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This study introduces a novel approach for EUR/USD exchange rate forecasting that integrates deep learning, textual analysis, and particle swarm optimization (PSO). By incorporating online news and analysis texts as qualitative data, the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-06-30 Hongcheng Ding , Xiangyu Shi , Ruiting Deng , Salaar Faroog , Deshinta Arrova Dewi , Shamsul Nahar Abdullah , Bahiah A Malek

Financial markets are difficult to predict due to its complex systems dynamics. Although there have been some recent studies that use machine learning techniques for financial markets prediction, they do not offer satisfactory performance…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-31 Jia Wang , Tong Sun , Benyuan Liu , Yu Cao , Degang Wang

In this paper we focus our attention on the exploitation of the information contained in financial news to enhance the performance of a classifier of bank distress. Such information should be analyzed and inserted into the predictive model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-06 Paola Cerchiello , Giancarlo Nicola , Samuel Ronnqvist , Peter Sarlin

The proliferation of online news enables potential widespread publication of perceived low-quality news headlines/links. As a result, we investigated whether it was possible to automatically distinguish perceived lower-quality news…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Austin McCutcheon , Thiago E. A. de Oliveira , Aleksandr Zheleznov , Chris Brogly

Stock market prediction is one of the most attractive research topic since the successful prediction on the market's future movement leads to significant profit. Traditional short term stock market predictions are usually based on the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-16 Huicheng Liu

This work presents a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) for the prediction of next-day stock fluctuations using company-specific news headlines. Experiments to evaluate model performance using various configurations of word-embeddings and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-06-23 Jonathan Readshaw , Stefano Giani

Reinforcement learning can interact with the environment and is suitable for applications in decision control systems. Therefore, we used the reinforcement learning method to establish a foreign exchange transaction, avoiding the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-05 Yun-Cheng Tsai , Chun-Chieh Wang

Over the last few years, machine learning based methods have been applied to extract information from news flow in the financial domain. However, this information has mostly been in the form of the financial sentiments contained in the news…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-09-10 Ankur Sinha , Tanmay Khandait

Financial sentiment analysis is crucial for understanding the influence of news on stock prices. Recently, large language models (LLMs) have been widely adopted for this purpose due to their advanced text analysis capabilities. However,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Yixuan Liang , Yuncong Liu , Neng Wang , Hongyang Yang , Boyu Zhang , Christina Dan Wang

Financial market like the price of stock, share, gold, oil, mutual funds are affected by the news and posts on social media. In this work deep learning based models are proposed to predict the trend of financial market based on NLP analysis…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Arijit Das , Tanmoy Nandi , Prasanta Saha , Suman Das , Saronyo Mukherjee , Sudip Kumar Naskar , Diganta Saha

Foreign currency exchange plays a vital role for trading of currency in the financial market. Due to its volatile nature, prediction of foreign currency exchange is a challenging task. This paper presents different machine learning…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-27 Swagat Ranjit

The objective of this research is to examine how sentiment analysis can be employed to generate trading signals for the Foreign Exchange (Forex) market. The author assessed sentiment in social media posts and news articles pertaining to the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-05 Oluwafemi F Olaiyapo

False news has received attention from both the general public and the scholarly world. Such false information has the ability to affect public perception, giving nefarious groups the chance to influence the results of public events like…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-09-26 Biplob Kumar Sutradhar , Md. Zonaid , Nushrat Jahan Ria , Sheak Rashed Haider Noori

The Foreign Exchange (Forex) is a large decentralized market, on which trading analysis and algorithmic trading are popular. Research efforts have been focusing on proof of efficiency of certain technical indicators. We demonstrate,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-01 Nikolay Ivanov , Qiben Yan

The stock market's ascent typically mirrors the flourishing state of the economy, whereas its decline is often an indicator of an economic downturn. Therefore, for a long time, significant correlation elements for predicting trends in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Wenjun Gu , Yihao Zhong , Shizun Li , Changsong Wei , Liting Dong , Zhuoyue Wang , Chao Yan

In a universe with a single currency, there would be no foreign exchange market, no foreign exchange rates, and no foreign exchange. Over the past twenty-five years, the way the market has performed those tasks has changed enormously. The…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Ajith Abraham

Binary options trading is often marketed as a field where predictive models can generate consistent profits. However, the inherent randomness and stochastic nature of binary options make price movements highly unpredictable, posing…

By capturing the prevailing sentiment and market mood, textual data has become increasingly vital for forecasting commodity prices, particularly in metal markets. However, the effectiveness of lightweight, finetuned large language models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Alvaro Paredes Amorin , Andre Python , Christoph Weisser

This paper presents the implementation of an advanced artificial intelligence-based algorithmic trading system specifically designed for the EUR-USD pair within the high-frequency environment of the Forex market. The methodological approach…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Juan C. King , Jose M. Amigo

The Foreign Exchange market is a significant market for speculators, characterized by substantial transaction volumes and high volatility. Accurately predicting the directional movement of currency pairs is essential for formulating a sound…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-08 Kevin Cedric Guyard , Michel Deriaz