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Consistently checking the statistical significance of experimental results is the first mandatory step towards reproducible science. This paper presents a hitchhiker's guide to rigorous comparisons of reinforcement learning algorithms.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-30 Cédric Colas , Olivier Sigaud , Pierre-Yves Oudeyer

Sequential Recommender Systems (SRSs) have emerged as a highly efficient approach to recommendation systems. By leveraging sequential data, SRSs can identify temporal patterns in user behaviour, significantly improving recommendation…

Stepped-wedge cluster randomized trials (SW-CRTs) evaluate interventions rolled out across clusters over time. Standard analyses typically use immediate-treatment (IT) models, which assume effects begin at crossover and remain constant…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-21 Yongdong Ouyang , Monica Taljaard , James P. Hughes , Fan Li

Deep research systems, agentic AI that solve complex, multi-step tasks by coordinating reasoning, search across the open web and user files, and tool use, are moving toward hierarchical deployments with a Planner, Coordinator, and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-06 Wenjun Li , Zhi Chen , Jingru Lin , Hannan Cao , Wei Han , Sheng Liang , Zhi Zhang , Kuicai Dong , Dexun Li , Chen Zhang , Yong Liu

Hybrid controlled trials (HCTs), which augment randomized controlled trials (RCTs) with external controls (ECs), are increasingly receiving attention as a way to address limited power, slow accrual, and ethical concerns in clinical…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-02 Jiajun Liu , Ke Zhu , Shu Yang , Xiaofei Wang

In this paper we present tools for applied researchers that re-purpose off-the-shelf methods from the computer-science field of machine learning to create a "discovery engine" for data from randomized controlled trials (RCTs). The applied…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-13 Jens Ludwig , Sendhil Mullainathan , Jann Spiess

Accurate bandwidth estimation (BWE) is critical for real-time communication (RTC) systems. Traditional heuristic approaches offer limited adaptability under dynamic networks, while online reinforcement learning (RL) suffers from high…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-09 Jian Kai , Tianwei Zhang , Zihan Ling , Yang Cao , Can Shen

Digital Twins (DT) have become crucial to achieve sustainable and effective smart urban solutions. However, current DT modelling techniques cannot support the dynamicity of these smart city environments. This is caused by the lack of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-30 Lal Verda Cakir , Kubra Duran , Craig Thomson , Matthew Broadbent , Berk Canberk

In cluster-randomized trials (CRTs), missing data can occur in various ways, including missing values in outcomes and baseline covariates at the individual or cluster level, or completely missing information for non-participants. Among the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-06 Bingkai Wang , Fan Li , Rui Wang

We propose a novel multi-task neural network approach for estimating distributional treatment effects (DTE) in randomized experiments. While DTE provides more granular insights into the experiment outcomes over conventional methods focusing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Tomu Hirata , Undral Byambadalai , Tatsushi Oka , Shota Yasui , Shingo Uto

When it is not feasible to conduct randomized controlled trials (RCTs), the use of external control arms based on real-world data (RWD) may be a viable option. However, challenges arising from data heterogeneity must be addressed to ensure…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-02 Javier Cabrera , Berhanu Alemayehu , Demissie Alemayehu , Sofia Weigle

Platform trials allow treatment arms to enter and exit over time while maintaining a shared control arm, yielding concurrent and non-concurrent controls (NCC). Pooling NCC is often motivated as a strategy to improve statistical efficiency,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-12 Antonio D'Alessandro , Samrachana Adhikari , Michele Santacatterina

Understanding causality should be a core requirement of any attempt to build real impact through AI. Due to the inherent unobservability of counterfactuals, large randomised trials (RCTs) are the standard for causal inference. But large…

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) frequently utilize covariate-adaptive randomization (CAR) (e.g., stratified block randomization) and commonly suffer from imperfect compliance. This paper studies the identification and inference for the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-02 Federico A. Bugni , Mengsi Gao , Filip Obradovic , Amilcar Velez

In physical Human-Robot Collaboration (pHRC), accurate human intent estimation and rational human-robot role allocation are crucial for safe and efficient assistance. Existing methods that rely on short-term motion data for intention…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Haotian Liu , Yuchuang Tong , Zhengtao Zhang

Covariate adjustment aims to improve the statistical efficiency of randomized trials by incorporating information from baseline covariates. Popular methods for covariate adjustment include analysis of covariance for continuous endpoints and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-09 Zhiwei Zhang , Ya Wang , Dong Xi

Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) are pivotal in generating internally valid estimates with minimal assumptions, serving as a cornerstone for researchers dedicated to advancing causal inference methods. However, extending these findings…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-28 Melody Y Huang , Harsh Parikh

The Heuristic Ratio Estimation (HRE) approach proposes a new way of using the pairwise comparisons matrix. It allows the assumption that the weights of some alternatives (herein referred to as concepts) are known and fixed, hence the weight…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2015-09-25 Konrad Kułakowski

We consider how increasingly available observational data can be used to improve the design of randomized controlled trials (RCTs). We seek to design a prospective RCT, with the intent of using an Empirical Bayes estimator to shrink the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-15 Evan T. R. Rosenman , Luke Miratrix

Randomized control trials (RCTs) are the gold standard for estimating causal effects, but often use samples that are non-representative of the actual population of interest. We propose a reweighting method for estimating population average…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-09 Kellie Ottoboni , Jason Poulos