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This paper deals with optimal prediction in a regime-switching model driven by a continuous-time Markov chain. We extend existing results for geometric Brownian motion by deriving optimal stopping strategies that depend on the current…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-27 Yue Liu , Nicolas Privault

This paper presents an equilibrium model of dynamic trading, learning, and pricing by strategic investors with trading targets and price impact. Since trading targets are private, rebalancers and liquidity providers filter the child order…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-09 Xiao Chen , Jin Hyuk Choi , Kasper Larsen , Duane J. Seppi

The classical linear Black--Scholes model for pricing derivative securities is a popular model in financial industry. It relies on several restrictive assumptions such as completeness, and frictionless of the market as well as the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-23 Jose Cruz , Daniel Sevcovic

We introduce a stochastic approximation method for the solution of an ergodic Kullback-Leibler control problem. A Kullback-Leibler control problem is a Markov decision process on a finite state space in which the control cost is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-02-17 Joris Bierkens , Bert Kappen

Pricing of high-dimensional options is a deep problem of the Theoretical Financial Mathematics. In this article we present a new class of L\'{e}vy driven models of stock markets. In our opinion, any market model should be based on a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-10 Alexander Kushpel

We consider a sequential decision making problem where the agent faces the environment characterized by the stochastic discrete events and seeks an optimal intervention policy such that its long-term reward is maximized. This problem exists…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-29 Chao Qu , Xiaoyu Tan , Siqiao Xue , Xiaoming Shi , James Zhang , Hongyuan Mei

Fluctuations in stock prices are influenced by a complex interplay of factors that go beyond mere historical data. These factors, themselves influenced by external forces, encompass inter-stock dynamics, broader economic factors, various…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-12 Ambedkar Dukkipati , Kawin Mayilvaghanan , Naveen Kumar Pallekonda , Sai Prakash Hadnoor , Ranga Shaarad Ayyagari

Model-Free Reinforcement Learning has achieved meaningful results in stable environments but, to this day, it remains problematic in regime changing environments like financial markets. In contrast, model-based RL is able to capture some…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-23 Eric Benhamou , David Saltiel , Serge Tabachnik , Sui Kai Wong , François Chareyron

In many areas, such as the physical sciences, life sciences, and finance, control approaches are used to achieve a desired goal in complex dynamical systems governed by differential equations. In this work we formulate the problem of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-09 Erfan Pirmorad , Faraz Khoshbakhtian , Farnam Mansouri , Amir-massoud Farahmand

In this work, we extend deep learning-based numerical methods to fully coupled forward-backward stochastic differential equations (FBSDEs) within a non-Markovian framework. Error estimates and convergence are provided. In contrast to the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-25 Hasib Uddin Molla , Matthew Backhouse , Ankit Banarjee , Jinniao Qiu

This paper is concerned with nonlinear filtering of the coefficients in asset price models with stochastic volatility. More specifically, we assume that the asset price process $ S=(S_{t})_{t\geq0} $ is given by \[…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Jaksa Cvitanic , Robert Liptser , Boris Rozovskii

We consider particles that are conditioned to initial and final states. The trajectory of these particles is uniquely shaped by the intricate interplay of internal and external sources of randomness. The internal randomness is aptly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-13 Daniel Owusu Adu , Yongxin Chen

We introduce the use of reinforcement learning for indirect mechanisms, working with the existing class of sequential price mechanisms, which generalizes both serial dictatorship and posted price mechanisms and essentially characterizes all…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-05-07 Gianluca Brero , Alon Eden , Matthias Gerstgrasser , David C. Parkes , Duncan Rheingans-Yoo

This work provides a Deep Reinforcement Learning approach to solving a periodic review inventory control system with stochastic vendor lead times, lost sales, correlated demand, and price matching. While this dynamic program has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-30 Dhruv Madeka , Kari Torkkola , Carson Eisenach , Anna Luo , Dean P. Foster , Sham M. Kakade

We propose a predictor-corrector adaptive method for the simulation of hyperbolic partial differential equations (PDEs) on networks under general uncertainty in parameters, initial conditions, or boundary conditions. The approach is based…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Jake J. Harmon , Svetlana Tokareva , Anatoly Zlotnik

We propose a stochastic volatility model for time series of curves. It is motivated by dynamics of intraday price curves that exhibit both between days dependence and intraday price evolution. The curves are suitably normalized to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-09 Piotr Kokoszka , Neda Mohammadi , Haonan Wang , Shixuan Wang

This article considers a model for alternative processes for securities prices and compares this model with actual return data of several securities. The distributions of returns that appear in the model can be Gaussian as well as…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2008-12-02 Kyrylo Shmatov , Mikhail Smirnov

Using the concept of self-decomposable subordinators introduced in Gardini et al. [11], we build a new bivariate Normal Inverse Gaussian process that can capture stochastic delays. In addition, we also develop a novel path simulation scheme…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-10 Matteo Gardini , Piergiacomo Sabino , Emanuela Sasso

We propose a novel kinetic exchange model differing from previous ones in two main aspects. First, the basic dynamics is modified in order to represent economies where immediate wealth exchanges are carried out, instead of reshufflings or…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-07 Els Heinsalu , Marco Patriarca

As is known, an option price is a solution to a certain partial differential equation (PDE) with terminal conditions (payoff functions). There is a close association between the solution of PDE and the solution of a backward stochastic…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-15 Bing Yu , Xiaojing Xing , Agus Sudjianto