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This paper presents a method for probabilistic wind power forecasting that quantifies and integrates uncertainties from weather forecasts and weather-to-power conversion. By addressing both uncertainty sources, the method achieves…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-18 Gabriel Dantas , Jethro Browell

Electricity price is a key factor affecting the decision-making for all market participants. Accurate forecasting of electricity prices is very important and is also very challenging since electricity price is highly volatile due to various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-28 Vasudharini Sridharan , Mingjian Tuo , Xingpeng Li

With the growing popularity of electric vehicles as a means of addressing climate change, concerns have emerged regarding their impact on electric grid management. As a result, predicting EV charging demand has become a timely and important…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Iason Kyriakopoulos , Yannis Theodoridis

As Chile's electric power sector advances toward a future powered by renewable energy, accurate forecasting of renewable generation is essential for managing grid operations. The integration of renewable energy sources is particularly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-19 Dhruv Suri , Praneet Dutta , Flora Xue , Ines Azevedo , Ravi Jain

Farmers in developing regions like Karnataka, India, face a dual challenge: navigating extreme market and climate volatility while being excluded from the digital revolution due to literacy barriers. This paper presents a novel decision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Niranjan Mallikarjun Sindhur , Pavithra C , Nivya Muchikel

In this paper, a modified robust model predictive control scheme is proposed for linear parametric variable (LPV) and hybrid systems based on a quasi-min-max algorithm. Using a new cost function resulted in reduced unwanted disturbances…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-30 Soroush Sadeghnejad , Farshad Khadivar , Mojtaba Esfandiari , Golchehr Amirkhani , Hamed Moradi , Farzam Farahmand , Gholamreza Vossoughi

Electricity demand and generation have become increasingly unpredictable with the growing share of variable renewable energy sources in the power system. Forecasting electricity supply by fuel mix is crucial for market operation, ensuring…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-30 Han Lin Shang , Lin Han , Stefan Trück

Public charging station occupancy prediction plays key importance in developing a smart charging strategy to reduce electric vehicle (EV) operator and user inconvenience. However, existing studies are mainly based on conventional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-16 Tai-Yu Ma , Sébastien Faye

Extreme weather variations and the increasing unpredictability of load behavior make it difficult to determine power grid dispatches that are robust to uncertainties. While machine learning (ML) methods have improved the ability to model…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-21 Aayushya Agarwal , Larry Pileggi

Different machine learning (ML) models are trained on SCADA and meteorological data collected at an onshore wind farm and then assessed in terms of fidelity and accuracy for predictions of wind speed, turbulence intensity, and power capture…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-12-06 C. Moss , R. Maulik , G. V. Iungo

Short-term load forecasting is of paramount importance in the efficient operation and planning of power systems, given its inherent non-linear and dynamic nature. Recent strides in deep learning have shown promise in addressing this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-20 Paapa Kwesi Quansah , Edwin Kwesi Ansah Tenkorang

Reducing the energy consumption of mobile phones is a crucial design goal for cellular modem solutions for LTE and 5G standards. In addition to improving the power efficiency of components through structural and technological advances,…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2019-07-08 Peter Brand , Joachim Falk , Jonathan Ah Sue , Johannes Brendel , Ralph Hasholzner , Jürgen Teich

Accurate load prediction is an effective way to reduce power system operation costs. Traditionally, the mean square error (MSE) is a common-used loss function to guide the training of an accurate load forecasting model. However, the MSE…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-06 Jialun Zhang , Yi Wang , Gabriela Hug

Critical events in multivariate time series, from turbine failures to cardiac arrhythmias, demand accurate prediction, yet labeled data is scarce because such events are rare and costly to annotate. We introduce HEPA (Horizon-conditioned…

Weather forecasting refers to learning evolutionary patterns of some key upper-air and surface variables which is of great significance. Recently, deep learning-based methods have been increasingly applied in the field of weather…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Shuangliang Li , Siwei Li

Accurate short-term electricity price forecasting is crucial for strategically scheduling demand and generation bids in day-ahead markets. While data-driven techniques have shown considerable prowess in achieving high forecast accuracy in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-05 Maria Margarida Mascarenhas , Jilles De Blauwe , Mikael Amelin , Hussain Kazmi

Predictive control can either be data-based (e.g. data-enabled predictive control, or DeePC) or model-based (model predictive control). In this paper we aim to bridge the gap between the two by investigating the case where only a partial…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-10 Jeremy D. Watson

The participation of consumers and producers in demand response programs has increased in smart grids, which reduces investment and operation costs of power systems. Also, with the advent of renewable energy sources, the electricity market…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-29 Nafise Rezaei , Roozbeh Rajabi , Abouzar Estebsari

This paper presents a study of models for forecasting the electrical load for supermarket refrigeration. The data used for building the models consists of load measurements, local climate measurements and weather forecasts. The load…

This paper introduces a novel Bayesian reverse unrestricted mixed-frequency model applied to a panel of nine European electricity markets. Our model analyzes the impact of daily fossil fuel prices and hourly renewable energy generation on…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-01 Francesco Ravazzolo , Luca Rossini , Andrea Viselli
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