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We present a numerical method for learning unknown nonautonomous stochastic dynamical system, i.e., stochastic system subject to time dependent excitation or control signals. Our basic assumption is that the governing equations for the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Yuan Chen , Dongbin Xiu

Design-based frameworks of uncertainty are frequently used in settings where the treatment is (conditionally) randomly assigned. This paper develops a design-based framework suitable for analyzing quasi-experimental settings in the social…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-17 Ashesh Rambachan , Jonathan Roth

This paper reports on the application to field measurements of time series methods developed on the basis of the theory of deterministic chaos. The major difficulties are pointed out that arise when the data cannot be assumed to be purely…

chao-dyn · Physics 2015-06-24 Thomas Schreiber

Experimental data is often affected by uncontrolled variables that make analysis and interpretation difficult. For spatiotemporal systems, this problem is further exacerbated by their intricate dynamics. Modern machine learning methods are…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-09-16 Peter Y. Lu , Samuel Kim , Marin Soljačić

This paper studies the informativity problem for reachability and null-controllability of constrained systems. To be precise, we will focus on an unknown linear systems with convex conic constraints from which we measure data consisting of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-03 Jaap Eising , M. Kanat Camlibel

We investigate the problem of monitoring partially observable systems with nondeterministic and probabilistic dynamics. In such systems, every state may be associated with a risk, e.g., the probability of an imminent crash. During runtime,…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-05-27 Sebastian Junges , Hazem Torfah , Sanjit A. Seshia

For biological experiments aiming at calibrating models with unknown parameters, a good experimental design is crucial, especially for those subject to various constraints, such as financial limitations, time consumption and physical…

Applications · Statistics 2014-07-22 Xiao Lin , Gabriel Terejanu

The paper deals with the observer design problem for a wide class of triangular time-varying nonlinear systems, with unobservable linearization. Sufficient conditions are derived for the existence of a Luenberger-type observer, when it is a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-04-17 D. Boskos , J. Tsinias

In recent years, the unified theory of information and thermodynamics has been intensively discussed in the context of stochastic thermodynamics. The unified theory reveals that information theory would be useful to understand…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-07-23 Sosuke Ito

We consider the problem of least squares parameter estimation from single-trajectory data for discrete-time, unstable, closed-loop nonlinear stochastic systems, with linearly parameterised uncertainty. Assuming a region of the state space…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-06 Seth Siriya , Jingge Zhu , Dragan Nešić , Ye Pu

We consider the problem of estimating the state and unknown input for a large class of nonlinear systems subject to unknown exogenous inputs. The exogenous inputs themselves are modeled as being generated by a nonlinear system subject to…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-02-25 Martin Corless , Ankush Chakrabarty

Observability is a modelling property that describes the possibility of inferring the internal state of a system from observations of its output. A related property, structural identifiability, refers to the theoretical possibility of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-12 Alejandro F. Villaverde

We consider optimal signalling and control of discrete-time nonlinear partially observable stochastic systems in state space form. In the first part of the paper, we characterize the operational {\it control-coding capacity}, $C_{FB}$ in…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-07-29 Charalambos D. Charalambous , Stelios Louka

The models of partially observed linear stochastic differential equations with unknown initial values of the non-observed component are considered in two situations. In the first problem, the initial value is deterministic, and in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-19 Yury A Kutoyants

We consider parameter estimation, hypothesis testing and variable selection for partially time-varying coefficient models. Our asymptotic theory has the useful feature that it can allow dependent, nonstationary error and covariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-08-20 Ting Zhang , Wei Biao Wu

The necessary information for specifying a complex system may not be completely accessible to us, i.e., to mathematical treatments. This is not to be confounded with the incompleteness of our knowledge about whatever systems or nature,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Qiuping A. Wang

This paper studies the identification of nonlinearly parameterized control systems in given experiments. Several identifiability criteria are established and an implementable algorithm is proposed for practicality with the convergence rate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-08-21 Chanying Li

We consider the synthesis of control policies for probabilistic systems, modeled by Markov decision processes, operating in partially known environments with temporal logic specifications. The environment is modeled by a set of Markov…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2012-03-07 Tichakorn Wongpiromsarn , Emilio Frazzoli

Nonlinear systems with model uncertainty are often described by stochastic differential equations. Some techniques from random dynamical systems are discussed. They are relevant to better understanding of solution processes of stochastic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2008-11-25 Jinqiao Duan

When employing non-linear methods to characterise complex systems, it is important to determine to what extent they are capturing genuine non-linear phenomena that could not be assessed by simpler spectral methods. Specifically, we are…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-22 Pedro A. M. Mediano , Fernando E. Rosas , Adam B. Barrett , Daniel Bor