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The process of dynamic state estimation (filtering) based on point process observations is in general intractable. Numerical sampling techniques are often practically useful, but lead to limited conceptual insight about optimal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-08-04 Yuval Harel , Ron Meir , Manfred Opper

Differentiable particle filters are an emerging class of sequential Bayesian inference techniques that use neural networks to construct components in state space models. Existing approaches are mostly based on offline supervised training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Jiaxi Li , Xiongjie Chen , Yunpeng Li

In this paper, we propose a non-parametric method for state estimation of high-dimensional nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems, which evolve according to gradient flows with isotropic diffusion. We combine diffusion maps, a manifold…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-02-26 Tal Shnitzer , Ronen Talmon , Jean-Jacques Slotine

Particle filtering is a Bayesian inference method and a fundamental tool in state estimation for dynamic systems, but its effectiveness is often limited by the constraints of the initial prior distribution, a phenomenon we define as the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-31 Yiwei Shi , Jingyu Hu , Yu Zhang , Mengyue Yang , Weinan Zhang , Cunjia Liu , Weiru Liu

The aim of this paper is to provide a variational interpretation of the nonlinear filter in continuous time. A time-stepping procedure is introduced, consisting of successive minimization problems in the space of probability densities. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-12-19 Richard S. Laugesen , Prashant G. Mehta , Sean P. Meyn , Maxim Raginsky

Anisotropic diffusion is a well recognized tool in digital image processing, including edge detection and denoising. We present here a particular nonlinear time-dependent operator together with an appropriate high-order discretization for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-04-29 Lorella Fatone , Daniele Funaro

We introduce a new class of generative diffusion models that, unlike conventional denoising diffusion models, achieve a time-homogeneous structure for both the noising and denoising processes, allowing the number of steps to adaptively…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-23 Sören Christensen , Jan Kallsen , Claudia Strauch , Lukas Trottner

We study the numerical solution of nonlinear partially observed optimal stopping problems. The system state is taken to be a multi-dimensional diffusion and drives the drift of the observation process, which is another multi-dimensional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-01-20 Mike Ludkovski

We develop a Bayesian inference method for diffusions observed discretely and with noise, which is free of discretisation bias. Unlike existing unbiased inference methods, our method does not rely on exact simulation techniques. Instead,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-10 Neil K. Chada , Jordan Franks , Ajay Jasra , Kody J. H. Law , Matti Vihola

Rare event sampling in dynamical systems is a fundamental problem arising in the natural sciences, which poses significant computational challenges due to an exponentially large space of trajectories. For settings where the dynamical system…

We develop a novel deep learning technique, termed Deep Orthogonal Decomposition (DOD), for dimensionality reduction and reduced order modeling of parameter dependent partial differential equations. The approach consists in the construction…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-15 Nicola Rares Franco , Andrea Manzoni , Paolo Zunino , Jan S. Hesthaven

Diffusion models enable high-quality virtual try-on (VTO) with their established image synthesis abilities. Despite the extensive end-to-end training of large pre-trained models involved in current VTO methods, real-world applications often…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Xingzi Xu , Qi Li , Shuwen Qiu , Julien Han , Karim Bouyarmane

By approximating posterior distributions with weighted samples, particle filters (PFs) provide an efficient mechanism for solving non-linear sequential state estimation problems. While the effectiveness of particle filters has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Xiongjie Chen , Yunpeng Li

The calibration of simulators for complex social systems aims to identify the optimal parameter that drives the output of the simulator best matching the target data observed from the system. As many social systems may change internally…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Peng Yang , Zhenhua Yang , Boquan Jiang , Chenkai Wang , Ke Tang , Xin Yao

Particle probability hypothesis density filtering has become a promising means for multi-target tracking due to its capability of handling an unknown and time-varying number of targets in non-linear non-Gaussian system. However, its…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-13 Wang Junjie , Zhao Lingling , Su Xiaohong , Ma Peijun

In many applications, a state-space model depends on a parameter which needs to be inferred from a data set. Quite often, it is necessary to perform the parameter inference online. In the maximum likelihood approach, this can be done using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Vladislav Z. B. Tadic , Arnaud Doucet

We introduce a simple method for nearly simultaneous computation of all moments needed for quasi maximum likelihood estimation of parameters in discretely observed stochastic differential equations commonly seen in finance. The method…

Computation · Statistics 2015-09-28 Lars Josef Höök , Erik Lindström

We consider the problem of online learning in the presence of distribution shifts that occur at an unknown rate and of unknown intensity. We derive a new Bayesian online inference approach to simultaneously infer these distribution shifts…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-28 Aodong Li , Alex Boyd , Padhraic Smyth , Stephan Mandt

This paper deals with the case of using nonlinear diffusion filters to obtain piecewise constant images as a previous process for segmentation techniques. We first show an intrinsic formulation for the nonlinear diffusion equation to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-24 Javier Sanguino , Carlos Platero , Olga Velasco

We consider the problem of inference for nonlinear, multivariate diffusion processes, satisfying It\^o stochastic differential equations (SDEs), using data at discrete times that may be incomplete and subject to measurement error. Our…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-27 Andrew Golightly , Chris Sherlock