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In the context of epidemic spreading, many intricate dynamical patterns can emerge due to the cooperation of different types of pathogens or the interaction between the disease spread and other failure propagation mechanism. To unravel such…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-07 Bo Li , David Saad

This paper provides a framework for modeling financial contagion in a network subject to fire sales and price impacts, but allowing for firms to borrow to cover their shortfall as well. We consider both uncollateralized and collateralized…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-02 Maxim Bichuch , Zachary Feinstein

We study how the phenomenon of contagion can take place in the network of the world's stock exchanges due to the behavioral trait "blindeness to small changes". On large scale individual, the delay in the collective response may…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-25 Lucia Bellenzier , Jørgen Vitting Andersen , Giulia Rotundo

We present a simple continuous-time model of clearing in financial networks. Financial firms are represented as "tanks" filled with fluid (money), flowing in and out. Once "pipes" connecting "tanks" are open, the system reaches the clearing…

General Economics · Economics 2020-07-31 Isaac M. Sonin , Konstantin Sonin

Complex non-linear interactions between banks and assets we model by two time-dependent Erd\H{o}s Renyi network models where each node, representing bank, can invest either to a single asset (model I) or multiple assets (model II). We use…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-19 B. Podobnik , D. Horvatic , M. Bertella , L. Feng , X. Huang , B. Li

In this paper we estimate the propagation of liquidity shocks through interbank markets when the information about the underlying credit network is incomplete. We show that techniques such as Maximum Entropy currently used to reconstruct…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-08 Iacopo Mastromatteo , Elia Zarinelli , Matteo Marsili

Systemic risk arises as a multi-layer network phenomenon. Layers represent direct financial exposures of various types, including interbank liabilities, derivative- or foreign exchange exposures. Another network layer of systemic risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-13 Anton Pichler , Sebastian Poledna , Stefan Thurner

The vast majority of strategies aimed at controlling contagion processes on networks considers the connectivity pattern of the system as either quenched or annealed. However, in the real world many networks are highly dynamical and evolve…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-17 Suyu Liu , Nicola Perra , Marton Karsai , Alessandro Vespignani

This study presents an ANWSER model (asset network systemic risk model) to quantify the risk of financial contagion which manifests itself in a financial crisis. The transmission of financial distress is governed by a heterogeneous bank…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-17 Yoshiharu Maeno , Kenji Nishiguchi , Satoshi Morinaga , Hirokazu Matsushima

In spite of the growing theoretical literature on cascades of failures in interbank lending networks, empirical results seem to suggest that networks of direct exposures are not the major channel of financial contagion. In this paper we…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-06-18 Fabio Caccioli , J. Doyne Farmer , Nick Foti , Daniel Rockmore

This paper investigates the finite horizon risk-sensitive portfolio optimization in a regime-switching credit market with physical and information-induced default contagion. It is assumed that the underlying regime-switching process has…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-28 Lijun Bo , Huafu Liao , Xiang Yu

We describe the bailout of banks by governments as a Markov Decision Process (MDP) where the actions are equity investments. The underlying dynamics is derived from the network of financial institutions linked by mutual exposures, and the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-27 Daniele Petrone , Neofytos Rodosthenous , Vito Latora

Financial networks model a set of financial institutions (firms) interconnected by obligations. Recent work has introduced to this model a class of obligations called credit default swaps, a certain kind of financial derivatives. The main…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2022-01-17 Stavros D. Ioannidis , Bart de Keijzer , Carmine Ventre

Using particle system methodologies we study the propagation of financial distress in a network of firms facing credit risk. We investigate the phenomenon of a credit crisis and quantify the losses that a bank may suffer in a large credit…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-03-04 Paolo Dai Pra , Wolfgang J. Runggaldier , Elena Sartori , Marco Tolotti

In this paper, we introduce a distributed control strategy to prevent dynamically-induced cascading failures in power grids. We model power grids using complex networks and nonlinear dynamics to provide a coarse-grained description of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-08 Mattia Frasca , Lucia Valentina Gambuzza

The increasingly complex economic and financial environment in which we live makes the management of liquidity in payment systems and the economy in general a persistent challenge. New technologies are making it possible to address this…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-09 Tomaž Fleischman , Paolo Dini

A growing body of studies on systemic risk in financial markets has emphasized the key importance of taking into consideration the complex interconnections among financial institutions. Much effort has been put in modeling the contagion…

The increasing integration of world economies, which organize in complex multilayer networks of interactions, is one of the critical factors for the global propagation of economic crises. We adopt the network science approach to quantify…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-01-09 Michele Starnini , Marián Boguñá , M. Ángeles Serrano

We consider a network of bank holdings, where every holding has two subsidiaries of different types. A subsidiary can trade with another holding's subsidiary of the same type. Holdings support their subsidiaries up to a certain level when…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-11 Maxim Bichuch , Nils Detering

We derive a closed form solution for an optimal control problem related to an interbank lending schemes subject to terminal probability constraints on the failure of banks which are interconnected through a financial network. The derived…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-07 Francesco Cordoni , Luca Di Persio , Luca Prezioso