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We consider multiscale stochastic systems that are partially observed at discrete points of the slow time scale. We introduce a particle filter that takes advantage of the multiscale structure of the system to efficiently approximate the…

Computation · Statistics 2007-10-29 Anastasia Papavasiliou

There has been considerable work on reasoning about the strategic ability of agents under imperfect information. However, existing logics such as Probabilistic Strategy Logic are unable to express properties relating to information…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Chunyan Mu , Nima Motamed , Natasha Alechina , Brian Logan

This work presents a notion of strong detectability for linear time varying systems affected by unknown inputs. It is shown that this notion is equivalent to detectability of an auxiliary system without unknown inputs. This allows a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-24 Markus Tranninger , Richard Seeber , Juan G. Rueda-Escobedo , Martin Horn

This paper studies the partially observed stochastic optimal control problem for systems with state dynamics governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) that leads to an extremely large problem. First, an open-loop deterministic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-06 Dan Yu , Mohammadhussein Rafieisakhaei , Suman Chakravorty

Non-stationary systems are found throughout the world, from climate patterns under the influence of variation in carbon dioxide concentration, to brain dynamics driven by ascending neuromodulation. Accordingly, there is a need for methods…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-07-15 Kieran S. Owens , Ben D. Fulcher

This study is concerned with the problem of partial state estimation for linear time-invariant (LTI) distributed state-space systems. A necessary and sufficient condition is established in terms of a simple rank criterion involving the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Juhi Jaiswal , Thomas Berger , Nutan Kumar Tomar

This paper explores the observability and estimation capability of dynamical systems using predominantly relative measurements of the system's state-space variables, with minimal to no reliance on absolute measurements of these variables.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-29 Ioannis Raptis

This paper is the second in a series of two, and describes the current state of the art in modelling and prediction of chaotic time series. Sampled data from deterministic non-linear systems may look stochastic when analysed with linear…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Bjoern Lillekjendlie , Dimitris Kugiumtzis , Nils Christophersen

Modeling how individuals evolve over time is a fundamental problem in the natural and social sciences. However, existing datasets are often cross-sectional with each individual observed only once, making it impossible to apply traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-06 Emma Pierson , Pang Wei Koh , Tatsunori Hashimoto , Daphne Koller , Jure Leskovec , Nicholas Eriksson , Percy Liang

One of the crucial steps in scientific studies is to specify dependent relationships among factors in a system of interest. Given little knowledge of a system, can we characterize the underlying dependent relationships through observation…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-12-24 Shohei Hidaka

This work introduces a learning-enhanced observer (LEO) for linear time-invariant systems with uncertain dynamics. Rather than relying solely on nominal models, the proposed framework treats the system matrices as optimizable variables and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Hao Shu

Stochastic Spatio-Temporal processes are prevalent across domains ranging from modeling of plasma to the turbulence in fluids to the wave function of quantum systems. This letter studies a measure-theoretic description of such systems by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-25 George I. Boutselis , Ethan N. Evans , Marcus A. Pereira , Evangelos A. Theodorou

We propose a (seemingly) new computationally tractable model for multi-stage decision making under stochastic uncertainty.

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Arkadi Nemirovski

We propose predictive information, that is information between a long past of duration T and the entire infinitely long future of a time series, as a universal order parameter to study phase transitions in physical systems. It can be used,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-02-04 Martin Tchernookov , Ilya Nemenman

Modeling the time-series of high-dimensional, longitudinal data is important for predicting patient disease progression. However, existing neural network based approaches that learn representations of patient state, while very flexible, are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-21 Zeshan Hussain , Rahul G. Krishnan , David Sontag

Layered control is essential for managing complexity in large-scale systems, employing progressively coarser models at higher layers. While significant advances have been made for fully observable systems, the theoretical foundations of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-15 Charis Stamouli , Anastasios Tsiamis , George J. Pappas

We propose a unified theoretical framework for quantifying spatio-temporal interactions in a stochastic dynamical system based on information geometry. In the proposed framework, the degree of interactions is quantified by the divergence…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2016-12-08 Masafumi Oizumi , Naotsugu Tsuchiya , Shun-ichi Amari

Information theory is widely accepted as a powerful tool for analyzing complex systems and it has been applied in many disciplines. Recently, some central components of information theory - multivariate information measures - have found…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-08-30 Nicholas Timme , Wesley Alford , Benjamin Flecker , John M. Beggs

We investigate the stochastic resonance phenomenon in a physical system based on a tunnel diode. The experimental control parameters are set to allow the control of the frequency and amplitude of the deterministic modulating signal over an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Rosario N. Mantegna , Bernardo Spagnolo , Marco Trapanese

In 1980 and 1981, two pioneering papers laid the foundation for what became known as nonlinear time-series analysis: the analysis of observed data---typically univariate---via dynamical systems theory. Based on the concept of state-space…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-24 Elizabeth Bradley , Holger Kantz