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We analyze a dynamic random undirected graph in which newly added vertices are connected to those already present in the graph either using, with probability $p$, an anti-preferential attachment mechanism or, with probability $1-p$, a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-11 Umberto De Ambroggio , Federico Polito , Laura Sacerdote

We study the problem of detecting a common change point in large panel data based on a mean shift model, wherein the errors exhibit both temporal and cross-sectional dependence. A least squares based procedure is used to estimate the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-26 Monika Bhattacharjee , Moulinath Banerjee , George Michailidis

This paper considers inference for conditional moment inequality models using a multiscale statistic. We derive the asymptotic distribution of this test statistic and use the result to propose feasible critical values that have a simple…

Applications · Statistics 2015-12-10 Timothy B. Armstrong , Hock Peng Chan

This paper considers nonparametric estimation and inference in first-order autoregressive (AR(1)) models with deterministically time-varying parameters. A key feature of the proposed approach is to allow for time-varying stationarity in…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-04 Donald W. K. Andrews , Ming Li

We define a class of growing networks in which new nodes are given a spatial position and are connected to existing nodes with a probability mechanism favoring short distances and high degrees. The competition of preferential attachment and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-18 Emmanuel Jacob , Peter Mörters

We consider estimation and inference in a linear model with endogenous regressors where the parameters of interest change across two samples. If the first-stage is common, we show how to use this information to obtain more efficient…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-26 Bertille Antoine , Otilia Boldea , Niccolo Zaccaria

Study of time series data often involves measuring the strength of temporal dependence, on which statistical properties like consistency and central limit theorem are built. Historically, various dependence measures have been proposed. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-16 Fang Han , Weibiao Wu

The paper establishes the central limit theorems and proposes how to perform valid inference in factor models. We consider a setting where many counties/regions/assets are observed for many time periods, and when estimation of a global…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-22 Stanislav Anatolyev , Anna Mikusheva

Growing-dimensional data with likelihood unavailable are often encountered in various fields. This paper presents a penalized exponentially tilted likelihood (PETL) for variable selection and parameter estimation for growing dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-09 Nian-Sheng Tang , Xiao-Dong Yan , Pu-Ying Zhao

It is quite common that the structure of a time series changes abruptly. Identifying these change points and describing the model structure in the segments between these change points is of interest. In this paper, time series data is…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-18 Lijing Ma , Andrew Grant , Georgy Sofronov

Non-asymptotic central limit theorem (CLT) rates play a central role in modern machine learning and operations research. In this paper, we study CLT rates for multivariate dependent data in Wasserstein-$p$ ($W_p$) distance, for general…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Yixuan Zhang , Qiaomin Xie

In this paper we study the setting where features are added or change interpretation over time, which has applications in multiple domains such as retail, manufacturing, finance. In particular, we propose an approach to provably determine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-02 Amit Dhurandhar , Steve Hanneke , Liu Yang

A network growth mechanism based on a two-step preferential rule is investigated as a model of network growth in which no global knowledge of the network is required. In the first filtering step a subset of fixed size $m$ of existing nodes…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-10 Hrvoje Stefancic , Vinko Zlatic

We consider the problem of efficient inference of the Average Treatment Effect in a sequential experiment where the policy governing the assignment of subjects to treatment or control can change over time. We first provide a central limit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-05 Thomas Cook , Alan Mishler , Aaditya Ramdas

We propose an empirical estimator of the preferential attachment function $f$ in the setting of general preferential attachment trees. Using a supercritical continuous-time branching process framework, we prove the almost sure consistency…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-26 Fengnan Gao , Aad van der Vaart , Rui Castro , Remco van der Hofstad

We study properties of some standard network models when the population is split into two types and the connection pattern between the types is varied. The studied models are generalizations of the Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi graph, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-17 Maria Deijfen , Robert Fitzner

A new partial functional linear regression model for panel data with time varying parameters is introduced. The parameter vector of the multivariate model component is allowed to be completely time varying while the function-valued…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-18 Dominik Liebl , Fabian Walders

We introduce a novel preferential attachment model using the draw variables of a modified P\'olya urn with an expanding number of colors, notably capable of modeling influential opinions (in terms of vertices of high degree) as the graph…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-15 Somya Singh , Fady Alajaji , Bahman Gharesifard

Latent variable models are an elegant framework for capturing rich probabilistic dependencies in many applications. However, current approaches typically parametrize these models using conditional probability tables, and learning relies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-10-19 Ankur P. Parikh , Le Song , Mariya Ishteva , Gabi Teodoru , Eric P. Xing

Change point detection (CPD) aims to locate abrupt property changes in time series data. Recent CPD methods demonstrated the potential of using deep learning techniques, but often lack the ability to identify more subtle changes in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Tim De Ryck , Maarten De Vos , Alexander Bertrand