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Crossing of fitted conditional quantiles is a prevalent problem for quantile regression models. We propose a new Bayesian modelling framework that penalises multiple quantile regression functions toward the desired non-crossing space. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-21 David Kohns , Tibor Szendrei

This paper investigates the identification of quantiles and quantile regression parameters when observations are set valued. We define the identification set of quantiles of random sets in a way that extends the definition of quantiles for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-10 Arie Beresteanu , Yuya Sasaki

A collection of quantile curves provides a complete picture of conditional distributions. Properly centered and scaled versions of estimated curves at various quantile levels give rise to the so-called quantile regression process (QRP). In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-25 Shih-Kang Chao , Stanislav Volgushev , Guang Cheng

This paper proposes a nonparametric multivariate density forecast model based on deep learning. It not only offers the whole marginal distribution of each random variable in forecasting targets, but also reveals the future correlation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-28 Zichao Meng , Ye Guo , Wenjun Tang , Hongbin Sun

Mean-field variational methods are widely used for approximate posterior inference in many probabilistic models. In a typical application, mean-field methods approximately compute the posterior with a coordinate-ascent optimization…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-03-14 Chong Wang , David M. Blei

In this paper, we discuss a family of robust, high-dimensional regression models for quantile and composite quantile regression, both with and without an adaptive lasso penalty for variable selection. We reformulate these quantile…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-29 Matthew Pietrosanu , Jueyu Gao , Linglong Kong , Bei Jiang , Di Niu

We revisit the model of heteroscedastic extremes initially introduced by Einmahl et al. (JRSSB, 2016) to describe the evolution of a non stationary sequence whose extremes evolve over time and adapt it into a general extreme quantile…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-06 Benjamin Bobbia , Clément Dombry , Davit Varron

We establish a statistical learning theoretical framework aimed at extrapolation, or out-of-domain generalization, on the unobserved tails of covariates in continuous regression problems. Our strategy involves performing statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-15 Stephan Clémençon , Nathan Huet , Anne Sabourin

The paper introduces a new regression model designed for situations where both the response and covariates are non-stationary extremes. This method is specifically designed for situations where both the response variable and covariates are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-26 Amina El Bernoussi , Mohamed El Arrouchi

Recent advances in operations research and machine learning have revived interest in solving complex real-world, large-size traffic control problems. With the increasing availability of road sensor data, deterministic parametric models have…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-19 Iaroslav Kriuchkov , Timo Kuosmanen

We continue studies of the uncertainty quantification problem in emission tomographies such as PET or SPECT when additional multimodal data (e.g., anatomical MRI images) are available. To solve the aforementioned problem we adapt the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-03 Fedor Goncharov , Éric Barat , Thomas Dautremer

A multivariate quantile regression model with a factor structure is proposed to study data with many responses of interest. The factor structure is allowed to vary with the quantile levels, which makes our framework more flexible than the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-22 Shih-Kang Chao , Wolfgang Karl Härdle , Ming Yuan

We present a recursive algorithm for multi-coefficient inversion in nonlinear Helmholtz equations with polynomial-type nonlinearities, utilizing the linearized Dirichlet-to-Neumann map as measurement data. To achieve effective recursive…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-09-09 Shuai Lu , Boxi Xu

The non-relativistic version of the multi-temporal quantization scheme of relativistic particles in a family of non-inertial frames (see hep-th/0502194) is defined. At the classical level the description of a family of non-rigid…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2009-11-11 David Alba

We are concerned with obtaining well-calibrated output distributions from regression models. Such distributions allow us to quantify the uncertainty that the model has regarding the predicted target value. We introduce the novel concept of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-16 Hao Song , Tom Diethe , Meelis Kull , Peter Flach

In this paper for the first time the nonparametric autoregression estimation problem for the quadratic risks is considered. To this end we develop a new adaptive sequential model selection method based on the efficient sequential kernel…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-10 Ouerdia Arkoun , Jean-Yves Brua , Serguei Pergamenshchikov

Nonparametric curve estimation by kernel methods has attracted widespread interest in theoretical and applied statistics. One area of conflict between theory and application relates to the evaluation of the performance of the estimators.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Olaf Gefeller , Nils Lid Hjort

This paper introduces a novel nonparametric criterion for determining the appropriate number of clusters, which is derived from the spatial median. The method is constructed to reconcile two competing objectives of cluster analysis: the…

Computation · Statistics 2025-09-26 Hend Gabr , Brian H Willis , Mohammed Baragilly

We introduce the concept of pattern graphs--directed acyclic graphs representing how response patterns are associated. A pattern graph represents an identifying restriction that is nonparametrically identified/saturated and is often a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-04 Yen-Chi Chen

This paper develops a method to construct uniform confidence bands for a nonparametric regression function where a predictor variable is subject to a measurement error. We allow for the distribution of the measurement error to be unknown,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-17 Kengo Kato , Yuya Sasaki