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Multivariate processes with long-range dependent properties are found in a large number of applications including finance, geophysics and neuroscience. For real data applications, the correlation between time series is crucial. Usual…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-02 Sophie Achard , Irène Gannaz

The temperature dependence of the diffusion coefficient of particles is studied on lattices with disorder. A model is investigated with both trap and barrier disorder that was introduced before by Limoge and Bocquet (1990 Phys. Rev. Lett.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-28 K. Mussawisade , T. Wichmann , K. W. Kehr

In this paper we consider an ergodic diffusion process with jumps whose drift coefficient depends on $\mu$ and volatility coefficient depends on $\sigma$, two unknown parameters. We suppose that the process is discretely observed at the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-30 Chiara Amorino , Arnaud Gloter

This paper deals with the dynamic factor analysis problem for an ARMA process. To robustly estimate the number of factors, we construct a confidence region centered in a finite sample estimate of the underlying model which contains the true…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-09 Lucia Falconi , Augusto Ferrante , Mattia Zorzi

This paper deals with the problem of outliers in high frequency observation data from diffusion processes. Robust estimation methods are needed because the inclusion of outliers can lead to incorrect statistical inference even in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-06 Tomoyuki Nakagawa , Yusuke Shimizu

Thermodynamic uncertainty relations (TURs) and kinetic uncertainty relations (KURs) provide tradeoff relations between measurement precision and thermodynamic cost such as entropy production and activity. Conventionally, these relations are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-12-16 Euijoon Kwon , Jae Sung Lee

In clinical trials, a covariate-adjusted response-adaptive (CARA) design allows a subject newly entering a trial a better chance of being allocated to a superior treatment regimen based on cumulative information from previous subjects, and…

Applications · Statistics 2011-06-21 Yuan-chin Ivan Chang , Eunsik Park

Interest in continuous-time processes has increased rapidly in recent years, largely because of high-frequency data available in many applications. We develop a method for estimating the kernel function $g$ of a second-order stationary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-22 Peter Brockwell , Vincenzo Ferrazzano , Claudia Klüppelberg

This work is motivated by the classical discrete elastic rod model by Audoly et al. We derive a discrete version of the Kirchhoff elastic energy for rods undergoing bending and torsion and prove $\Gamma$-convergence to the continuous model.…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Patrick Dondl , Coffi Aristide Hounkpe , Martin Jesenko

We study the dynamics of spin currents in the XX spin-1/2 ladder at finite temperature. Within the framework of linear response theory, we numerically calculate autocorrelation functions for quantum systems larger than what is accessible…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2014-09-29 R. Steinigeweg , F. Heidrich-Meisner , J. Gemmer , K. Michielsen , H. De Raedt

Conditional autoregressive (CAR) models are commonly used to capture spatial correlation in areal unit data, and are typically specified as a prior distribution for a set of random effects, as part of a hierarchical Bayesian model. The…

Applications · Statistics 2012-05-17 Duncan Lee , Richard Mitchell

The Gamma-Dirichlet structure corresponds to the decomposition of the gamma process into the independent product of a gamma random variable and a Dirichlet process. This structure allows us to study the properties of the Dirichlet process…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-21 Shui Feng , Fang Xu

Celestial objects exhibit a wide range of variability in brightness at different wavebands. Surprisingly, the most common methods for characterizing time series in statistics -- parametric autoregressive modeling -- is rarely used to…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-24 Eric D. Feigelson , G. Jogesh Babu , Gabriel A. Caceres

The dependencies of the lagged (Pearson) correlation function on the coefficients of multivariate autoregressive models are interpreted in the framework of time series graphs. Time series graphs are related to the concept of Granger…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-10-22 Jakob Runge

In this paper, we develop a method to model and estimate several, _dependent_ count processes, using granular data. Specifically, we develop a multivariate Cox process with shot noise intensities to jointly model the arrival process of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-19 Benjamin Avanzi , Gregory Clive Taylor , Bernard Wong , Xinda Yang

An estimation method is proposed for a wide variety of discrete time stochastic processes that have an intractable likelihood function but are otherwise conveniently specified by an integral transform such as the characteristic function,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 T. Merkouris

Employing a phase space which includes the (Riemann-Liouville) fractional derivative of curves evolving on real space, we develop a restricted variational principle for Lagrangian systems yielding the so-called restricted fractional…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2018-03-01 Fernando Jiménez , Sina Ober-Blöbaum

We consider the problem of modeling the dependence among many time series. We build high dimensional time-varying copula models by combining pair-copula constructions (PCC) with stochastic autoregressive copula (SCAR) models to capture…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-10 Carlos Almeida , Claudia Czado , Hans Manner

We compute the time variation of the fundamental constants (such as the ratio of the proton mass to the electron mass, the strong coupling constant, the fine structure constant and Newton's constant) within the context of the so-called…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2017-04-03 Harald Fritzsch , Joan Sola , Rafael C. Nunes

We present a discretization of the dynamic optimal transport problem for which we can obtain the convergence rate for the value of the transport cost to its continuous value when the temporal and spatial stepsize vanish. This convergence…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-30 Sadashige Ishida , Hugo Lavenant