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Multi-type Markov point processes offer a flexible framework for modelling complex multi-type point patterns where it is pertinent to capture both interactions between points as well as large scale trends depending on observed covariates.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-15 Ib Thorsgaard Jensen , Jean-François Coeurjolly , Rasmus Waagepetersen

Quantile regression is a technique to estimate conditional quantile curves. It provides a comprehensive picture of a response contingent on explanatory variables. In a flexible modeling framework, a specific form of the conditional quantile…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-08-31 Vladimir Spokoiny , Weining Wang , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

This paper proposes a non-centered parameterization based infinite-dimensional mean-field variational inference (NCP-iMFVI) approach for solving the hierarchical Bayesian inverse problems. This method can generate available estimates from…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Jiaming Sui , Junxiong Jia

Kernel design for Multi-output Gaussian Processes (MOGP) has received increased attention recently. In particular, the Multi-Output Spectral Mixture kernel (MOSM) arXiv:1709.01298 approach has been praised as a general model in the sense…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-21 Matías Altamirano , Felipe Tobar

We propose a way of transforming the problem of conditional density estimation into a single nonparametric regression task via the introduction of auxiliary samples. This allows leveraging regression methods that work well in high…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-25 Alexander G. Reisach , Olivier Collier , Alex Luedtke , Antoine Chambaz

It is common in machine learning to estimate a response $y$ given covariate information $x$. However, these predictions alone do not quantify any uncertainty associated with said predictions. One way to overcome this deficiency is with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-25 Chancellor Johnstone , Eugene Ndiaye

In this article a flexible Bayesian non-parametric model is proposed for non-homogeneous hidden Markov models. The model is developed through the amalgamation of the ideas of hidden Markov models and predictor dependent stick-breaking…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-05-10 Abhra Sarkar , Anindya Bhadra , Bani K. Mallick

The increasing availability of multiple network data has highlighted the need for statistical models for heterogeneous populations of networks. A convenient framework makes use of metrics to measure similarity between networks. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-09 Francesco Barile , Simón Lunagómez , Bernardo Nipoti

In this paper we study multivariate ranks and quantiles, defined using the theory of optimal transport, and build on the work of Chernozhukov et al.(2017) and Hallin et al.(2021). We study the characterization, computation and properties of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-06 Promit Ghosal , Bodhisattva Sen

Parallel tempering (PT) methods are a popular class of Markov chain Monte Carlo schemes used to sample complex high-dimensional probability distributions. They rely on a collection of $N$ interacting auxiliary chains targeting tempered…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-28 Saifuddin Syed , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

We present a method of parameter estimation for large class of nonlinear systems, namely those in which the state consists of output derivatives and the flow is linear in the parameter. The method, which solves for the unknown parameter by…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-16 Simon Kuang , Xinfan Lin

Several causal parameters in short panel data models are functionals of a nested nonparametric instrumental variable regression (nested NPIV). Recent examples include mediated, time varying, and long term treatment effects identified using…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-02 Isaac Meza , Rahul Singh

We study mixture of linear regression (random coefficient) models, which capture population heterogeneity by allowing the regression coefficients to follow an unknown distribution $G^*$. In contrast to common parametric methods that fix the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Hansheng Jiang , Adityanand Guntuboyina

This paper develops a class of Bayesian non- and semiparametric methods for estimating regression curves and surfaces. The main idea is to model the regression as locally linear, and then place suitable local priors on the local parameters.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-26 Nils Lid Hjort

We introduce a new method for the estimation of the angular parameters [i.e., central directions of arrival (DOAs) and angular spreads] of multiple non-circular and incoherently-distributed (ID) sources and thoroughly analyze its…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-01-07 Sonia Ben Hassen , Faouzi Bellili , Abdelaziz Samet , Sofiène Affes

Probabilistic time series forecasting predicts the conditional probability distributions of the time series at a future time given past realizations. Such techniques are critical in risk-based decision-making and planning under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-07 Xinyi Wang , Meijen Lee , Qing Zhao , Lang Tong

Quantile-based classifiers can classify high-dimensional observations by minimising a discrepancy of an observation to a class based on suitable quantiles of the within-class distributions, corresponding to a unique percentage for all…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-23 Marco Berrettini , Christian Hennig , Cinzia Viroli

Inverse problems and, in particular, inferring unknown or latent parameters from data are ubiquitous in engineering simulations. A predominant viewpoint in identifying unknown parameters is Bayesian inference where both prior information…

Computation · Statistics 2022-08-31 Vahid Keshavarzzadeh , Robert M. Kirby , Akil Narayan

Neural processes are a family of probabilistic models that inherit the flexibility of neural networks to parameterize stochastic processes. Despite providing well-calibrated predictions, especially in regression problems, and quick…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-04 Peiman Mohseni , Nick Duffield , Bani Mallick , Arman Hasanzadeh

This article deals with the analysis of high dimensional data that come from multiple sources (experiments) and thus have different possibly correlated responses, but share the same set of predictors. The measurements of the predictors may…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-01 Guorong Dai , Ursula U. Müller , Raymond J. Carroll
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