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Demand estimation plays an important role in dynamic pricing where the optimal price can be obtained via maximizing the revenue based on the demand curve. In online hotel booking platform, the demand or occupancy of rooms varies across…

General Economics · Economics 2022-08-12 Fanwei Zhu , Wendong Xiao , Yao Yu , Ziyi Wang , Zulong Chen , Quan Lu , Zemin Liu , Minghui Wu , Shenghua Ni

The flexible loads in power systems, such as interruptible and transferable loads, are critical flexibility resources for mitigating power imbalances. Despite their potential, accurate modeling of these loads is a challenging work and has…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-06 Mingji Chen , Shuai Lu , Wei Gu , Zhaoyang Dong , Yijun Xu , Jiayi Ding

For premium consumer products, pricing strategy is not about a single number, but about understanding the perceived monetary value of the features that justify a higher cost. This paper proposes a robust methodology to deconstruct a…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-20 Srijesh Pillai , Rajesh Kumar Chandrawat

In this paper, we study the contextual dynamic pricing problem where the market value of a product is linear in its observed features plus some market noise. Products are sold one at a time, and only a binary response indicating success or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-05 Jianqing Fan , Yongyi Guo , Mengxin Yu

Machine Learning (ML) research has focused on maximizing the accuracy of predictive tasks. ML models, however, are increasingly more complex, resource intensive, and costlier to deploy in resource-constrained environments. These issues are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-31 Yanbo Xu , Alind Khare , Glenn Matlin , Monish Ramadoss , Rishikesan Kamaleswaran , Chao Zhang , Alexey Tumanov

This paper explores the application of Machine Learning techniques for pricing high-dimensional options within the framework of the Uncertain Volatility Model (UVM). The UVM is a robust framework that accounts for the inherent…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-06 Ludovic Goudenege , Andrea Molent , Antonino Zanette

We address a dynamic pricing problem for airlines aiming to maximize expected revenue from selling cargo space on a single-leg flight. The cargo shipments' weight and volume are uncertain and their precise values remain unavailable at the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-09 Chengyu Du , Fang He , Xi Lin

Pricing algorithms have demonstrated the capability to learn tacit collusion that is largely unaddressed by current regulations. Their increasing use in markets, including oligopolistic industries with a history of collusion, calls for…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-26 Paul Friedrich , Barna Pásztor , Giorgia Ramponi

We introduce a fast and flexible Machine Learning (ML) framework for pricing derivative products whose valuation depends on volatility surfaces. By parameterizing volatility surfaces with the 5-parameter stochastic volatility inspired (SVI)…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-30 Lijie Ding , Egang Lu , Kin Cheung

With the rapid growth in the fashion e-commerce industry, it is becoming extremely challenging for the E-tailers to set an optimal price point for all the products on the platform. By establishing an optimal price point, they can maximize…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Sajan Kedia , Samyak Jain , Abhishek Sharma

This paper proposes a novel method for demand forecasting in a pricing context. Here, modeling the causal relationship between price as an input variable to demand is crucial because retailers aim to set prices in a (profit) optimal manner…

Differential machine learning (DML) is a recently proposed technique that uses samplewise state derivatives to regularize least square fits to learn conditional expectations of functionals of stochastic processes as functions of state…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-21 Arun Kumar Polala , Bernhard Hientzsch

House price valuation remains challenging due to localized market variations. Existing approaches often rely on black-box machine learning models, which lack interpretability, or simplistic methods like linear regression (LR), which fail to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-06 Paul Gümmer , Julian Rosenberger , Mathias Kraus , Patrick Zschech , Nico Hambauer

Ensemble learning is characterized by flexibility, high precision, and refined structure. As a critical component within computational finance, option pricing with machine learning requires both high predictive accuracy and reduced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-09 Zeyuan Li , Qingdao Huang

We study auction design when a seller relies on machine-learning predictions of bidders' valuations that may be unreliable. Motivated by modern ML systems that are often accurate but occasionally fail in a way that is essentially…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Ilan Lobel , Humberto Moreira , Omar Mouchtaki

In feature-based dynamic pricing, a seller sets appropriate prices for a sequence of products (described by feature vectors) on the fly by learning from the binary outcomes of previous sales sessions ("Sold" if valuation $\geq$ price, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-04 Jianyu Xu , Yu-Xiang Wang

We consider a scenario where a seller possesses a dataset $D$ and trains it into models of varying accuracies for sale in the market. Due to the reproducibility of data, the dataset can be reused to train models with different accuracies,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Jie Liu , Tao Feng , Yan Jiang , Peizheng Wang , Chao Wu

Purpose: Trading on electricity markets occurs such that the price settlement takes place before delivery, often day-ahead. In practice, these prices are highly volatile as they largely depend upon a range of variables such as electricity…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-19 Christof Naumzik , Stefan Feuerriegel

This paper discusses predictive performance and processes undertaken on flight pricing data utilizing r2(r-square) and RMSE that leverages a large dataset, originally from Expedia.com, consisting of approximately 20 million records or 4.68…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-13 Philip Wong , Phue Thant , Pratiksha Yadav , Ruta Antaliya , Jongwook Woo

In B2B markets, value-based pricing and selling has become an important alternative to discounting. This study outlines a modeling method that uses customer data (product offers made to each current or potential customer, features,…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-16 John V. Colias , Stella Park , Elizabeth Horn