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In earlier rumor spreading models, at each time step nodes contact all of their neighbors. In more realistic scenario it is possible that a node may contact only some of its neighbors to spread the rumor. Therefore it is must in real world…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Anurag Singh , Yatindra Nath Singh

We consider a rumor model in which the network is divided into three classes of agents: ignorant, spreader, and stifler. A spreader transmits the rumor to each of its ignorant neighbors at rate one, and at the same rate, it becomes a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-01-06 Ana C. Díaz Bacca , Pablo M. Rodriguez , Catalina M. Rúa-Alvarez

Rumor models consider that information transmission occurs with the same probability between each pair of nodes. However, this assumption is not observed in social networks, which contain influential spreaders. To overcome this limitation,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-03-08 Didier A. Vega-Oliveros , Luciano da F. Costa , Francisco A. Rodrigues

The rapid spread of rumors on social media has posed significant challenges to maintaining public trust and information integrity. Since an information cascade process is essentially a propagation tree, recent rumor detection models…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-07-28 Wei Jiang , Tong Chen , Xinyi Gao , Wentao Zhang , Lizhen Cui , Hongzhi Yin

We study several bayesian inference problems for irreversible stochastic epidemic models on networks from a statistical physics viewpoint. We derive equations which allow to accurately compute the posterior distribution of the time…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-03-28 Fabrizio Altarelli , Alfredo Braunstein , Luca Dall'Asta , Alejandro Lage-Castellanos , Riccardo Zecchina

To infer a diffusion network based on observations from historical diffusion processes, existing approaches assume that observation data contain exact occurrence time of each node infection, or at least the eventual infection statuses of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-12-14 Hao Huang , Qian Yan , Keqi Han , Ting Gan , Jiawei Jiang , Quanqing Xu , Chuanhui Yan

Information diffusion, spreading of infectious diseases, and spreading of rumors are fundamental processes occurring in real-life networks. In many practical cases, one can observe when nodes become infected, but the underlying network,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-03-31 Liudmila Prokhorenkova , Alexey Tikhonov , Nelly Litvak

Cascade models are central to understanding, predicting, and controlling epidemic spreading and information propagation. Related optimization, including influence maximization, model parameter inference, or the development of vaccination…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-12-17 Rebekka Burkholz , John Quackenbush

We introduce a general stochastic model for the spread of rumours, and derive mean-field equations that describe the dynamics of the model on complex social networks (in particular those mediated by the Internet). We use analytical and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Maziar Nekovee , Y. Moreno , G. Bianconi , M. Marsili

Recent research [1] has suggested that coreness, and not degree, constitutes a better topological descriptor to identifying influential spreaders in complex networks. This hypothesis has been verified in the context of disease spreading.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-03 Javier Borge-Holthoefer , Yamir Moreno

The assumption that data samples are independent and identically distributed (iid) is standard in many areas of statistics and machine learning. Nevertheless, in some settings, such as social networks, infectious disease modeling, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-06 Eli Sherman , Ilya Shpitser

We consider the task of estimating a network cascade as fast as possible. The cascade is assumed to spread according to a general Susceptible-Infected process with heterogeneous transmission rates from an unknown source in the network.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-13 Anirudh Sridhar , Tirza Routtenberg , H. Vincent Poor

We study the problem of estimating the source of a network cascade given a time series of noisy information about the spread. Initially, there is a single vertex affected by the cascade (the source) and the cascade spreads in discrete time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Anirudh Sridhar , H. Vincent Poor

The burst in the use of online social networks over the last decade has provided evidence that current rumor spreading models miss some fundamental ingredients in order to reproduce how information is disseminated. In particular, recent…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-04-02 Javier Borge-Holthoefer , Sandro Meloni , Bruno Gonçalves , Yamir Moreno

Identifying the source of epidemic-like spread in networks is crucial for removing internet viruses or finding the source of rumors in online social networks. The challenge lies in tracing the source from a snapshot observation of infected…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Pei-Duo Yu , Chee Wei Tan

The rapid development of social networks has a wide range of social effects, which facilitates the study of social issues. Accurately forecasting the information propagation process within social networks is crucial for promptly…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Xinyu Li , Yutong Guo , Jixuan He , Jiacheng Zhao , Chenwei Wang

Spreading phenomena are ubiquitous in nature and society. For example, disease, rumor, and information spread over underlying social and information networks. It is well known that there is no threshold for epidemic models on scale-free…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-03-16 Satoru Morita

We study a rumour model from a percolation theory and branching process point of view. The existence of a giant component is related to the event where the rumour spreads out trough an infinite number of individuals. We present sharp lower…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-29 Valdivino V. Junior , Fábio P. Machado , Mauricio Zuluaga

In this paper, we consider the problem of locating the information source with sparse observations. We assume that a piece of information spreads in a network following a heterogeneous susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model and that a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-09-20 Kai Zhu , Lei Ying

Infectious diseases are studied to understand their spreading mechanisms, to evaluate control strategies and to predict the risk and course of future outbreaks. Because people only interact with a small number of individuals, and because…

Applications · Statistics 2018-09-05 Ritabrata Dutta , Antonietta Mira , Jukka-Pekka Onnela