English
Related papers

Related papers: Simulator-Based Inference with Waldo: Confidence R…

200 papers

Considering the increasing size of available data, the need for statistical methods that control the finite sample bias is growing. This is mainly due to the frequent settings where the number of variables is large and allowed to increase…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-12 Stéphane Guerrier , Mucyo Karemera , Samuel Orso , Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser

Inverse Distance Weighted models (IDW) have been widely used for predicting and modeling multidimensional space in multimodal industrial processes. However, the more complex the structure of multidimensional space, the lower the performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Junjie Zhang , Cong Zhang , Neal N. Xiong

In this paper, we address the inference problem in high-dimensional linear expectile regression. We transform the expectile loss into a weighted-least-squares form and apply a de-biased strategy to establish Wald-type tests for multiple…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-17 Xiang Li , Yu-Ning Li , Li-Xin Zhang , Jun Zhao

Stochastic nonlinear dynamical systems are ubiquitous in modern, real-world applications. Yet, estimating the unknown parameters of stochastic, nonlinear dynamical models remains a challenging problem. The majority of existing methods…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-06 Anubhab Ghosh , Mohamed Abdalmoaty , Saikat Chatterjee , Håkan Hjalmarsson

Bayesian simulation-based inference (SBI) methods are used in statistical models where simulation is feasible but the likelihood is intractable. Standard SBI methods can perform poorly in cases of model misspecification, and there has been…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-15 Wang Yuyan , Michael Evans , David J. Nott

Neural Networks (NNs) have been extensively used for a wide spectrum of real-world regression tasks, where the goal is to predict a numerical outcome such as revenue, effectiveness, or a quantitative result. In many such tasks, the point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-05 Xin Qiu , Elliot Meyerson , Risto Miikkulainen

Existing deep neural network (DNN) based wireless localization approaches typically do not capture uncertainty inherent in their estimates. In this work, we propose and evaluate variational and scalable DNN approaches to measure the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-10 Artan Salihu , Stefan Schwarz , Markus Rupp

Optimizing high-dimensional and complex black-box functions is crucial in numerous scientific applications. While Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful method for sample-efficient optimization, it struggles with the curse of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Taeyoung Yun , Kiyoung Om , Jaewoo Lee , Sujin Yun , Jinkyoo Park

Due to the vast testing space, the increasing demand for effective and efficient testing of deep neural networks (DNNs) has led to the development of various DNN test case prioritization techniques. However, the fact that DNNs can deliver…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Jialuo Chen , Jingyi Wang , Xiyue Zhang , Youcheng Sun , Marta Kwiatkowska , Jiming Chen , Peng Cheng

Although a vast body of literature relates to image segmentation methods that use deep neural networks (DNNs), less attention has been paid to assessing the statistical reliability of segmentation results. In this study, we interpret the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-15 Vo Nguyen Le Duy , Shogo Iwazaki , Ichiro Takeuchi

Most of the fundamental, emergent, and phenomenological parameters of particle and nuclear physics are determined through parametric template fits. Simulations are used to populate histograms which are then matched to data. This approach is…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-03-12 Benjamin Sluijter , Sascha Diefenbacher , Wahid Bhimji , Benjamin Nachman

Nonparametric mean function regression with repeated measurements serves as a cornerstone for many statistical branches, such as longitudinal/panel/functional data analysis. In this work, we investigate this problem using fully connected…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-27 Shunxing Yan , Fang Yao , Hang Zhou

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) offer a principled and natural framework for proper uncertainty quantification in the context of deep learning. They address the typical challenges associated with conventional deep learning methods, such as…

Computation · Statistics 2024-11-13 Zahra Moslemi , Yang Meng , Shiwei Lan , Babak Shahbaba

When a statistical model $\{P_{\theta} : \theta \in \Theta\}$ lacks analytically tractable likelihoods, parametric statistical inference based on data generated from an unknown underlying distribution $P$ can still be performed as long as…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Peter Matthew Jacobs , Lekha Patel , Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati

Modern simulation-based inference techniques use neural networks to solve inverse problems efficiently. One notable strategy is neural posterior estimation (NPE), wherein a neural network parameterizes a distribution to approximate the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-03-06 Alex Kolmus , Justin Janquart , Tomasz Baka , Twan van Laarhoven , Chris Van Den Broeck , Tom Heskes

Parametric stochastic simulators are ubiquitous in science, often featuring high-dimensional input parameters and/or an intractable likelihood. Performing Bayesian parameter inference in this context can be challenging. We present a neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-27 Benjamin Kurt Miller , Alex Cole , Patrick Forré , Gilles Louppe , Christoph Weniger

Simulation Based Inference (SBI) is shown to yield more accurate resonance parameter estimates than traditional chi-squared minimization in certain cases of model misspecification, demonstrated through a case study of pi-pi scattering and…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-07-28 Daniel Sadasivan , Isaac Cordero , Andrew Graham , Cecilia Marsh , Daniel Kupcho , Melana Mourad , Maxim Mai

Sparse deep learning has become a popular technique for improving the performance of deep neural networks in areas such as uncertainty quantification, variable selection, and large-scale network compression. However, most existing research…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-06 Mingxuan Zhang , Yan Sun , Faming Liang

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) is a foundational algorithm for large-scale statistical learning and stochastic optimization. However, statistical inference based on SGD iterates remains challenging when stochastic gradients have infinite…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-26 Jose Blanchet , Peter Glynn , Wenhao Yang

Model parameter inference is a universal problem across science. This challenge is particularly pronounced in developmental biology, where faithful mechanistic descriptions require spatial-stochastic models with numerous parameters, yet…

Biological Physics · Physics 2024-07-16 Michael A. Ramirez-Sierra , Thomas R. Sokolowski