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There has been significant research done on developing methods for improving robustness to distributional shift and uncertainty estimation. In contrast, only limited work has examined developing standard datasets and benchmarks for…

As training datasets grow larger, we aspire to develop models that generalize well to any diverse test distribution, even if the latter deviates significantly from the training data. Various approaches like domain adaptation, domain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Andreas Loukas , Karolis Martinkus , Ed Wagstaff , Kyunghyun Cho

With model trustworthiness being crucial for sensitive real-world applications, practitioners are putting more and more focus on improving the uncertainty calibration of deep neural networks. Calibration errors are designed to quantify the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Sebastian G. Gruber , Florian Buettner

In many safety-critical applications such as autonomous driving and surgical robots, it is desirable to obtain prediction uncertainties from object detection modules to help support safe decision-making. Specifically, such modules need to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-29 Buu Phan , Rick Salay , Krzysztof Czarnecki , Vahdat Abdelzad , Taylor Denouden , Sachin Vernekar

We introduce four new real-world distribution shift datasets consisting of changes in image style, image blurriness, geographic location, camera operation, and more. With our new datasets, we take stock of previously proposed methods for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-07-27 Dan Hendrycks , Steven Basart , Norman Mu , Saurav Kadavath , Frank Wang , Evan Dorundo , Rahul Desai , Tyler Zhu , Samyak Parajuli , Mike Guo , Dawn Song , Jacob Steinhardt , Justin Gilmer

Accurate segmentation of white matter hyperintensities (WMH) is crucial for clinical decision-making, particularly in the context of multiple sclerosis. However, domain shifts, such as variations in MRI machine types or acquisition…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-18 Franco Matzkin , Agostina Larrazabal , Diego H Milone , Jose Dolz , Enzo Ferrante

Self-consistency improves reasoning by aggregating diverse stochastic samples, yet the dynamics behind its efficacy remain underexplored. We reframe self-consistency as a dynamic distributional alignment problem, revealing that decoding…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Yiwei Li , Ji Zhang , Shaoxiong Feng , Peiwen Yuan , Xinglin Wang , Jiayi Shi , Yueqi Zhang , Chuyi Tan , Boyuan Pan , Yao Hu , Kan Li

We present a method for making neural network predictions robust to shifts from the training data distribution. The proposed method is based on making predictions via a diverse set of cues (called 'middle domains') and ensembling them into…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-09-06 Teresa Yeo , Oğuzhan Fatih Kar , Alexander Sax , Amir Zamir

Applications such as weather forecasting and personalized medicine demand models that output calibrated probability estimates---those representative of the true likelihood of a prediction. Most models are not calibrated out of the box but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-03 Ananya Kumar , Percy Liang , Tengyu Ma

Networks of low-cost sensors are becoming ubiquitous, but often suffer from poor accuracies and drift. Regular colocation with reference sensors allows recalibration but is complicated and expensive. Alternatively the calibration can be…

Investigation of machine learning algorithms robust to changes between the training and test distributions is an active area of research. In this paper we explore a special type of dataset shift which we call class-dependent domain shift.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-13 Tigran Galstyan , Hrant Khachatrian , Greg Ver Steeg , Aram Galstyan

Proper quantification of predictive uncertainty is essential for the use of machine learning in safety-critical applications. Various uncertainty measures have been proposed for this purpose, typically claiming superiority over other…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Paul Hofman , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier

We make two contributions to the problem of estimating the $L_1$ calibration error of a binary classifier from a finite dataset. First, we provide an upper bound for any classifier where the calibration function has bounded variation.…

Learning multilingual and multi-domain translation model is challenging as the heterogeneous and imbalanced data make the model converge inconsistently over different corpora in real world. One common practice is to adjust the share of each…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-09-07 Minghao Wu , Yitong Li , Meng Zhang , Liangyou Li , Gholamreza Haffari , Qun Liu

A machine learning model that generalizes well should obtain low errors on unseen test examples. Thus, if we learn an optimal model in training data, it could have better generalization performance in testing tasks. However, learning such a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Penghao Jiang , Xin Ke , ZiFeng Wang , Chunxi Li

Deep learning models are often evaluated in scenarios where the data distribution is different from those used in the training and validation phases. The discrepancy presents a challenge for accurately predicting the performance of models…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-17 Shadi Alijani , Jamil Fayyad , Homayoun Najjaran

ML models have errors when used for predictions. The errors are unknown but can be quantified by model uncertainty. When multiple ML models are trained using the same training points, their model uncertainties may be statistically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-23 Xiaoping Du

Research interests in the robustness of deep neural networks against domain shifts have been rapidly increasing in recent years. Most existing works, however, focus on improving the accuracy of the model, not the calibration performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-26 Wonjeong Choi , Jungwuk Park , Dong-Jun Han , Younghyun Park , Jaekyun Moon

Uncertainty calibration in pre-trained transformers is critical for their reliable deployment in risk-sensitive applications. Yet, most existing pre-trained transformers do not have a principled mechanism for uncertainty propagation through…

Recognizing new objects by learning from a few labeled examples in an evolving environment is crucial to obtain excellent generalization ability for real-world machine learning systems. A typical setting across current meta learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-30 Zhenyi Wang , Tiehang Duan , Le Fang , Qiuling Suo , Mingchen Gao
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