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The theory of large deviations has been applied successfully in the last 30 years or so to study the properties of equilibrium systems and to put the foundations of equilibrium statistical mechanics on a clearer and more rigorous footing. A…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-09-14 Hugo Touchette , Rosemary J. Harris

Large deviation results are given for a class of perturbed nonhomogeneous Markov chains on finite state space which formally includes some stochastic optimization algorithms. Specifically, let {P_n} be a sequence of transition matrices on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Zach Dietz , Sunder Sethuraman

This paper focuses on systems of nonlinear second-order stochastic differential equations with multi-scales. The motivation for our study stems from mathematical physics and statistical mechanics, for examples, Langevin dynamics and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-08 Nhu N. Nguyen , George Yin

This chapter presents specific aspects of Gaussian process modeling in the presence of complex noise. Starting from the standard homoscedastic model, various generalizations from the literature are presented: input varying noise variance,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-11 Mickael Binois , Arindam Fadikar , Abby Stevens

We consider the problem of inferring a latent function in a probabilistic model of data. When dependencies of the latent function are specified by a Gaussian process and the data likelihood is complex, efficient computation often involve…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-23 Martin Tegner , Benjamin Bloem-Reddy , Stephen Roberts

This work introduces the concept of parametric Gaussian processes (PGPs), which is built upon the seemingly self-contradictory idea of making Gaussian processes parametric. Parametric Gaussian processes, by construction, are designed to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-08 Maziar Raissi

We study the small deviation probabilities of a family of very smooth self-similar Gaussian processes. The canonical process from the family has the same scaling property as standard Brownian motion and plays an important role in the study…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-18 Frank Aurzada , Fuchang Gao , Thomas Kühn , Wenbo V. Li , Qi-Man Shao

The term noncentral moderate deviations is used in the literature to mean a class of large deviation principles that, in some sense, fills the gap between the convergence in probability to a constant (governed by a reference large deviation…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Neha Gupta , Claudio Macci

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a good choice for function approximation as they are flexible, robust to over-fitting, and provide well-calibrated predictive uncertainty. Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are multi-layer generalisations of GPs,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-15 Hugh Salimbeni , Marc Deisenroth

We study large deviation asymptotics for processes defined in terms of continued fraction digits. We use the continued fraction digit sum process to define a stopping time and derive a joint large deviation asymptotic for the upper and…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2008-03-19 Marc Kesseböhmer , Mehdi Slassi

We study the asymptotic behavior of small deviation probabilities for the critical Galton-Watson processes with infinite variance of the offspring sizes of particles and apply the obtained result to investigate the structure of a reduced…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-16 Vladimir Vatutin , Elena Dyakonova , Yakubdjan Khusanbaev

The goal of this paper is to supplement the large deviation principle of the Freidlin--Wentzell theory on exit problems for diffusion processes with results of classical central limit theorem kind. We describe a class of situations where…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-23 Yuri Bakhtin , Andrzej Swiech

We use a semi-Markov process method to calculate large deviations of counting statistics for three open quantum systems, including a resonant two-level system and resonant three-level systems in the $\Lambda$- and $V$-configurations. In the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-12-15 Fei Liu

Birth-death processes form a natural class where ideas and results on large deviations can be tested. In this paper, we derive a large deviation principle under the assumption that the rate of a jump down (death) is growing asymptotically…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-21 N. D. Vvedenskaya , A. V. Logachov , Y. M. Suhov , A. A. Yambartsev

We formulate the large deviations for a class of two scale chemical kinetic processes motivated from biological applications. The result is successfully applied to treat a genetic switching model with positive feedbacks. The corresponding…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-05 Tiejun Li , Feng Lin

We introduce Gaussian orthogonal latent factor processes for modeling and predicting large correlated data. To handle the computational challenge, we first decompose the likelihood function of the Gaussian random field with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-30 Mengyang Gu , Hanmo Li

This paper is devoted to the problem of sample path large deviations for the Markov processes on R_+^N having a constant but different transition mechanism on each boundary set {x:x_i=0 for i\notin\Lambda, x_i>0 for i\in\Lambda}. The global…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Irina Ignatiouk-Robert

In this paper, we present large deviation theory that characterizes the exponential estimate for rare events of stochastic dynamical systems in the limit of weak noise. We aim to consider next-to-leading-order approximation for more…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-21 Yang Li , Shenglan Yuan , Linghongzhi Lu , Xianbin Liu

This paper gives a new representation of Pickands' constants, which arise in the study of extremes for a variety of Gaussian processes. Using this representation, we resolve the long-standing problem of devising a reliable algorithm for…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-13 A. B. Dieker , B. Yakir

We prove a full large deviations principle in large time, for a diffusion process with random drift V, which is a centered Gaussian shear flow random field. The large deviations principle is established in a ``quenched'' setting, i.e. is…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 A. Asselah , F. Castell