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Debiased machine learning estimators for smooth functionals in nonparametric models can exhibit substantial variability and instability, often leading practitioners to instead rely on parametric or semiparametric working models. Such…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-20 Lars van der Laan , Marco Carone , Alex Luedtke , Mark van der Laan

Adaptive experiments, including efficient average treatment effect estimation and multi-armed bandit algorithms, have garnered attention in various applications, such as social experiments, clinical trials, and online advertisement…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-24 Masahiro Kato

In the last decade, machine learning techniques have gained popularity for estimating causal effects. One machine learning approach that can be used for estimating an average treatment effect is Double/debiased machine learning (DML)…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-17 Daniele Ballinari , Nora Bearth

Dynamic model averaging (DMA) combines the forecasts of a large number of dynamic linear models (DLMs) to predict the future value of a time series. The performance of DMA critically depends on the appropriate choice of two forgetting…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-12-11 Alisa Yusupova , Nicos G. Pavlidis , Efthymios G. Pavlidis

Double machine learning (DML) has become an increasingly popular tool for automated variable selection in high-dimensional settings. Even though the ability to deal with a large number of potential covariates can render…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-25 Paul Hünermund , Beyers Louw , Itamar Caspi

We consider the problem of selecting confounders for adjustment from a potentially large set of covariates, when estimating a causal effect. Recently, the high-dimensional Propensity Score (hdPS) method was developed for this task; hdPS…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-17 Asad Haris , Robert Platt

The odds ratio (OR) is a measure of effect size commonly used in observational research. OR reflects statistical association between a binary outcome, such as the presence of a health condition, and a binary predictor, such as an exposure…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-09 Olga A Vsevolozhskaya , Dmitri V Zaykin

Many modern computer vision and machine learning applications rely on solving difficult optimization problems that involve non-differentiable objective functions and constraints. The alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM) is a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-04-11 Zheng Xu , Mario A. T. Figueiredo , Xiaoming Yuan , Christoph Studer , Tom Goldstein

Machine learning methods, particularly the double machine learning (DML) estimator (Chernozhukov et al., 2018), are increasingly popular for the estimation of the average treatment effect (ATE). However, datasets often exhibit unbalanced…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-12 Daniele Ballinari

The purpose of this work is to improve the efficiency in estimating the average causal effect (ACE) on the survival scale where right-censoring exists and high-dimensional covariate information is available. We propose new estimators using…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-29 Ran Dai , Cheng Zheng , Mei-Jie Zhang

In this article, we study nonparametric inference for a covariate-adjusted regression function. This parameter captures the average association between a continuous exposure and an outcome after adjusting for other covariates. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-18 Kenta Takatsu , Ted Westling

Building helpful and harmless large language models (LLMs) requires effective model alignment approach based on human instructions and feedback, which necessitates high-quality human-labeled data. Constructing such datasets is often…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-05-07 Junlin Wang , Roy Xie , Shang Zhu , Jue Wang , Ben Athiwaratkun , Bhuwan Dhingra , Shuaiwen Leon Song , Ce Zhang , James Zou

Automatic machine learning (\AML) is a family of techniques to automate the process of training predictive models, aiming to both improve performance and make machine learning more accessible. While many recent works have focused on aspects…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-24 Nadiia Chepurko , Ryan Marcus , Emanuel Zgraggen , Raul Castro Fernandez , Tim Kraska , David Karger

We propose a flexible design for the identification of optimal dose combinations in dual-agent dose-finding clinical trials. The design is called AAA, standing for three adaptations: adaptive model selection, adaptive dose insertion, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-13 Jiaying Lyu , Yuan Ji , Naiqing Zhao , Daniel V. T. Catenacci

This paper examines online distributed Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (ADMM). The goal is to distributively optimize a global objective function over a network of decision makers under linear constraints. The global objective…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-10-05 Saghar Hosseini , Airlie Chapman , Mehran Mesbahi

We propose plug-in (PI) and double machine learning (DML) estimators of average treatment effect (ATE), average treatment effect on the treated (ATET) and local average treatment effect (LATE) in the multivariate sample selection model with…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-18 Sofiia Dolgikh , Bodan Potanin

This paper considers the practically important case of nonparametrically estimating heterogeneous average treatment effects that vary with a limited number of discrete and continuous covariates in a selection-on-observables framework where…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-26 Michael Zimmert , Michael Lechner

In contingency table analysis, the odds ratio is a commonly applied measure used to summarize the degree of association between two categorical variables, say R and S. Suppose now that for each individual in the table, a vector of…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-16 Francis K. C. Hui , Gery Geenens

Unlike parametric regression, machine learning (ML) methods do not generally require precise knowledge of the true data generating mechanisms. As such, numerous authors have advocated for ML methods to estimate causal effects.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-15 Ashley I Naimi , Alan E Mishler , Edward H Kennedy

We provide a novel characterization of augmented balancing weights, also known as automatic debiased machine learning (AutoDML). These popular doubly robust or de-biased machine learning estimators combine outcome modeling with balancing…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-07 David Bruns-Smith , Oliver Dukes , Avi Feller , Elizabeth L. Ogburn
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