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We analyse optimal voting weights in two-tier voting systems. In our model, the overall population (or union) is split in groups (or member states) of different sizes. The individuals comprising the overall population constitute the first…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-28 Werner Kirsch , Gabor Toth

The constrained voter model describes the dynamics of opinions in a population of individuals located on a connected graph. Each agent is characterized by her opinion, where the set of opinions is represented by a finite sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-02 Nicolas Lanchier , Stylianos Scarlatos

Mixtures of product distributions are a powerful device for learning about heterogeneity within data populations. In this class of latent structure models, de Finetti's mixing measure plays the central role for describing the uncertainty…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-27 Yun Wei , XuanLong Nguyen

In recent years, opinion dynamics has received an increasing attention, and various models have been introduced and evaluated mainly by simulation. In this study, we introduce and study a dynamical model inspired by the so-called `bounded…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-11-07 Sergei Yu. Pilyugin , M. C. Campi

We analyze the network of relations between parliament members according to their voting behavior. In particular, we examine the emergent community structure with respect to political coalitions and government alliances. We rely on tools…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-22 Carlo Dal Maso , Gabriele Pompa , Michelangelo Puliga , Gianni Riotta , Alessandro Chessa

We explore the voter model dynamics on a directed random graph model ensemble (digraphs), given by the Directed Configuration Model. The voter model captures the evolution of opinions over time on a graph where each vertex represents an…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-10 Federico Capannoli

The voter model is a classical interacting particle system, modelling how global consensus is formed by local imitation. We analyse the time to consensus for a particular family of voter models when the underlying structure is a scale-free…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-11 John Fernley

The voting method, an ensemble approach for fundamental frequency estimation, is empirically known for its robustness but lacks thorough investigation. This paper provides a principled analysis and improvement of this technique. First, we…

Sound · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Junya Koguchi , Tomoki Koriyama

We investigate the dynamics of the voter model in which the population itself changes endogenously via the birth-death process. There are two species of voters, labeled A and B, and the population of each species can grow or shrink by the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-06-17 Deepak Bhat , Jordi Piñero , S. Redner

The voter model is a toy model of consensus formation based on nearest-neighbor interactions. A voter sits at each vertex in a hypercubic lattice (of dimension $d$) and is in one of two possible opinion states. The opinion state of each…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-11-08 Pascal Grange

This paper studies a recently proposed continuous-time distributed self-appraisal model with time-varying interactions among a network of $n$ individuals which are characterized by a sequence of time-varying relative interaction matrices.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-17 Weiguo Xia , Ji Liu , Tamer Basar , Xi-Ming Sun

In populations with community structure, the formation of consensus requires both alignment within and diffusion of beliefs across groups, processes that evolve on distinct time scales. How do modularity, asymmetry, and polarization shape…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-03-31 Madi Yerlanov , Zachary Kilpatrick , Nancy Rodriguez

The Deffuant model is a spatial stochastic model for the dynamics of opinions in which individuals are located on a connected graph representing a social network and characterized by a number in the unit interval representing their opinion.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-28 Nicolas Lanchier , Hsin-Lun Li

In elections, the vote shares or turnout rates show a strong spatial correlation. The logarithmic decay with distance suggests that a 2D noisy diffusive equation describes the system. Based on the study of U.S. presidential elections data,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-05-29 Shintaro Mori , Masato Hisakado , Kazuaki Nakayama

We analyse two-tier voting systems with voters described by a multi-group mean-field model that allows for correlated voters both within groups as well as across group boundaries. In this model voters are influenced by voters within their…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Werner Kirsch , Gabor Toth

We introduce the confident voter model, in which each voter can be in one of two opinions and can additionally have two levels of commitment to an opinion --- confident and unsure. Upon interacting with an agent of a different opinion, a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-19 D. Volovik , S. Redner

We present a model of voting behaviour based on a version of aggregated overdispersed multinomial distributions; relative to a similar model by \citet{BP86}, our model is based on more realistic assumptions and free from certain…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-11-10 Antonio Forcina

In the voter model, vertices of a graph (interpreted as voters) adopt one out of two opinions (0 and 1), and update their opinions at random times by copying the opinion of a neighbor chosen uniformly at random. This process is dual to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-25 Jhon Astoquillca

Metric distortion in social choice is a framework for evaluating how well voting rules minimize social cost when both voters and candidates exist in a shared metric space, with a voter's cost defined by their distance to a candidate. Voters…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-14 Mohak Goyal , Sahasrajit Sarmasarkar

The voter model is a classical interacting particle system modelling how consensus is formed across a network. We analyse the time to consensus for the voter model when the underlying graph is a subcritical scale-free random graph.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-02 John Fernley , Marcel Ortgiese
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