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Quantifying uncertainty and updating reliability are essential for ensuring the safety and performance of engineering systems. This study develops a hierarchical Bayesian modeling (HBM) framework to quantify uncertainty and update…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-31 Xinyu Jia , Weinan Hou , Costas Papadimitriou

This paper presents a hierarchical Bayesian modeling framework for the uncertainty quantification in modal identification of linear dynamical systems using multiple vibration data sets. This novel framework integrates the state-of-the-art…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-19 Omid Sedehi , Lambros S. Katafygiotis , Costas Papadimitriou

In the presence of modeling errors, the mainstream Bayesian methods seldom give a realistic account of uncertainties as they commonly underestimate the inherent variability of parameters. This problem is not due to any misconception in the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-19 Omid Sedehi , Costas Papadimitriou , Lambros S. Katafygiotis

In prognostics and health management (PHM) of engineered systems, maintenance decisions are ideally informed by predictions of a system's remaining useful life (RUL) based on operational data. Model-based prognostics algorithms rely on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-23 Xinyu Jia , Iason Papaioannou , Daniel Straub

The current Bayesian FFT algorithm relies on direct differentiation to obtain the posterior covariance matrix (PCM), which is time-consuming, memory-intensive, and hard to code, especially for the multi-setup operational modal analysis…

Computation · Statistics 2024-12-03 Wei Zhu , Binbin Li , Zuo Zhu

The increased availability of observation data from engineering systems in operation poses the question of how to incorporate this data into finite element models. To this end, we propose a novel statistical construction of the finite…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-25 Mark Girolami , Eky Febrianto , Ge Yin , Fehmi Cirak

When using the finite element method (FEM) in inverse problems, its discretization error can produce parameter estimates that are inaccurate and overconfident. The Bayesian finite element method (BFEM) provides a probabilistic model for the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Anne Poot , Iuri Rocha , Pierre Kerfriden , Frans van der Meer

Reliable models of the thermodynamic properties of materials are critical for industrially relevant applications that require a good understanding of equilibrium phase diagrams, thermal and chemical transport, and microstructure evolution.…

Materials Science · Physics 2018-09-21 Noah H. Paulson , Elise Jennings , Marius Stan

In full-scale forced vibration tests, the demand often arises to capture high-spatial-resolution mode shapes with limited number of sensors and shakers. Multi-setup experimental modal analysis (EMA) addresses this challenge by roving…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Peixiang Wang , Binbin Li

For civil structures, structural damage due to severe loading events such as earthquakes, or due to long-term environmental degradation, usually occurs in localized areas of a structure. A new sparse Bayesian probabilistic framework for…

Applications · Statistics 2015-07-02 Yong Huang , James L. Beck

Enhancing seismic fragility and risk assessment of nuclear power plants relies on accurate prediction of reactor building responses to seismic hazards, which can be further improved through dynamic analysis of high-fidelity finite element…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-27 Taro Yaoyama , Sangwon Lee , Minoru Matsubara , Kenzo Kodera , Takeshi Ugata , Tatsuya Itoi

Bayesian model updating provides a rigorous probabilistic framework for calibrating finite element (FE) models with quantified uncertainties, thereby enhancing damage assessment, response prediction, and performance evaluation of…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-27 Taro Yaoyama , Tatsuya Itoi , Jun Iyama

Finite element model updating is challenging because 1) the problem is oftentimes underdetermined while the measurements are limited and/or incomplete; 2) many combinations of parameters may yield responses that are similar with respect to…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-28 Kai Zhou , Jiong Tang

Several recent works encourage the use of a Bayesian framework when assessing performance and fairness metrics of a classification algorithm in a supervised setting. We propose the Uncertainty Matters (UM) framework that generalizes a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-03 Ainhize Barrainkua , Paula Gordaliza , Jose A. Lozano , Novi Quadrianto

Recent papers in the field of Finite Element Model (FEM) updating have highlighted the benefits of Bayesian techniques. The Bayesian approaches are designed to deal with the uncertainties associated with complex systems, which is the main…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2011-10-18 I. Boulkaibet , T. Marwala , L. Mthembu , M. I. Friswell , S. Adhikari

Quantifying uncertainty in neural network predictions is essential for high-stakes domains such as autonomous driving, healthcare, and manufacturing. While existing approaches often depend on costly sampling or restrictive distributional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Eunseo Choi , Ho-Yeon Kim , Jaewon Lee , Taeyong jo , Myungjun lee , Heejin Ahn

Structural transformation, the shift from agrarian economies to more diversified industrial and service-based systems, is a key driver of economic development. However, in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), data scarcity and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-02 Ronald Katende

Quantification of the impact of uncertainty in material properties as well as the input ground motion on structural responses is an important step in implementing a performance-based earthquake engineering (PBEE) framework. Among various…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-08-12 Mohammad Amin Hariri-Ardebili , Farhad Pourkamali-Anaraki , Siamak Sattar

The Heterogeneous Multiscale Finite Element Method (FE-HMM) is a two-scale FEM based on asymptotic homogenization for solving multiscale partial differential equations. It was introduced in [W. E and B. Engquist, \emph{Commun. Math. Sci.},…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-11-22 Bernhard Eidel , Andreas Fischer

Accurate representations of unknown and sub-grid physical processes through parameterizations (or closure) in numerical simulations with quantified uncertainty are critical for resolving the coarse-grained partial differential equations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-08 Yongquan Qu , Mohamed Aziz Bhouri , Pierre Gentine
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