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We develop a novel computational method for evaluating the extreme excursion probabilities arising from random initialization of nonlinear dynamical systems. The method uses excursion probability theory to formulate a sequence of Bayesian…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-06-08 Vishwas Rao , Romit Maulik , Emil Constantinescu , Mihai Anitescu

In a wide variety of situations, anomalies in the behaviour of a complex system, whose health is monitored through the observation of a random vector X = (X1,. .. , X d) valued in R d , correspond to the simultaneous occurrence of extreme…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-18 Maël Chiapino , Stéphan Clémençon , Vincent Feuillard , Anne Sabourin

We consider asymptotic distributions of maximum deviations of sample covariance matrices, a fundamental problem in high-dimensional inference of covariances. Under mild dependence conditions on the entries of the data matrices, we establish…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-05 Han Xiao , Wei Biao Wu

We study the descent distribution over the set of centrosymmetric permutations that avoid the pattern of length 3. Our main tool in the most puzzling case, namely, $\tau=123$ and $n$ even, is a bijection that associates a Dyck prefix of…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2009-10-14 Marilena Barnabei , Flavio Bonetti , Matteo Silimbani

We provide a near-optimal, computationally efficient algorithm for the unit-demand pricing problem, where a seller wants to price n items to optimize revenue against a unit-demand buyer whose values for the items are independently drawn…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-10-28 Yang Cai , Constantinos Daskalakis

When passing from the univariate to the multivariate setting, modelling extremes becomes much more intricate. In this introductory exposition, classical multivariate extreme value theory is presented from the point of view of multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-25 Philippe Naveau , Johan Segers

In this note, we characterize the Gompertz distribution in terms of extreme value distributions and point out that it implicitly models the interplay of two antagonistic growth processes. In addition, we derive a closed form expressions for…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-02-14 Christian Bauckhage

The three-parameter generalized extreme value distribution arises from classical univariate extreme value theory and is in common use for analyzing the far tail of observed phenomena. Curiously, important asymptotic properties of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-17 Likun Zhang , Benjamin Shaby

Let $\mathbf{X}=\{X_{n}\}_{n\geq 1}$ be a sequence of stationary Gaussian variables and suppose that only some of the random variables from $\mathbf{X}$ can be observed. In this paper, by studying the limiting properties of multidimensional…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-06 Yuan Fang , Zhongquan Tan

We study the joint distribution of descents and inverse descents over the set of permutations of n letters. Gessel conjectured that the two-variable generating function of this distribution can be expanded in a given basis with nonnegative…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2013-03-21 Mirkó Visontai

This paper studies fine-grained singular subspace estimation in the matrix denoising model where a deterministic low-rank signal matrix is additively perturbed by a stochastic matrix of Gaussian noise. We establish that the maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-27 Junhyung Chang , Joshua Cape

Exponential varieties arise from exponential families in statistics. These real algebraic varieties have strong positivity and convexity properties, familiar from toric varieties and their moment maps. Among them are varieties of inverses…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2017-05-17 Mateusz Michałek , Bernd Sturmfels , Caroline Uhler , Piotr Zwiernik

We propose a unified approach to prove general formulas for the joint distribution of an Eulerian and a Mahonian statistic over a set of colored permutations by specializing Poirier's colored quasisymmetric functions. We apply this method…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-09-25 Vassilis-Dionyssis Moustakas

We develop a unified approach to bounding the largest and smallest singular values of an inhomogeneous random rectangular matrix, based on the non-backtracking operator and the Ihara-Bass formula for general random Hermitian matrices with a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-13 Ioana Dumitriu , Yizhe Zhu

We give simple criteria to identify the exponential order of magnitude of the absolute value of the determinant for wide classes of random matrix models, not requiring the assumption of invariance. These include Gaussian matrices with…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-22 Gérard Ben Arous , Paul Bourgade , Benjamin McKenna

We consider the extreme value statistics of $N$ independent and identically distributed random variables, which is a classic problem in probability theory. When $N\to\infty$, fluctuations around the maximum of the variables are described by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-07-14 Lior Zarfaty , Eli Barkai , David A. Kessler

Let $M_n^{(k)}$ denote the $k$th largest maximum of a sample $(X_1,X_2,...,X_n)$ from parent $X$ with continuous distribution. Assume there exist normalizing constants $a_n>0$, $b_n\in \mathbb{R}$ and a nondegenerate distribution $G$ such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-06 Zuoxiang Peng , Jiaona Li , Saralees Nadarajah

The Eulerian numbers count permutations according to the number of descents. The two-sided Eulerian numbers count permutations according to number of descents and the number of descents in the inverse permutation. Here we derive some…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2012-09-28 T. Kyle Petersen

We explore the dependence structure in the sampled sequence of large networks. We consider randomized algorithms to sample the nodes and study extremal properties in any associated stationary sequence of characteristics of interest like…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-02-25 Konstantin Avrachenkov , Natalia M. Markovich , Jithin K. Sreedharan

Gaussian random fields on Euclidean spaces whose variances reach their maximum values at unique points are considered. Exact asymptotic behaviors of probabilities of large absolute maximum of theirs trajectories have been evaluated using…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-12 Sergey G. Kobelkov , Vladimir I. Piterbarg