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In multivariate extreme value analysis, the nature of the extremal dependence between variables should be considered when selecting appropriate statistical models. Interest often lies with determining which subsets of variables can take…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-19 Emma S. Simpson , Jennifer L. Wadsworth , Jonathan A. Tawn

We use extreme value theory to estimate the probability of successive exceedances of a threshold value of a time-series of an observable on several classes of chaotic dynamical systems. The observables have either a Fr\'echet (fat-tailed)…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Meagan Carney , Mark Holland , Matthew Nicol , Phuong Tran

We present the results of systematic numerical computations relating to the extreme value statistics of the characteristic polynomials of random unitary matrices drawn from the Circular Unitary Ensemble (CUE) of Random Matrix Theory. In…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-10-24 Yan V. Fyodorov , Sven Gnutzmann , Jonathan P. Keating

We revisit multivariate extreme value theory modeling by emphasizing multivariate regular variations and the multivariate Breiman Lemma. This allows us to recover in a simple framework the most popular multivariate extreme value…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-27 Zhen Wai Olivier Ho , Clement Dombry

Data-driven anomaly detection methods typically build a model for the normal behavior of the target system, and score each data instance with respect to this model. A threshold is invariably needed to identify data instances with high (or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-09 Sreelekha Guggilam , S. M. Arshad Zaidi , Varun Chandola , Abani Patra

We consider the extreme value theory of a hyperbolic toral automorphism $T: \mathbb{T}^2 \to \mathbb{T}^2$ showing that if a H\"older observation $\phi$ which is a function of a Euclidean-type distance to a non-periodic point $\zeta$ is…

For a skew normal random sequence, convergence rates of the distribution of its partial maximum to the Gumbel extreme value distribution are derived. The asymptotic expansion of the distribution of the normalized maximum is given under an…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-06 Xin Liao , Zuoxiang Peng , Saralees Nadarajah , Xiaoqian Wang

A new characterization of the exponential distribution is obtained. It is based on an equation involving randomly shifted (translated) order statistics. No specific distribution is assumed for the shift random variables. The proof uses a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-05 Santanu Chakraborty , George P. Yanev

This paper deals with the extreme value analysis for the triangular arrays, which appear when some parameters of the mixture model vary as the number of observations grow. When the mixing parameter is small, it is natural to associate one…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-17 Vladimir Panov , Ekaterina Morozova

The univariate extreme value theory deals with the convergence in type of powers of elements of sequences of cumulative distribution functions on the real line when the power index gets infinite. In terms of convergence of random variables,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-04 Gane Samb Lo , Modou Ngom , Tchilabola Abozou Kpanzou , Mouminou Diallo

In the framework of Cramer's probabilistic model of primes, we explore the exact and asymptotic distributions of maximal prime gaps. We show that the Gumbel extreme value distribution exp(-exp(-x)) is the limit law for maximal gaps between…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-30 Alexei Kourbatov

This paper investigates extreme value theory for processes obtained by applying transformations to stationary Gaussian processes, also called subordinated Gaussian processes. The main contributions are as follows. First, we refine the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-29 Shuyang Bai , Marie-Christine Duker

Computing all critical points of a monomial on a very affine variety is a fundamental task in algebraic statistics, particle physics and other fields. The number of critical points is known as the maximum likelihood (ML) degree. When the…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2022-12-21 Daniele Agostini , Taylor Brysiewicz , Claudia Fevola , Lukas Kühne , Bernd Sturmfels , Simon Telen

We establish exponential bounds for the hypergeometric distribution which include a finite sampling correction factor, but are otherwise analogous to bounds for the binomial distribution due to Le\'on and Perron (2003) and Talagrand (1994).…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-08 Evan Greene , Jon A. Wellner

Existing theory for multivariate extreme values focuses upon characterizations of the distributional tails when all components of a random vector, standardized to identical margins, grow at the same rate. In this paper, we consider the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-20 J. L. Wadsworth , J. A. Tawn

Liouville copulas, which were introduced in McNeil and Neslehova (2010), are asymmetric generalizations of the ubiquitous Archimedean copula class. They are the dependence structures of scale mixtures of Dirichlet distributions, also called…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-10 Léo R. Belzile , Johanna G. Nešlehová

We propose extreme value analogues of natural exponential families and exponential dispersion models, and introduce the slope function as an analogue of the variance function. The set of quadratic and power slope functions characterize…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-31 Bent Jørgensen , Yuri Goegebeur , José Raúl Martínez

The proposed paper discusses the problem of discrimination between close hypotheses about distributions belonging to the Gumbel maximum domain of attraction. The distinctive feature of the proposed work is using only k higher order…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-29 Igor Rodionov

Tangent numbers $T_{2n-1}$, which enumerate alternating permutations of odd length, play a prominent role in the Taylor series expansion of the tangent function $\tan(x)$. In this work, we adopt a combinatorial approach based on the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2026-03-25 Jean-Christophe Pain

The tail of a bivariate distribution function in the domain of attraction of a bivariate extreme-value distribution may be approximated by the one of its extreme-value attractor. The extreme-value attractor has margins that belong to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-14 Simon Guillotte , Francois Perron , Johan Segers
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