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Stochastic Discount Factor (SDF) models provide a unified framework for asset pricing and risk assessment, yet traditional formulations struggle to incorporate unstructured textual information. We introduce NewsNet-SDF, a novel deep…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-13 Shunyao Wang , Ming Cheng , Christina Dan Wang

Efficient Market Hypothesis is the popular theory about stock prediction. With its failure much research has been carried in the area of prediction of stocks. This project is about taking non quantifiable data such as financial news…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2016-07-08 Joshi Kalyani , Prof. H. N. Bharathi , Prof. Rao Jyothi

The era of information explosion had prompted the accumulation of a tremendous amount of time-series data, including stationary and non-stationary time-series data. State-of-the-art algorithms have achieved a decent performance in dealing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Xipei Wang , Haoyu Zhang , Yuanbo Zhang , Meng Wang , Jiarui Song , Tin Lai , Matloob Khushi

In the realm of financial decision-making, predicting stock prices is pivotal. Artificial intelligence techniques such as long short-term memory networks (LSTMs), support-vector machines (SVMs), and natural language processing (NLP) models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-04 Kevin Taylor , Jerry Ng

In this study, a novel Distributed Representation of News (DRNews) model is developed and applied in deep learning-based stock market predictions. With the merit of integrating contextual information and cross-documental knowledge, the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-05-17 Ye Ma , Lu Zong , Peiwan Wang

We investigate the efficacy of large language models (LLMs) in sentiment analysis of U.S. financial news and their potential in predicting stock market returns. We analyze a dataset comprising 965,375 news articles that span from January 1,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-30 Kemal Kirtac , Guido Germano

Predicting stock price movements during Earnings Announcements (EAs) is a significant challenge due to market noise and high-impact price discontinuities. In this study, we evaluate whether pre-announcement news sentiment, firm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Manuel Noseda , Nathan Soldati , Marco Paina

In this study, we explore the application of sentiment analysis on financial news headlines to understand investor sentiment. By leveraging Natural Language Processing (NLP) and Large Language Models (LLM), we analyze sentiment from the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Kangtong Mo , Wenyan Liu , Xuanzhen Xu , Chang Yu , Yuelin Zou , Fangqing Xia

The article is concerned with the problem of multi-step financial time series forecasting of Foreign Exchange (FX) rates. To address this problem, we introduce a regression network termed RegPred Net. The exchange rate to forecast is…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-12 Linwei Li , Paul-Amaury Matt , Christian Heumann

Financial sentiment analysis is a challenging task due to the specialized language and lack of labeled data in that domain. General-purpose models are not effective enough because of the specialized language used in a financial context. We…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-08-28 Dogu Araci

Dynamic hedging strategies are essential for effective risk management in derivatives markets, where volatility and market sentiment can greatly impact performance. This paper introduces a novel framework that leverages large language…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Jie Yang , Yiqiu Tang , Yongjie Li , Lihua Zhang , Haoran Zhang

With the pandemic of COVID-19, relevant fake news is spreading all over the sky throughout the social media. Believing in them without discrimination can cause great trouble to people's life. However, universal language models may perform…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-02-13 Ben Chen , Bin Chen , Dehong Gao , Qijin Chen , Chengfu Huo , Xiaonan Meng , Weijun Ren , Yang Zhou

It is reported that financial news, especially financial events expressed in news, provide information to investors' long/short decisions and influence the movements of stock markets. Motivated by this, we leverage financial event streams…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-30 Xianchao Wu

Large Language Models (LLMs) have been shown to perform well for many downstream tasks. Transfer learning can enable LLMs to acquire skills that were not targeted during pre-training. In financial contexts, LLMs can sometimes beat…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-08 Felix Drinkall , Janet B. Pierrehumbert , Stefan Zohren

The classification of news headlines is an important direction in the field of NLP, and its data has the characteristics of compactness, uniqueness and various forms. Aiming at the problem that the traditional neural network model cannot…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-02-15 Junjie Li , Hui Cao

Incorporating related text information has proven successful in stock market prediction. However, it is a huge challenge to utilize texts in the enormous forex (foreign currency exchange) market because the associated texts are too…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-10-14 Deli Chen , Shuming ma , Keiko Harimoto , Ruihan Bao , Qi Su , Xu Sun

Forecasting central bank policy decisions remains a persistent challenge for investors, financial institutions, and policymakers due to the wide-reaching impact of monetary actions. In particular, anticipating shifts in the U.S. federal…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-01 Fiona Xiao Jingyi , Lili Liu

Stock price movement prediction is a challenging and essential problem in finance. While it is well established in modern behavioral finance that the share prices of related stocks often move after the release of news via reactions and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-26 Luis Villamil , Ryan Bausback , Shaeke Salman , Ting L. Liu , Conrad Horn , Xiuwen Liu

Large pre-trained language models (LPLM) have shown spectacular success when fine-tuned on downstream supervised tasks. Yet, it is known that their performance can drastically drop when there is a distribution shift between the data used…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-11-04 Kostadin Cvejoski , Ramsés J. Sánchez , César Ojeda

The use of large pretrained neural networks to create contextualized word embeddings has drastically improved performance on several natural language processing (NLP) tasks. These computationally expensive models have begun to be applied to…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-12-03 Benjamin Clavié , Kobi Gal