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Let us consider a pair signal-observation ((xn,yn),n 0) where the unobserved signal (xn) is a Markov chain and the observed component is such that, given the whole sequence (xn), the random variables (yn) are independent and the conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mireille Chaleyat-Maurel , Valentine Genon-Catalot

Diffusion models are an important tool for generative modelling, serving as effective priors in applications such as imaging and protein design. A key challenge in applying diffusion models for downstream tasks is efficiently sampling from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-12 Alexander Denker , Shreyas Padhy , Francisco Vargas , Johannes Hertrich

The classical Ka\v{c}anov scheme for the solution of nonlinear variational problems can be interpreted as a fixed point iteration method that updates a given approximation by solving a linear problem in each step. Based on this observation,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-11-30 Pascal Heid , Thomas P. Wihler

We revisit the problem of estimating the parameters of a partially observed diffusion process, consisting of a hidden state process and an observed process, with a continuous time parameter. The estimation is to be done online, i.e. the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-16 Simone Carlo Surace , Jean-Pascal Pfister

Online convex optimization is a sequential prediction framework with the goal to track and adapt to the environment through evaluating proper convex loss functions. We study efficient particle filtering methods from the perspective of such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-23 Mahdi Azarafrooz

In this paper we introduce a novel particle filter scheme for a class of partially-observed multivariate diffusions. %continuous-time dynamic models where the %signal is given by a multivariate diffusion process. We consider a variety of…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-10-24 Paul Fearnhead , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Gareth Roberts

Estimating parameters of a diffusion process given continuous-time observations of the process via maximum likelihood approaches or, online, via stochastic gradient descent or Kalman filter formulations constitutes a well-established…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-17 Jan Albrecht , Sebastian Reich

In this article we consider a Monte Carlo-based method to filter partially observed diffusions observed at regular and discrete times. Given access only to Euler discretizations of the diffusion process, we present a new procedure which can…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-02-12 Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Fangyuan Yu

In this paper we consider parameter estimation for discretely observed diffusion processes. In particular, we focus on data that are observed at low frequency and methodology that can estimate parameters with uncertainty quantification.…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-01 Jingning Yao , Ajay Jasra , Sheng Jiang

We propose a method for inference on moderately high-dimensional, nonlinear, non-Gaussian, partially observed Markov process models for which the transition density is not analytically tractable. Markov processes with intractable transition…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-02 Joonha Park , Edward L. Ionides

We propose a new classification scheme for diffusion processes for which the backward Kolmogorov equation is solvable in analytically closed form by reduction to hypergeometric equations of the Gaussian or confluent type. The construction…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Claudio Albanese , Alexey Kuznetsov

In this paper we address the problem of estimating the posterior distribution of the static parameters of a continuous time state space model with discrete time observations by an algorithm that combines the Kalman filter and a particle…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-22 Jian He , Asma Khedher , Peter Spreij

This paper presents a novel algorithm for efficient online estimation of the filter derivatives in general hidden Markov models. The algorithm, which has a linear computational complexity and very limited memory requirements, is furnished…

Computation · Statistics 2019-01-10 Jimmy Olsson , Johan Westerborn Alenlöv

We consider the task of filtering a dynamic parameter evolving as a diffusion process, given data collected at discrete times from a likelihood which is conjugate to the marginal law of the diffusion, when a generic dual process on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-29 Guillaume Kon Kam King , Andrea Pandolfi , Marco Piretto , Matteo Ruggiero

We present new extensions to a method for constructing several families of solvable one-dimensional time-homogeneous diffusions whose transition densities are obtainable in analytically closed-form. Our approach is based on a dual…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-03 Giuseppe Campolieti , Roman N. Makarov

Adaptation methods have been a workhorse for unlocking the transformative power of pre-trained diffusion models in diverse applications. Existing approaches often abstract adaptation objectives as a reward function and steer diffusion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-19 Qijie Zhu , Zeqi Ye , Han Liu , Zhaoran Wang , Minshuo Chen

This paper introduces a rigorous framework for defining generative diffusion models in infinite dimensions via Doob's h-transform. Rather than relying on time reversal of a noising process, a reference diffusion is forced towards the target…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-09 Thorben Pieper-Sethmacher , Daniel Paulin

Many processes, such as discrete event systems in engineering or population dynamics in biology, evolve in discrete space and continuous time. We consider the problem of optimal decision making in such discrete state and action space…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Bastian Alt , Matthias Schultheis , Heinz Koeppl

Particle smoothing methods are used for inference of stochastic processes based on noisy observations. Typically, the estimation of the marginal posterior distribution given all observations is cumbersome and computational intensive. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-24 H. -Ch. Ruiz , H. J. Kappen

Partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) are a general mathematical model for sequential decision-making in stochastic environments under state uncertainty. POMDPs are often solved \textit{online}, which enables the algorithm…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-26 Yunuo Zhang , Baiting Luo , Ayan Mukhopadhyay , Abhishek Dubey
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