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We present a framework for performing regression when both covariate and response are probability distributions on a compact interval $\Omega\subset\mathbb{R}$. Our regression model is based on the theory of optimal transportation and links…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-21 Laya Ghodrati , Victor M. Panaretos

Distribution regression seeks to estimate the conditional distribution of a multivariate response given a continuous covariate. This approach offers a more complete characterization of dependence than traditional regression methods.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Rong Tang , Yun Yang

We present an optimal transport framework for performing regression when both the covariate and the response are probability distributions on a compact Euclidean subset $\Omega\subset\mathbb{R}^d$, where $d>1$. Extending beyond compactly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-05 Laya Ghodrati , Victor M. Panaretos

Brenier's theorem is a cornerstone of optimal transport that guarantees the existence of an optimal transport map $T$ between two probability distributions $P$ and $Q$ over $\mathbb{R}^d$ under certain regularity conditions. The main goal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-01 Jan-Christian Hütter , Philippe Rigollet

We study distributed estimation of a Gaussian mean under communication constraints in a decision theoretical framework. Minimax rates of convergence, which characterize the tradeoff between the communication costs and statistical accuracy,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-11 T. Tony Cai , Hongji Wei

We consider the problem of defining and fitting models of autoregressive time series of probability distributions on a compact interval of $\mathbb{R}$. An order-$1$ autoregressive model in this context is to be understood as a Markov…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-17 Laya Ghodrati , Victor M. Panaretos

The theoretical advances on the properties of scoring rules over the past decades have broadened the use of scoring rules in probabilistic forecasting. In meteorological forecasting, statistical postprocessing techniques are essential to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-13 Romain Pic , Clément Dombry , Philippe Naveau , Maxime Taillardat

We consider nonparametric regression under covariate shift, where we observe samples from both the target distribution and a related but distinct source distribution. We introduce a novel object, the transfer function, and show that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-09 Petr Zamolodtchikov

The distributional single index model is a semiparametric regression model in which the conditional distribution functions $P(Y \leq y | X = x) = F_0(\theta_0(x), y)$ of a real-valued outcome variable $Y$ depend on $d$-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-23 Fadoua Balabdaoui , Alexander Henzi , Lukas Looser

Distributional regression aims at estimating the conditional distribution of a targetvariable given explanatory co-variates. It is a crucial tool for forecasting whena precise uncertainty quantification is required. A popular methodology…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-22 Clément Dombry , Ahmed Zaoui

Large data sets often require performing distributed statistical estimation, with a full data set split across multiple machines and limited communication between machines. To study such scenarios, we define and study some refinements of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-06-24 John C. Duchi , Michael I. Jordan , Martin J. Wainwright , Yuchen Zhang

We study distribution-on-distribution regression problems in which a response distribution depends on multiple distributional predictors. Such settings arise naturally in applications where the outcome distribution is driven by several…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-08 Yuanying Chen , Tongyu Li , Yang Bai , Zhenhua Lin

Transfer learning is essential when sufficient data comes from the source domain, with scarce labeled data from the target domain. We develop estimators that achieve minimax linear risk for linear regression problems under distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-24 Qi Lei , Wei Hu , Jason D. Lee

This paper considers the problem of matrix-variate logistic regression. It derives the fundamental error threshold on estimating low-rank coefficient matrices in the logistic regression problem by obtaining a lower bound on the minimax…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-10 Batoul Taki , Mohsen Ghassemi , Anand D. Sarwate , Waheed U. Bajwa

We investigate the estimation of an optimal transport map between probability measures on an infinite-dimensional space and reveal its minimax optimal rate. Optimal transport theory defines distances within a space of probability measures,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-17 Donlapark Ponnoprat , Masaaki Imaizumi

The effects of real-time provision of travel-time information on the behaviour of drivers are considered. The model of Marecek et al. [arXiv:1406.7639, Int. J. Control 88(10), 2015] is extended to consider uncertainty in the response of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-05-26 Jakub Marecek , Robert Shorten , Jia Yuan Yu

In transfer learning, we wish to make inference about a target population when we have access to data both from the distribution itself, and from a different but related source distribution. We introduce a flexible framework for transfer…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-03 Henry W. J. Reeve , Timothy I. Cannings , Richard J. Samworth

We consider minimax-optimal designs for the prediction of individual parameters in random coefficient regression models. We focus on the minimax-criterion, which minimizes the "worst case" for the basic criterion with respect to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-09 Maryna Prus

`Distribution regression' refers to the situation where a response Y depends on a covariate P where P is a probability distribution. The model is Y=f(P) + mu where f is an unknown regression function and mu is a random error. Typically, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-02-04 Barnabas Poczos , Alessandro Rinaldo , Aarti Singh , Larry Wasserman

We consider high-dimensional multivariate linear regression models, where the joint distribution of covariates and response variables is a multivariate normal distribution with a bandable covariance matrix. The main goal of this paper is to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-12 Kwangmin Lee , Kyoungjae Lee , Jaeyong Lee
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