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Accurate travel products price forecasting is a highly desired feature that allows customers to take informed decisions about purchases, and companies to build and offer attractive tour packages. Thanks to machine learning (ML), it is now…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-10 Rosa Candela , Pietro Michiardi , Maurizio Filippone , Maria A. Zuluaga

Ancillaries have become a major source of revenue and profitability in the travel industry. Yet, conventional pricing strategies are based on business rules that are poorly optimized and do not respond to changing market conditions. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-07 Naman Shukla , Arinbjörn Kolbeinsson , Ken Otwell , Lavanya Marla , Kartik Yellepeddi

This paper contributes to the literature on parametric demand estimation by using deep learning to model consumer preferences. Traditional econometric methods often struggle with limited within-product price variation, a challenge addressed…

General Economics · Economics 2024-12-16 Kirill Safonov

The prediction of financial markets is a challenging yet important task. In modern electronically-driven markets, traditional time-series econometric methods often appear incapable of capturing the true complexity of the multi-level…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-01 Martin Magris , Mostafa Shabani , Alexandros Iosifidis

We propose double/debiased machine learning approaches to infer (at the parametric rate) the parametric component of a logistic partially linear model with the binary response following a conditional logistic model of a low dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-01 Molei Liu , Yi Zhang , Doudou Zhou

Data analytics using machine learning (ML) has become ubiquitous in science, business intelligence, journalism and many other domains. While a lot of work focuses on reducing the training cost, inference runtime and storage cost of ML…

Databases · Computer Science 2018-05-30 Lingjiao Chen , Paraschos Koutris , Arun Kumar

In this paper, we solve the multiple product price optimization problem under interval uncertainties of the price sensitivity parameters in the demand function. The objective of the price optimization problem is to maximize the overall…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-01 Mahdi Hamzeei , Alvin Lim , Jiefeng Xu

Item Price Elasticity is used to quantify the responsiveness of consumer demand to changes in item prices, enabling businesses to create pricing strategies and optimize revenue management. Sectors such as store retail, e-commerce, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Lakshya Garg , Sai Yaswanth , Deep Narayan Mishra , Karthik Kumaran , Anupriya Sharma , Mayank Uniyal

Firms are more likely to introduce products in markets where they anticipate stronger demand. They also possess information that is unobserved to researchers. This creates endogenous selection bias in the estimation of demand parameters.…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-13 Victor Aguirregabiria , Alessandro Iaria , Senay Sokullu

We study the application of dynamic pricing to insurance. We view this as an online revenue management problem where the insurance company looks to set prices to optimize the long-run revenue from selling a new insurance product. We develop…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-07-12 Yuqing Zhang , Neil Walton

There is an opportunity in modern power systems to explore the demand flexibility by incentivizing consumers with dynamic prices. In this paper, we quantify demand flexibility using an efficient tool called time-varying elasticity, whose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-03 Guangchun Ruan , Daniel S. Kirschen , Haiwang Zhong , Qing Xia , Chongqing Kang

Predicting a customer's propensity-to-pay at an early point in the revenue cycle can provide organisations many opportunities to improve the customer experience, reduce hardship and reduce the risk of impaired cash flow and occurrence of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Md Abul Bashar , Astin-Walmsley Kieren , Heath Kerina , Richi Nayak

We propose a machine learning method to solve a mean-field game price formation model with common noise. This involves determining the price of a commodity traded among rational agents subject to a market clearing condition imposed by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-30 Diogo Gomes , Julian Gutierrez , Mathieu Laurière

This study proposes a framework for estimating demand in differentiated product markets with high dimensional product characteristics, building upon the seminal Berry, Levinsohn, and Pakes (1995) model, using market level data. We allow for…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-05 Hua Jin

A two-stage batch estimation algorithm for solving a class of nonlinear, static parameter estimation problems that appear in aerospace engineering applications is proposed. It is shown how these problems can be recast into a form suitable…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-18 Kerry Sun , Demoz Gebre-Egziabher

We introduce the Pricing Engine package to enable the use of Double ML estimation techniques in general panel data settings. Customization allows the user to specify first-stage models, first-stage featurization, second stage treatment…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-06-14 Matt Goldman , Brian Quistorff

The manufacturing industry is under growing pressure to enhance sustainability while preserving economic competitiveness. As a result, manufacturers have been trying to determine how to integrate onsite renewable energy and real-time…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-22 Hongliang Li , Herschel C. Pangborn , Ilya Kovalenko

We study dynamic joint assortment and pricing where a seller updates decisions at regular accounting/operating intervals to maximize the cumulative per-period revenue over a horizon $T$. In many settings, assortment and prices affect not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-20 Junhui Cai , Ran Chen , Qitao Huang , Linda Zhao , Wu Zhu

Predictive models are often used for real-time decision making. However, typical machine learning techniques ignore feature evaluation cost, and focus solely on the accuracy of the machine learning models obtained utilizing all the features…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-08-19 Leilani Battle , Edward Benson , Aditya Parameswaran , Eugene Wu

Estimating probability of failure in aerospace systems is a critical requirement for flight certification and qualification. Failure probability estimation involves resolving tails of probability distribution, and Monte Carlo sampling…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-09-22 S. Ashwin Renganathan , Vishwas Rao , Ionel M. Navon
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