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This paper studies prediction with multiple candidate models, where the goal is to combine their outputs. This task is especially challenging in heterogeneous settings, where different models may be better suited to different inputs. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-28 Yuli Slavutsky , Sebastian Salazar , David M. Blei

This paper aims to improve the explainability of Autoencoder's (AE) predictions by proposing two explanation methods based on the mean and epistemic uncertainty of log-likelihood estimate, which naturally arise from the probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-20 Bang Xiang Yong , Alexandra Brintrup

The hazard ratio from the Cox proportional hazards model is a ubiquitous summary of treatment effect. However, when hazards are non-proportional, the hazard ratio can lose a stable causal interpretation and become study-dependent because it…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-17 Xiang Meng , Lu Tian , Kenneth Kehl , Hajime Uno

This paper develops efficient algorithms for distributed average consensus with quantized communication using the alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM). We first study the effects of probabilistic and deterministic…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-12-05 Shengyu Zhu , Biao Chen

Causal and nonparametric estimands in economics and biostatistics can often be viewed as the mean of a linear functional applied to an unknown outcome regression function. Naively learning the regression function and taking a sample mean of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-12 Christian L. Hines , Oliver J. Hines

Multi-agent distributed optimization over a network minimizes a global objective formed by a sum of local convex functions using only local computation and communication. We develop and analyze a quantized distributed algorithm based on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Shengyu Zhu , Mingyi Hong , Biao Chen

In the past decades, intensive efforts have been put to design various loss functions and metric forms for metric learning problem. These improvements have shown promising results when the test data is similar to the training data. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-12 Shuo Chen , Chen Gong , Jian Yang , Xiang Li , Yang Wei , Jun Li

Modern machine learning models deployed often encounter distribution shifts in real-world applications, manifesting as covariate or semantic out-of-distribution (OOD) shifts. These shifts give rise to challenges in OOD generalization and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-11 Haoyue Bai , Jifan Zhang , Robert Nowak

Sampling from a multimodal distribution is a fundamental and challenging problem in computational science and statistics. Among various approaches proposed for this task, one popular method is Annealed Importance Sampling (AIS). In this…

Computation · Statistics 2024-11-07 Haoxuan Chen , Lexing Ying

Adaptive sampling algorithms are modern and efficient methods that dynamically adjust the sample size throughout the optimization process. However, they may encounter difficulties in risk-averse settings, particularly due to the challenge…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-17 Sandra Pieraccini , Tommaso Vanzan

Confounding can lead to spurious associations. Typically, one must observe confounders in order to adjust for them, but in high-dimensional settings, recent research has shown that it becomes possible to adjust even for unobserved…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-07 Yujing Lu , Patrick Breheny

We study the estimation of average effects in nonlinear panel data models with fixed effects when the time dimension $T$ is only moderately large. Our approach, called approximate operator inversion (AOI), offers a new perspective on bias…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-07 Jad Beyhum , Geert Dhaene , Cavit Pakel , Martin Weidner

We propose the use of a simple intuitive principle for measuring algorithmic classification bias: the significance of the differences in a classifier's error rates across the various demographics is inversely commensurate with the sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-08 Ioannis Ivrissimtzis , Shauna Concannon , Matthew Houliston , Graham Roberts

Momentum based optimizers are central to a wide range of machine learning applications. These typically rely on an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of gradients, which decays exponentially the present contribution of older gradients. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-01 Matteo Pagliardini , Pierre Ablin , David Grangier

Economists often estimate continuous treatment effects in panel data using linear two-way fixed effects models (TWFE). When the treatment-outcome relationship is nonlinear, TWFE is misspecifed and potentially biased for the average partial…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-14 Sylvia Klosin , Max Vilgalys

Researchers and practitioners often wish to measure treatment effects in settings where units interact via markets and recommendation systems. In these settings, units are affected by certain shared states, like prices, algorithmic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-15 Chris Hays , Manish Raghavan

The alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM) is commonly used for distributed model fitting problems, but its performance and reliability depend strongly on user-defined penalty parameters. We study distributed ADMM methods that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-21 Zheng Xu , Gavin Taylor , Hao Li , Mario Figueiredo , Xiaoming Yuan , Tom Goldstein

This paper introduces R-OLS, an estimator for the average partial effect (APE) of a continuous treatment variable on an outcome variable in the presence of non-linear and non-additively separable confounding of unknown form. Identification…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-17 Julius Schäper

In modern statistics, interests shift from pursuing the uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimator to reducing mean squared error (MSE) or residual squared error. Shrinkage based estimation and regression methods offer better prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-25 Tianyu Zhan , Haoda Fu , Jian Kang

Global expression analyses using microarray technologies are becoming more common in genomic research, therefore, new statistical challenges associated with combining information from multiple studies must be addressed. In this paper we…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-29 Jia Li , George C. Tseng
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