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Real-world time series data often exhibits substantial missing values, posing challenges for advanced analysis. A common approach to addressing this issue is imputation, where the primary challenge lies in determining the appropriate values…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Ying Liu , Peng Cui , Wenbo Hu , Richang Hong

Neural Linear Models (NLM) are deep Bayesian models that produce predictive uncertainty by learning features from the data and then performing Bayesian linear regression over these features. Despite their popularity, few works have focused…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-25 Cooper Lorsung

Deep Ensembles (DE) are a prominent approach for achieving excellent performance on key metrics such as accuracy, calibration, uncertainty estimation, and out-of-distribution detection. However, hardware limitations of real-world systems…

The belief function approach to uncertainty quantification as proposed in the Demspter-Shafer theory of evidence is established upon the general mathematical models for set-valued observations, called random sets. Set-valued predictions are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-16 Shireen Kudukkil Manchingal , Fabio Cuzzolin

Deep learning has emerged as a technique of choice for rapid feature extraction across imaging disciplines, allowing rapid conversion of the data streams to spatial or spatiotemporal arrays of features of interest. However, applications of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-01-25 Ayana Ghosh , Bobby G. Sumpter , Ondrej Dyck , Sergei V. Kalinin , Maxim Ziatdinov

Reliable uncertainty estimation has become a crucial requirement for the industrial deployment of deep learning algorithms, particularly in high-risk applications such as autonomous driving and medical diagnosis. However, mainstream…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Junyu Gao , Mengyuan Chen , Liangyu Xiang , Changsheng Xu

Uncertainty estimation bears the potential to make deep learning (DL) systems more reliable. Standard techniques for uncertainty estimation, however, come along with specific combinations of strengths and weaknesses, e.g., with respect to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-02 Joachim Sicking , Maram Akila , Jan David Schneider , Fabian Hüger , Peter Schlicht , Tim Wirtz , Stefan Wrobel

Efficient and accurate joint representation of a collection of images, that belong to the same class, is a major research challenge for practical image set classification. Existing methods either make prior assumptions about the data…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-04-02 Muhammad Uzair , Faisal Shafait , Bernard Ghanem , Ajmal Mian

Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated impressive performance across various tasks, with different models excelling in distinct domains and specific abilities. Effectively combining the predictions of multiple LLMs is crucial for…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-08-01 Jizhou Guo

Federated learning (FL), aimed at leveraging vast distributed datasets, confronts a crucial challenge: the heterogeneity of data across different silos. While previous studies have explored discrete representations to enhance model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-06 Tianyi Zhang , Yu Cao , Dianbo Liu

Accurate uncertainty quantification remains a key challenge for standard LLMs, prompting the adoption of Bayesian and ensemble-based methods. However, such methods typically necessitate computationally expensive sampling, involving multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-25 Lakshmana Sri Harsha Nemani , P. K. Srijith , Tomasz Kuśmierczyk

There are two major types of uncertainty one can model. Aleatoric uncertainty captures noise inherent in the observations. On the other hand, epistemic uncertainty accounts for uncertainty in the model -- uncertainty which can be explained…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-10-06 Alex Kendall , Yarin Gal

This paper investigates novel classifier ensemble techniques for uncertainty calibration applied to various deep neural networks for image classification. We evaluate both accuracy and calibration metrics, focusing on Expected Calibration…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-01-20 Michael Schulze , Nikolas Ebert , Laurenz Reichardt , Oliver Wasenmüller

Foundation models have become a dominant paradigm in machine learning, achieving remarkable performance across diverse tasks through large-scale pretraining. However, these models often yield overconfident, uncalibrated predictions. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Mehmet Ozgur Turkoglu , Dominik J. Mühlematter , Alexander Becker , Konrad Schindler , Helge Aasen

Vision-language models (VLMs), such as CLIP, have gained popularity for their strong open vocabulary classification performance, but they are prone to assigning high confidence scores to misclassifications, limiting their reliability in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Zhenxiang Lin , Maryam Haghighat , Will Browne , Dimity Miller

The output of Large Language Models (LLMs) are a function of the internal model's parameters and the input provided into the context window. The hypothesis presented here is that under a greedy sampling strategy the variance in the LLM's…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-02-20 Srijith Rajamohan , Ahmed Salhin , Josh Frazier , Rohit Kumar , Yu-Cheng Tsai , Todd Cook

We are delighted to see the recent development of physics-informed extreme learning machine (PIELM) for its higher computational efficiency and accuracy compared to other physics-informed machine learning (PIML) paradigms. Since a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 He Yang , Fei Ren , Francesco Calabro , Hai-Sui Yu , Xiaohui Chen , Pei-Zhi Zhuang

Deep learning models have demonstrated remarkable success in various fields, including seismology. However, one major challenge in deep learning is the presence of mislabeled examples. Additionally, accurately estimating model uncertainty…

There has been rapid progress recently on the application of deep networks to the solution of partial differential equations, collectively labelled as Physics Informed Neural Networks (PINNs). In this paper, we develop Physics Informed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-09 Vikas Dwivedi , Balaji Srinivasan

Modular approaches that use a different composition of modules for each problem are a promising direction in continual learning (CL). However, searching through the large, discrete space of module compositions is challenging, especially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-03 Lazar Valkov , Akash Srivastava , Swarat Chaudhuri , Charles Sutton