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Related papers: Credible Persuasion

200 papers

Transparency of information disclosure has always been considered an instrumental component of effective governance, accountability, and ethical behavior in any organization or system. However, a natural question follows: \emph{what is the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Tao Li , Quanyan Zhu

We study sequential social learning with continuous actions and conformity when agents can endogenously generate hard, publicly verifiable evidence. Actions transmit soft information whose visibility depends on responsiveness to private…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-11-04 Darina Cheredina , Georgy Lukyanov

The secrecy of a communication system in which both the legitimate receiver and an eavesdropper are allowed some distortion is investigated. The secrecy metric considered is the exponent of the probability that the eavesdropper estimates…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-04-04 Ibrahim Issa , Aaron B. Wagner

The problem of peer prediction is to elicit information from agents in settings without any objective ground truth against which to score reports. Peer prediction mechanisms seek to exploit correlations between signals to align incentives…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-06-20 Victor Shnayder , Arpit Agarwal , Rafael Frongillo , David C. Parkes

A sender with state-independent preferences (i.e., transparent motives) privately observes a signal about the state of the world before sending a message to a receiver, who subsequently takes an action. Regardless of whether the receiver…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-05-03 Mark Whitmeyer

Prediction credibility measures, in the form of confidence intervals or probability distributions, are fundamental in statistics and machine learning to characterize model robustness, detect out-of-distribution samples (outliers), and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-26 Luiz F. O. Chamon , Santiago Paternain , Alejandro Ribeiro

We study a persuasion problem in which a sender designs an information structure to induce a non-Bayesian receiver to take a particular action. The receiver, who is privately informed about his preferences, is a wishful thinker: he is…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-12-01 Victor Augias , Daniel M. A. Barreto

We consider a persuasion problem between a sender and a receiver whose utility may be nonlinear in her belief; we call such receivers risk-conscious. Such utility models arise when the receiver exhibits systematic biases away from…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-07-17 Jerry Anunrojwong , Krishnamurthy Iyer , David Lingenbrink

Persuasion studies how a principal can influence agents' decisions via strategic information revelation --- often described as a signaling scheme --- in order to yield the most desirable equilibrium outcome. Recently, there has been a large…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-10-22 Haifeng Xu

A seller posts a price for a single object. The seller's and buyer's values may be interdependent. We characterize the set of payoff vectors across all information structures. Simple feasibility and individual-rationality constraints…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-09-10 Navin Kartik , Weijie Zhong

We address Bayesian persuasion between a sender and a receiver with state-dependent quadratic cost measures for general classes of distributions. The receiver seeks to make mean-square-error estimate of a state based on a signal sent by the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Muhammed O. Sayin , Tamer Basar

A rapidly growing literature on lying in behavioral economics and psychology shows that individuals often do not lie even when lying maximizes their utility. In this work, we attempt to incorporate these findings into the theory of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Shahar Dobzinski , Sigal Oren

A sender flexibly acquires evidence--which she may pay a third party to certify--to disclose to a receiver. When evidence acquisition is overt, the receiver observes the evidence gathering process irrespective of whether its outcome is…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-08-10 Mark Whitmeyer , Kun Zhang

A seller sells an object over time but is uncertain how the buyer learns their willingness-to-pay. We consider informational robustness under \textit{limited commitment}, where the seller offers a price \textit{each period} to maximize…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-09-10 Zihao Li , Jonathan Libgober , Xiaosheng Mu

We consider a two-player dynamic information design problem between a principal and a receiver -- a game is played between the two agents on top of a Markovian system controlled by the receiver's actions, where the principal obtains and…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Dengwang Tang , Vijay G. Subramanian

Weighted Updating generalizes Bayesian updating, allowing for biased beliefs by weighting the likelihood function and prior distribution with positive real exponents. I provide a rigorous foundation for the model by showing that…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-09 Jesse Aaron Zinn

In recent studies of political decision-making, apparently anomalous behavior has been observed on the part of voters, in which negative information about a candidate strengthens, rather than weakens, a prior positive opinion about the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-06-12 William W. Cohen , David P. Redlawsk , Douglas Pierce

Indirect reciprocity is a mechanism by which individuals cooperate with those who have cooperated with others. This creates a regime in which repeated interactions are not necessary to incent cooperation (as would be required for direct…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-08-08 Victor Vikram Odouard , Michael Holton Price

We revisit the classical credibility results of Jewell and B\"uhlmann to obtain credibility premiums for a GLM using a modern Bayesian approach. Here the prior distributions can be chosen without restrictions to be conjugate to the response…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-17 Oscar Alberto Quijano Xacur , José Garrido

This paper studies mechanism design environments in which the designer does not know the distribution of agents' private information a priori and instead learns from agents' behavior induced by the mechanism itself. We formalize a notion of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-16 Zhiming Feng , Qingmin Liu