotfi , Pavel Izmailov , Gregory Benton , Micah Goldblum , Andrew Gordon Wilson

The general use of subjective probabilities to model belief has been justified using many axiomatic schemes. For example, ?consistent betting behavior' arguments are well-known. To those not already convinced of the unique fitness and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Paul Snow

We investigate the applicability of the formalism of quantum mechanics to everyday life. It seems to be directly relevant for situations in which the very act of coming to a conclusion or decision on one issue affects one's confidence about…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-11-13 Steven Gratton

For a linear combination of random variables, fix some confidence level and consider the quantile of the combination at this level. We are interested in the partial derivatives of the quantile with respect to the weights of the random…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Dirk Tasche

Nonparametric statistics for distribution functions F or densities f=F' under qualitative shape constraints provides an interesting alternative to classical parametric or entirely nonparametric approaches. We contribute to this area by…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-31 Lutz Duembgen , Petro Kolesnyk , Ralf A. Wilke
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