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We consider the problem of estimating the common time of a change in the mean parameters of panel data when dependence is allowed between the panels in the form of a common factor. A CUSUM type estimator is proposed, and we establish first…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Lajos Horváth , Marie Hušková , Gregory Rice , Jia Wang

We consider the problem of constructing confidence intervals for the locations of change points in a high-dimensional mean shift model. To that end, we develop a locally refitted least squares estimator and obtain component-wise and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-21 Abhishek Kaul , George Michailidis

Many systems of interacting elements can be conceptualized as networks, where network nodes represent the elements and network ties represent interactions between the elements. In systems where the underlying network evolves in time, it is…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-05 Ian Barnett , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

We propose a timed and soft extension of Concurrent Constraint Programming. The time extension is based on the hypothesis of bounded asynchrony: the computation takes a bounded period of time and is measured by a discrete global clock.…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2015-10-07 Stefano Bistarelli , Maurizio Gabbrielli , Maria Chiara Meo , Francesco Santini

Inferring causal relationships from observed data is an important task, yet it becomes challenging when the data is subject to various external interferences. Most of these interferences are the additional effects of external factors on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Ruichu Cai , Xiaokai Huang , Wei Chen , Zijian Li , Zhifeng Hao

Although persistent excitation is often acknowledged as a sufficient condition to exponentially converge in the field of adaptive parameter estimation, it must be noted that in practical applications this may be unguaranteed. Recently, more…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-19 Siyu Chen , Jing Na , Yingbo Huang

We prove almost sure convergence of the maximum degree in an evolving graph model combining a growing number of local choices with sublinear preferential attachment. At each step in the growth of the graph, a new vertex is introduced. Then…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Yury Malyshkin

We study the number of isolated vertices in a preferential attachment random graph introduced by Dereich and M\"orters in 2009. In this graph model vertices are added over time and newly arriving vertices connect to older ones with…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-06 Carina Betken

In this paper, we propose a chance constrained stochastic model predictive control scheme for reference tracking of distributed linear time-invariant systems with additive stochastic uncertainty. The chance constraints are reformulated…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-07 Christoph Mark , Steven Liu

We consider the random walk attachment graph introduced by Saram\"{a}ki and Kaski and proposed as a mechanism to explain how behaviour similar to preferential attachment may appear requiring only local knowledge. We show that if the length…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-24 Chris Cannings , Jonathan Jordan

We develop a central limit theorem (CLT) for a non-parametric estimator of the transition matrices in controlled Markov chains (CMCs) with finite state-action spaces. Our results establish precise conditions on the logging policy under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-26 Ziwei Su , Imon Banerjee , Diego Klabjan

We consider the distribution of the turning point location of time series modeled as the sum of deterministic trend plus random noise. If the variables are modeled by shifted exponentials, whose location parameters define the trend, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-19 Camillo Cammarota

A change point detection procedure using the method of moment estimators is proposed. The test statistics is based on a suitable $Z$-process. The asymptotic behavior of this process is established under both the null and the alternative…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-08 Ilia Negri , Yoichi Nishiyama

We introduce a new model of competition on growing networks. This extends the preferential attachment model, with the key property that node choices evolve simultaneously with the network. When a new node joins the network, it chooses…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-10-05 Tonći Antunović , Elchanan Mossel , Miklos Z. Racz

We consider the detection and localization of change points in the distribution of an offline sequence of observations. Based on a nonparametric framework that uses a similarity graph among observations, we propose new test statistics when…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-05 Lizhen Nie , Dan L. Nicolae

Researchers faced with a sequence of candidate model specifications must often choose the best specification that does not violate a testable identification assumption. One option in this scenario is sequential specification tests:…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-25 Adam C. Sales

A biomechanical model often requires parameter estimation and selection in a known but complicated nonlinear function. Motivated by observing that data from a head-neck position tracking system, one of biomechanical models, show…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-13 Hojun You , Kyubaek Yoon , Wei-Ying Wu , Jongeun Choi , Chae Young Lim

We propose a new estimator to measure directed dependencies in time series. The dimensionality of data is first reduced using a new non-uniform embedding technique, where the variables are ranked according to a weighted sum of the amount of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-02 Payam Shahsavari Baboukani , Carina Graversen , Emina Alickovic , Jan Østergaard

In this brief note we present two new parameter identifiers whose estimates converge in finite time under weak interval excitation assumptions. The main novelty is that, in contrast with other finite-convergence time (FCT) estimators, our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Romeo Ortega , Alexey Bobtsov , Nikolay Nikolaev

Complex systems can be characterized by classes of equivalency of their elements defined according to system specific rules. We propose a generalized preferential attachment model to describe the class size distribution. The model…