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The bounds for absolute moments of order statistics are established. Let $X_1,\dots ,X_n$ be independent identically distributed real-valued random variables and let $X_{1:n}\le \dots \le X_{n:n}$ be the corresponding order statistics. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-01 Nadezhda V. Gribkova

Consider a stationary real-valued time series $\{X_n\}_{n=0}^{\infty}$ with a priori unknown distribution. The goal is to estimate the conditional expectation $E(X_{n+1}|X_0,..., X_n)$ based on the observations $(X_0,..., X_n)$ in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-19 Gusztav Morvai , Benjamin Weiss

We characterize the exponential distribution as the only one which satisfies a regression condition. This condition involves the regression function of a fixed record value given two other record values, one of them being previous and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-06 George P. Yanev

Exchangeability is a central notion in statistics and probability theory. The assumption that an infinite sequence of data points is exchangeable is at the core of Bayesian statistics. However, finite exchangeability as a statistical…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-04-24 Mathias Niepert , Guy Van den Broeck

Suppose $k$ balls are dropped into $n$ boxes independently with uniform probability, where $n, k$ are large with ratio approximately equal to some positive real $\lambda$. The maximum box count has a counterintuitive behavior: first of all,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-20 Andrea Ottolini

A class of probability distributions is characterized via equalities in law between two order statistics shifted by independent exponential variables. An explicit formula for the quintile function of the identified family of distributions…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-26 M. Ahsanullah , V. B. Nevzorov , George P. Yanev

A new characterization of the exponential distribution is obtained. It is based on an equation involving randomly shifted (translated) order statistics. No specific distribution is assumed for the shift random variables. The proof uses a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-05 Santanu Chakraborty , George P. Yanev

Let $X_1,\dots,X_n$ be independent nonnegative random variables (r.v.'s), with $S_n:=X_1+\dots+X_n$ and finite values of $s_i:=E X_i^2$ and $m_i:=E X_i>0$. Exact upper bounds on $E f(S_n)$ for all functions $f$ in a certain class…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-17 Iosif Pinelis

The extended de Finetti theorem characterizes exchangeable infinite random sequences as conditionally i.i.d. and shows that the apparently weaker distributional symmetry of spreadability is equivalent to exchangeability. Our main result is…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2008-06-24 Claus Köstler

We give necessary and sufficient conditions for two sub-vectors of a random vector with a multivariate extreme value distribution, corresponding to the limit distribution of the maximum of a multidimensional stationary sequence with…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-09 Clara Viseu , Luísa Pereira , Ana Paula Martins , Helena Ferreira

In this note we prove that a finite family $\{X_1,\dots,X_d\}$ of real r.v.'s that is exchangeable and such that $(X_1,\dots,X_d)$ is invariant with respect to a subgroup of $SO(d)$ acting irreducibly, is actually invariant with respect to…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Paolo Baldi , Domenico Marinucci , Stefano Trapani

Let X_1,...., X_n be a collection of iid discrete random variables, and Y_1,..., Y_m a set of noisy observations of such variables. Assume each observation Y_a to be a random function of some a random subset of the X_i's, and consider the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-09-04 Andrea Montanari

We discuss the statistical properties of parton distributions within the framework of the NNPDF methodology. We present various tests of statistical consistency, in particular that the distribution of results does not depend on the…

The spread of infectious disease in a human community or the proliferation of fake news on social media can be modeled as a randomly growing tree-shaped graph. The history of the random growth process is often unobserved but contains…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-15 Harry Crane , Min Xu

We show how to extend several basic concentration inequalities for simple random tensors $X = x_1 \otimes \cdots \otimes x_d$ where all $x_k$ are independent random vectors in $\mathbb{R}^n$ with independent coefficients. The new results…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Roman Vershynin

Let $X$ be a max-stable random vector with positive continuous density. It is proved that the conditional independence of any collection of disjoint sub-vectors of $X$ given the remaining components implies their joint independence. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-18 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Kirstin Strokorb

The distribution of age-ordered frequencies arising from an exchangeable Gibbs partition is studied in relation with the distribution of the positions at which new mutations appear in a sample.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-10 Robert C. Griffiths , Dario Spanó

We characterize a comprehensive family of $d$-variate exogenous shock models. Analytically, we consider a family of multivariate distribution functions that arises from ordering, idiosyncratically distorting, and finally multiplying the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-08 Jan-Frederik Mai , Steffen Schenk , Matthias Scherer

We prove the following statement. Let $f\in\mathbb{R}[x_1,\ldots,x_d]$, for some $d\ge 3$, and assume that $f$ depends non-trivially in each of $x_1,\ldots,x_d$. Then one of the following holds. (i) For every finite sets…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2018-07-09 Orit E. Raz , Zvi Shem Tov

The aim of this paper is to establish Hoeffding and Bernstein type concentration inequalities for weighted sums of exchangeable random variables. A special case is the i.i.d. setting, where random variables are sampled independently from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-11 Rina Foygel Barber