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Tremendous efforts have been put forth on predicting pedestrian trajectory with generative models to accommodate uncertainty and multi-modality in human behaviors. An individual's inherent uncertainty, e.g., change of destination, can be…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Yao Liu , Zesheng Ye , Rui Wang , Binghao Li , Quan Z. Sheng , Lina Yao

Performance estimation aims at estimating the loss that a predictive model will incur on unseen data. These procedures are part of the pipeline in every machine learning project and are used for assessing the overall generalisation ability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-31 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Torgo , Igor Mozetic

Most research designing novel predictive models, or employing existing ones, assumes that training and testing data are independent and identically distributed. In practice, the data encountered at serving time often deviate from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-30 Hanyu Duan , Yi Yang , Ahmed Abbasi , Kar Yan Tam

Predicting future behavior of other traffic participants is an essential task that needs to be solved by automated vehicles and human drivers alike to achieve safe and situationaware driving. Modern approaches to vehicles trajectory…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-10-02 Florian Mirus , Terrence C. Stewart , Jorg Conradt

Forecasting the trajectory of pedestrians in shared urban traffic environments is still considered one of the challenging problems facing the development of autonomous vehicles (AVs). In the literature, this problem is often tackled using…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-08-10 Khaled Saleh

As autonomous driving technology progresses, the need for precise trajectory prediction models becomes paramount. This paper introduces an innovative model that infuses cognitive insights into trajectory prediction, focusing on perceived…

Autonomous vehicles rely on accurate trajectory prediction to inform decision-making processes related to navigation and collision avoidance. However, current trajectory prediction models show signs of overfitting, which may lead to unsafe…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-04-23 Jeroen Hagenus , Frederik Baymler Mathiesen , Julian F. Schumann , Arkady Zgonnikov

The reliability assessment of a machine learning model's prediction is an important quantity for the deployment in safety critical applications. Not only can it be used to detect novel sceneries, either as out-of-distribution or anomaly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-12 Steve Dias Da Cruz , Bertram Taetz , Thomas Stifter , Didier Stricker

In urban driving scenarios, forecasting future trajectories of surrounding vehicles is of paramount importance. While several approaches for the problem have been proposed, the best-performing ones tend to require extremely detailed input…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-03-27 Shashank Srikanth , Junaid Ahmed Ansari , Karnik Ram R , Sarthak Sharma , Krishna Murthy J. , Madhava Krishna K

To plan a safe and efficient route, an autonomous vehicle should anticipate future trajectories of other agents around it. Trajectory prediction is an extremely challenging task which recently gained a lot of attention in the autonomous…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Apoorv Singh

Predicting the future motion of surrounding road users is a crucial and challenging task for autonomous driving (AD) and various advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS). Planning a safe future trajectory heavily depends on understanding…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Maximilian Schäfer , Kun Zhao , Markus Bühren , Anton Kummert

To safely and efficiently navigate in complex urban traffic, autonomous vehicles must make responsible predictions in relation to surrounding traffic-agents (vehicles, bicycles, pedestrians, etc.). A challenging and critical task is to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-04-10 Yuexin Ma , Xinge Zhu , Sibo Zhang , Ruigang Yang , Wenping Wang , Dinesh Manocha

We propose to predict the future trajectories of observed agents (e.g., pedestrians or vehicles) by estimating and using their goals at multiple time scales. We argue that the goal of a moving agent may change over time, and modeling goals…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-29 Chuhua Wang , Yuchen Wang , Mingze Xu , David J. Crandall

Motion forecasting for on-road traffic agents presents both a significant challenge and a critical necessity for ensuring safety in autonomous driving systems. In contrast to most existing data-driven approaches that directly predict future…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Muleilan Pei , Shaoshuai Shi , Xuesong Chen , Xu Liu , Shaojie Shen

For many applications it is critical to know the uncertainty of a neural network's predictions. While a variety of neural network parameter estimation methods have been proposed for uncertainty estimation, they have not been rigorously…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-05 Nabeel Seedat , Christopher Kanan

Off-road autonomous unmanned ground vehicles (UGVs) are being developed for military and commercial use to deliver crucial supplies in remote locations, help with mapping and surveillance, and to assist war-fighters in contested…

Predicting the future behavior of moving agents is essential for real world applications. It is challenging as the intent of the agent and the corresponding behavior is unknown and intrinsically multimodal. Our key insight is that for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-08-24 Hang Zhao , Jiyang Gao , Tian Lan , Chen Sun , Benjamin Sapp , Balakrishnan Varadarajan , Yue Shen , Yi Shen , Yuning Chai , Cordelia Schmid , Congcong Li , Dragomir Anguelov

Trajectory prediction models often fail in real-world automated driving due to distributional shifts between training and test conditions. Such distributional shifts, whether behavioural or environmental, pose a critical risk by causing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-15 Michele De Vita , Julian Wiederer , Vasileios Belagiannis

Multi-agent trajectory modeling traditionally focuses on forecasting, often neglecting more general tasks like trajectory completion, which is essential for real-world applications such as correcting tracking data. Existing methods also…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Guillem Capellera , Antonio Rubio , Luis Ferraz , Antonio Agudo

Sophisticated trajectory prediction models that effectively mimic team dynamics have many potential uses for sports coaches, broadcasters and spectators. However, through experiments on soccer data we found that it can be surprisingly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Brandon Victor , Aiden Nibali , Zhen He , David L. Carey