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Time series has wide applications in the real world and is known to be difficult to forecast. Since its statistical properties change over time, its distribution also changes temporally, which will cause severe distribution shift problem to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-12 Yuntao Du , Jindong Wang , Wenjie Feng , Sinno Pan , Tao Qin , Renjun Xu , Chongjun Wang

We study online conformal prediction for non-stationary data streams subject to unknown distribution drift. While most prior work studied this problem under adversarial settings and/or assessed performance in terms of gaps of time-averaged…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Jiadong Liang , Zhimei Ren , Yuxin Chen

In this paper, we introduce a threshold-based framework for multiclass classification that generalizes the standard argmax rule. This is done by replacing the probabilistic interpretation of softmax outputs with a geometric one on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Francesco Marchetti , Edoardo Legnaro , Sabrina Guastavino

We introduce Invariant Risk Minimization (IRM), a learning paradigm to estimate invariant correlations across multiple training distributions. To achieve this goal, IRM learns a data representation such that the optimal classifier, on top…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-31 Martin Arjovsky , Léon Bottou , Ishaan Gulrajani , David Lopez-Paz

This paper focuses on recursive estimation of time varying autoregressive processes in a nonparametric setting. The stability of the model is revisited and uniform results are provided when the time-varying autoregressive parameters belong…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Eric Moulines , Pierre Priouret , François Roueff

Based on the experimental results, all concepts drift types have their respective hyperparameter configurations. Simple and gradual concept drift have similar pattern which requires a smaller {\alpha} value than recurring concept drift…

Sound · Computer Science 2021-05-31 Ibnu Daqiqil Id , Masanobu Abe , Sunao Hara

Tacho-less rotational speed estimation is critical for vibration-based prognostics and health management (PHM) of rotating machinery, yet traditional methods--such as time-domain periodicity, cepstrum, and harmonic comb matching--struggle…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-01 Weiheng Hua , Changyu Hao

This paper studies the problem of Anytime-Competitive Markov Decision Process (A-CMDP). Existing works on Constrained Markov Decision Processes (CMDPs) aim to optimize the expected reward while constraining the expected cost over random…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Jianyi Yang , Pengfei Li , Tongxin Li , Adam Wierman , Shaolei Ren

This article focuses on making discrete-time Adaptive Iterative Learning Control (ILC) more effective using multiple estimation models. Existing strategies use the tracking error to adjust the parametric estimates. Our strategy uses the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-14 Ram Padmanabhan , Rajini Makam , Koshy George

When learning from streaming data, a change in the data distribution, also known as concept drift, can render a previously-learned model inaccurate and require training a new model. We present an adaptive learning algorithm that extends…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-04 Ashraf Tahmasbi , Ellango Jothimurugesan , Srikanta Tirthapura , Phillip B. Gibbons

Evaluating robustness under temporal distribution shift remains an open challenge. Existing metrics quantify the average decline in performance, but fail to capture how models adapt to evolving data. As a result, temporal degradation is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-09 Lorenzo Iovine , Giacomo Ziffer , Emanuele Della Valle

Concept drift in learning and classification occurs when the statistical properties of either the data features or target change over time; evidence of drift has appeared in search data, medical research, malware, web data, and video. Drift…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-03 Abhijit Suprem

Machine learning-based performance models are increasingly being used to build critical job scheduling and application optimization decisions. Traditionally, these models assume that data distribution does not change as more samples are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Ray A. O. Sinurat , Anurag Daram , Haryadi S. Gunawi , Robert B. Ross , Sandeep Madireddy

Autonomous vehicles have shown promising potential to be a groundbreaking technology for improving the safety of road users. For these vehicles, as well as many other safety-critical robotic technologies, to be deployed in real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Emran Yasser Moustafa , Ivana Dusparic

Adaptive Mixed-Criticality (AMC) is a fixed-priority preemptive scheduling algorithm for mixed-criticality hard real-time systems. It dominates many other scheduling algorithms for mixed-criticality systems, but does so at the cost of…

Operating Systems · Computer Science 2024-11-04 Bruno Mendes , Pedro F. Souto , Pedro C. Diniz

In scenarios where obtaining real-time labels proves challenging, conventional approaches may result in sub-optimal performance. This paper presents an optimal strategy for streaming contexts with limited labeled data, introducing an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-25 Rene Richard , Nabil Belacel

The notion of concept drift refers to the phenomenon that the distribution, which is underlying the observed data, changes over time; as a consequence machine learning models may become inaccurate and need adjustment. While there do exist…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-24 Fabian Hinder , Barbara Hammer

Multi-instance partial-label learning (MIPL) is an emerging learning framework where each training sample is represented as a multi-instance bag associated with a candidate label set. Existing MIPL algorithms often overlook the margins for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-23 Wei Tang , Yin-Fang Yang , Zhaofei Wang , Weijia Zhang , Min-Ling Zhang

We consider the nonparametric robust estimation problem for regression models in continuous time with semi-Markov noises. An adaptive model selection procedure is proposed. Under general moment conditions on the noise distribution a sharp…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-28 Vlad Barbu , Slim Beltaif , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

Real-world application models are commonly deployed in dynamic environments, where the target domain distribution undergoes temporal changes. Continual Test-Time Adaptation (CTTA) has recently emerged as a promising technique to gradually…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Shilei Cao , Juepeng Zheng , Yan Liu , Baoquan Zhao , Ziqi Yuan , Weijia Li , Runmin Dong , Haohuan Fu