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Learning conditional distributions is challenging because the desired outcome is not a single distribution but multiple distributions that correspond to multiple instances of the covariates. We introduce a novel neural entropic optimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Bao Nguyen , Binh Nguyen , Hieu Trung Nguyen , Viet Anh Nguyen

The performance of decision policies and prediction models often deteriorates when applied to environments different from the ones seen during training. To ensure reliable operation, we analyze the stability of a system under distribution…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-13 Hongseok Namkoong , Yuanzhe Ma , Peter W. Glynn

Optimal transport is the problem of designing a joint distribution for two random variables with fixed marginals. In virtually the entire literature on this topic, the objective is to minimize expected cost. This paper is the first to study…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-13 Yinchu Zhu , Ilya O. Ryzhov

We investigate the problem of jointly testing a pair of composite hypotheses and, depending on the test result, estimating a random parameter under distributional uncertainties. Specifically, it is assumed that the distribution of the data…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-27 Dominik Reinhard , Michael Fauß , Abdelhak M. Zoubir

In this paper, we consider the coefficient-based regularized distribution regression which aims to regress from probability measures to real-valued responses over a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS), where the regularization is put on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-29 Yuan Mao , Lei Shi , Zheng-Chu Guo

The goal of this paper is to provide theorems on convergence rates of posterior distributions that can be applied to obtain good convergence rates in the context of density estimation as well as regression. We show how to choose priors so…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Tzee-Ming Huang

The most direct way to express arbitrary dependencies in datasets is to estimate the joint distribution and to apply afterwards the argmax-function to obtain the mode of the corresponding conditional distribution. This method is in practice…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2008-11-24 Steffen Kuehn

We propose an optimal estimating equation for logistic regression with linked data while accounting for false positives. It builds on a previous solution but estimates the regression coefficients with a smaller variance, in large samples.

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-16 Jenkin Tsui , Abel Dasylva , Kenneth Chu

Optimal transport is a powerful framework for the efficient allocation of resources between sources and targets. However, traditional models often struggle to scale effectively in the presence of large and heterogeneous populations. In this…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-11-13 Navpreet Kaur , Juntao Chen , Yingdong Lu

We establish minimax optimal rates of convergence for estimation in a high dimensional additive model assuming that it is approximately sparse. Our results reveal an interesting phase transition behavior universal to this class of high…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-11 Ming Yuan , Ding-Xuan Zhou

We study the rates of estimation of finite mixing distributions, that is, the parameters of the mixture. We prove that under some regularity and strong identifiability conditions, around a given mixing distribution with $m_0$ components,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-16 Philippe Heinrich , Jonas Kahn

We commonly encounter the problem of identifying an optimally weight adjusted version of the empirical distribution of observed data, adhering to predefined constraints on the weights. Such constraints often manifest as restrictions on the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-17 Abhisek Chakraborty , Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati

Subsampling is an efficient method to deal with massive data. In this paper, we investigate the optimal subsampling for linear quantile regression when the covariates are functions. The asymptotic distribution of the subsampling estimator…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-05-06 Qian Yan , Hanyu Li , Chengmei Niu

We propose a new algorithm for model-based distributional reinforcement learning (RL), and prove that it is minimax-optimal for approximating return distributions with a generative model (up to logarithmic factors), resolving an open…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Mark Rowland , Li Kevin Wenliang , Rémi Munos , Clare Lyle , Yunhao Tang , Will Dabney

We link conditional generative modelling to quantile regression. We propose a suitable loss function and derive minimax convergence rates for the associated risk under smoothness assumptions imposed on the conditional distribution. To…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-09 Johannes Schmidt-Hieber , Petr Zamolodtchikov

Expectile regression is a nice tool for investigating conditional distributions beyond the conditional mean. It is well-known that expectiles can be described with the help of the asymmetric least square loss function, and this link makes…

Computation · Statistics 2015-07-15 Muhammad Farooq , Ingo Steinwart

In this paper, we propose a novel approach to fit a functional linear regression in which both the response and the predictor are functions of a common variable such as time. We consider the case that the response and the predictor…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-15 Behdad Mostafaiy , MohammadReza FaridRohani , Shojaeddin Chenouri

Many causal and structural parameters in economics can be identified and estimated by computing the value of an optimization program over all distributions consistent with the model and the data. Existing tools apply when the data is…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-31 Andrei Voronin

Inference-time scaling methods rely on Process Reward Models (PRMs), which are often poorly calibrated and overestimate success probabilities. We propose, to our knowledge, the first use of conditional optimal transport for calibrating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Rachel Ma , Dylan Hadfield-Menell , Kristjan Greenewald

The objective in statistical Optimal Transport (OT) is to consistently estimate the optimal transport plan/map solely using samples from the given source and target marginal distributions. This work takes the novel approach of posing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-11 J. Saketha Nath , Pratik Jawanpuria