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Human motion prediction is consisting in forecasting future body poses from historically observed sequences. It is a longstanding challenge due to motion's complex dynamics and uncertainty. Existing methods focus on building up complicated…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-22 Zhihao Wang , Yulin Zhou , Ningyu Zhang , Xiaosong Yang , Jun Xiao , Zhao Wang

The field of trajectory forecasting has grown significantly in recent years, partially owing to the release of numerous large-scale, real-world human trajectory datasets for autonomous vehicles (AVs) and pedestrian motion tracking. While…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-07-27 Boris Ivanovic , Guanyu Song , Igor Gilitschenski , Marco Pavone

Human motion is stochastic and ensuring safe robot navigation in a pedestrian-rich environment requires proactive decision-making. Past research relied on incorporating deterministic future states of surrounding pedestrians which can be…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Anshul Nayak , Azim Eskandarian

Morden deep ensembles technique achieves strong uncertainty estimation performance by going through multiple forward passes with different models. This is at the price of a high storage space and a slow speed in the inference (test) time.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-13 Ha Manh Bui , Anqi Liu

Predicting human mobility is crucial for urban planning, traffic control, and emergency response. Mobility behaviors can be categorized into individual and collective, and these behaviors are recorded by diverse mobility data, such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-23 Qingyue Long , Yuan Yuan , Yong Li

Autonomous systems in the road transportation network require intelligent mechanisms that cope with uncertainty to foresee the future. In this paper, we propose a multi-stage probabilistic approach for trajectory forecasting: trajectory…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-28 Tiago Rodrigues de Almeida , Oscar Martinez Mozos

A rise in popularity of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs), attributed to more powerful GPUs and widely available datasets, has seen them being increasingly used within safety-critical domains. One such domain, self-driving, has benefited from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-19 Rhiannon Michelmore , Marta Kwiatkowska , Yarin Gal

This work introduces the conditioned Vehicle Motion Diffusion (cVMD) model, a novel network architecture for highway trajectory prediction using diffusion models. The proposed model ensures the drivability of the predicted trajectory by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Marion Neumeier , Sebastian Dorn , Michael Botsch , Wolfgang Utschick

Computational models support high-stakes decisions across engineering and science, and practitioners increasingly seek probabilistic predictions to quantify uncertainty in such models. Existing approaches generate predictions either by…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Rileigh Bandy , Enrico Camporeale , Andong Hu , Thomas Berger , Rebecca Morrison

In this paper, we present a novel trajectory prediction model for autonomous driving, combining a Characterized Diffusion Module and a Spatial-Temporal Interaction Network to address the challenges posed by dynamic and heterogeneous traffic…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Haoming Li

The high dynamics and heterogeneous interactions in the complicated urban systems have raised the issue of uncertainty quantification in spatiotemporal human mobility, to support critical decision-makings in risk-aware web applications such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Zhengyang Zhou , Yang Wang , Xike Xie , Lei Qiao , Yuantao Li

Methods to quantify the complexity of trajectory datasets are still a missing piece in benchmarking human trajectory prediction models. In order to gain a better understanding of the complexity of trajectory prediction tasks and following…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-05-21 Ronny Hug , Stefan Becker , Wolfgang Hübner , Michael Arens

Multi-agent trajectory forecasting in autonomous driving requires an agent to accurately anticipate the behaviors of the surrounding vehicles and pedestrians, for safe and reliable decision-making. Due to partial observability in these…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-09-01 Seong Hyeon Park , Gyubok Lee , Manoj Bhat , Jimin Seo , Minseok Kang , Jonathan Francis , Ashwin R. Jadhav , Paul Pu Liang , Louis-Philippe Morency

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have been extensively used in various real-world applications. However, the predictive uncertainty of GNNs stemming from diverse sources such as inherent randomness in data and model training errors can lead to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Fangxin Wang , Yuqing Liu , Kay Liu , Yibo Wang , Sourav Medya , Philip S. Yu

Robots and other intelligent systems navigating in complex dynamic environments should predict future actions and intentions of surrounding agents to reach their goals efficiently and avoid collisions. The dynamics of those agents strongly…

Despite the strong predictive performance of deep learning models for traffic prediction, their widespread deployment in real-world intelligent transportation systems has been restrained by a lack of interpretability. Uncertainty…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-14 Alexander Timans , Nina Wiedemann , Nishant Kumar , Ye Hong , Martin Raubal

Accurate prediction of human or vehicle trajectories with good diversity that captures their stochastic nature is an essential task for many applications. However, many trajectory prediction models produce unreasonable trajectory samples…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-10 Qingze , Liu , Danrui Li , Samuel S. Sohn , Sejong Yoon , Mubbasir Kapadia , Vladimir Pavlovic

This paper presents a framework capable of accurately and smoothly estimating position, heading, and velocity. Using this high-quality input, we propose a system based on Trajectron++, able to consistently generate precise trajectory…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-02-14 Mikolaj Kliniewski , Jesse Morris , Ian R. Manchester , Viorela Ila

Accurate prediction of driving scene is a challenging task due to uncertainty in sensor data, the complex behaviors of agents, and the possibility of multiple feasible futures. Existing prediction methods using occupancy grid maps primarily…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Rabbia Asghar , Lukas Rummelhard , Wenqian Liu , Anne Spalanzani , Christian Laugier

Deep-learning-based data-driven forecasting methods have produced impressive results for traffic forecasting. A major limitation of these methods, however, is that they provide forecasts without estimates of uncertainty, which are critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-07 Tanwi Mallick , Prasanna Balaprakash , Jane Macfarlane