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We study the spread of influence in a social network based on the Linear Threshold model. We derive an analytical expression for evaluating the expected size of the eventual influenced set for a given initial set, using the probability of…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2010-02-09 Srinivasan Venkatramanan , Anurag Kumar

We research adaptive maximum likelihood-type estimation for an ergodic diffusion process where the observation is contaminated by noise. This methodology leads to the asymptotic independence of the estimators for the variance of observation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-30 Shogo H. Nakakita , Masayuki Uchida

We propose a model of rumor spreading in which susceptible, but skeptically oriented individuals may oppose the rumor. Resistance may be implemented either by skeptical activists trying to convince spreaders to stop their activity, becoming…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-24 Marco Antonio Amaral , Jeferson J. Arenzon

Consider a tree network $T$, where each edge acts as an independent copy of a given channel $M$, and information is propagated from the root. For which $T$ and $M$ does the configuration obtained at level $n$ of $T$ typically contain…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Elchanan Mossel , Yuval Peres

We investigate cascades in networks consisting of strategic agents with interdependent security. We assume that the strategic agents have choices between i) investing in protecting themselves, ii) purchasing insurance to transfer (some)…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-02-27 Richard J. La

The study of rumor models from a percolation theory point of view has gained a few adepts in the last few years. The persistence of a rumor, which may consistently spread out throughout a population can be associated to the existence of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-13 Valdivino V. Junior , Fábio P. Machado , Krishnamurthi Ravishankar

Influencing (and being influenced by) others through social networks is fundamental to all human societies. Whether this happens through the diffusion of rumors, opinions, or viruses, identifying the diffusion source (i.e., the person that…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-09-05 Marcin Waniek , Manuel Cebrian , Petter Holme , Talal Rahwan

The Maki-Thompson rumor model is defined by assuming that a population represented by a graph is subdivided into three classes of individuals; namely, ignorants, spreaders and stiflers. A spreader tells the rumor to any of its nearest…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-05 Valdivino V. Junior , Pablo M. Rodriguez , Adalto Speroto

Rumors have ignited revolutions, undermined the trust in political parties, or threatened the stability of human societies. Such destructive potential has been significantly enhanced by the development of on-line social networks. Several…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-22 Hugo P. Maia , Silvio C. Ferreira , Marcelo L. Martins

We study the diffusion of epidemics on networks that are partitioned into local communities. The gross structure of hierarchical networks of this kind can be described by a quotient graph. The rationale of this approach is that individuals…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-01-19 Stefano Bonaccorsi , Stefania Ottaviano , Delio Mugnolo , Francesco De Pellegrini

Epidemics on complex networks is a widely investigated topic in the last few years, mainly due to the last pandemic events. Usually, real contact networks are dynamic, hence much effort has been invested in studying epidemics on evolving…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-05-18 Hillel Sanhedrai , Shlomo Havlin

Belief Propagation (BP) is an efficient message-passing algorithm widely used for inference in graphical models and for solving various problems in statistical physics. However, BP often yields inaccurate estimates of order parameters and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-10-23 Seongmin Kim , Alec Kirkley

We analyze the dynamics of a population of independent random walkers on a graph and develop a simple model of epidemic spreading. We assume that each walker visits independently the nodes of a finite ergodic graph in a discrete-time…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-01-19 Michael Bestehorn , Alejandro P. Riascos , Thomas M. Michelitsch , Bernard A. Collet

We investigate the information-theoretical limits of inference tasks in epidemic spreading on graphs in the thermodynamic limit. The typical inference tasks consist in computing observables of the posterior distribution of the epidemic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-12-25 Alfredo Braunstein , Louise Budzynski , Matteo Mariani

Bootstrap percolation is a process that is used to model the spread of an infection on a given graph. In the model considered here each vertex is equipped with an individual threshold. As soon as the number of infected neighbors exceeds…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Nils Detering , Thilo Meyer-Brandis , Konstantinos Panagiotou

We consider the optimization problem of seeding a spreading process on a temporal network so that the expected size of the resulting outbreak is maximized. We frame the problem for a spreading process following the rules of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-10-20 Sirag Erkol , Dario Mazzilli , Filippo Radicchi

We study a model for the spread of fake news, where first a piece of fake news is spread from a location in a network, followed by a correction to the news. We assume that both the fake as well as correct news travel as first-passage…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-21 Remco van der Hofstad , Seva Shneer

We use the linear threshold model to study the diffusion of information on a network generated by the stochastic block model. We focus our analysis on a two community structure where the initial set of informed nodes lies only in one of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-09-21 Gianbiagio Curato , Fabrizio Lillo

Nowadays, epidemic models provide an appropriate tool for describing the propagation of biological viruses in human or animal populations, or rumours and other kinds of information in social networks and malware in both computer and ad hoc…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-21 Vladislav Taynitskiy , Elena Gubar , Denis Fedyanin , Ilya Petrov , Quanyan Zhu

We propose a generative model and an inference scheme for epidemic processes on dynamic, adaptive contact networks. Network evolution is formulated as a link-Markovian process, which is then coupled to an individual-level stochastic SIR…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-07 Fan Bu , Allison E. Aiello , Jason Xu , Alexander Volfovsky
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