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The algorithmic Markov condition states that the most likely causal direction between two random variables X and Y can be identified as that direction with the lowest Kolmogorov complexity. Due to the halting problem, however, this notion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-23 Kailash Budhathoki , Jilles Vreeken

The increasing scale of graph datasets has significantly improved the performance of graph representation learning methods, but it has also introduced substantial training challenges. Graph dataset condensation techniques have emerged to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Huaming Du , Yijie Huang , Su Yao , Yiying Wang , Yueyang Zhou , Jingwen Yang , Jinshi Zhang , Han Ji , Yu Zhao , Guisong Liu , Hegui Zhang , Carl Yang , Gang Kou

Organizations increasingly rely on predictive models to decide who should be targeted for interventions, such as marketing campaigns, customer retention offers, or medical treatments. Yet these models are usually built to predict outcomes…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-24 Carlos Fernández-Loría , Yanfang Hou , Foster Provost , Jennifer Hill

We introduce an operator-theoretic framework for analyzing directional dependence in multivariate time series based on order-constrained spectral non-invariance. Directional influence is defined as the sensitivity of second-order dependence…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-10 Alejandro Rodriguez Dominguez

This article seeks to advance coded compressed sensing (CCS) as a practical scheme for unsourced random access. The original CCS algorithm features a concatenated structure where an inner code is tasked with support recovery, and an outer…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-10-23 Jamison R. Ebert , Vamsi K. Amalladinne , Jean-Francois Chamberland , Krishna R. Narayanan

Chance-constrained programming (CCP) is one of the most difficult classes of optimization problems that has attracted the attention of researchers since the 1950s. In this survey, we focus on cases when only a limited information on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-15 Simge Küçükyavuz , Ruiwei Jiang

Continuous response variables often need to be transformed to meet regression modeling assumptions; however, finding the optimal transformation is challenging and results may vary with the choice of transformation. When a continuous…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-19 Yuqi Tian , Bryan E. Shepherd , Chun Li , Donglin Zeng , Jonathan J. Schildcrout

Anomaly detection in multi-variate time series (MVTS) data is a huge challenge as it requires simultaneous representation of long term temporal dependencies and correlations across multiple variables. More often, this is solved by breaking…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Theivendiram Pranavan , Terence Sim , Arulmurugan Ambikapathi , Savitha Ramasamy

In the fundamental statistics course, students are taught to remember the well-known saying: "Correlation is not Causation". Till now, statistics (i.e., correlation) have developed various successful frameworks, such as Transformer and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-11-22 Ning Xu , Yifei Gao , Hongshuo Tian , Yongdong Zhang , An-An Liu

When dealing with real-world optimization problems, decision-makers usually face high levels of uncertainty associated with partial information, unknown parameters, or complex relationships between these and the problem decision variables.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-01 Antonio Alcántara , Carlos Ruiz

Most neural models of causality assume static causal graphs, failing to capture the dynamic and sparse nature of physical interactions where causal relationships emerge and dissolve over time. We introduce the Causal Process Framework and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Turan Orujlu , Christian Gumbsch , Martin V. Butz , Charley M Wu

Multivariate time series in domains such as finance, climate science, and healthcare often exhibit long-term trends, seasonal patterns, and short-term fluctuations, complicating causal inference under non-stationarity and autocorrelation.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-29 Muhammad Hasan Ferdous , Md Osman Gani

This paper clarifies a fundamental difference between causal inference and traditional statistical inference by formalizing a mathematical distinction between their respective parameters. We connect two major approaches to causal inference,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-29 Muye Liu , Jun Xie

At the crossway of machine learning and data analysis, anomaly detection aims at identifying observations that exhibit abnormal behaviour. Be it measurement errors, disease development, severe weather, production quality default(s) (items)…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-06 Romain Valla , Pavlo Mozharovskyi , Florence d'Alché-Buc

Time series domain adaptation aims to transfer the complex temporal dependence from the labeled source domain to the unlabeled target domain. Recent advances leverage the stable causal mechanism over observed variables to model the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Ruichu Cai , Junxian Huang , Zhenhui Yang , Zijian Li , Emadeldeen Eldele , Min Wu , Fuchun Sun

This is a paper in the intersection of time series analysis and complexity theory that presents new results on permutation complexity in general and permutation entropy in particular. In this context, permutation complexity refers to the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-08 J. M. Amigó , R. Dale , P. Tempesta

Ordinal Patterns are a time-series data analysis tool used as a preliminary step to construct the Permutation Entropy which itself allows the same characterization of dynamics as chaotic or regular as more theoretical constructs such as the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2021-02-24 I. Gunther , Arjendu K. Pattanayak , Andrés Aragoneses

Aiming at the binary classification of functional data, we propose the continuum centroid classifier (CCC) built upon projections of functional data onto one specific direction. This direction is obtained via bridging the regression and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Zhiyang Zhou , Peijun Sang

Causal discovery from observational data is an important tool in many branches of science. Under certain assumptions it allows scientists to explain phenomena, predict, and make decisions. In the large sample limit, sound and complete…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-13 Shami Nisimov , Yaniv Gurwicz , Raanan Y. Rohekar , Gal Novik

We consider continuous-time survival or more general event-history settings, where the aim is to infer the causal effect of a time-dependent treatment process. This is formalised as the effect on the outcome event of a (possibly…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-23 Kjetil Røysland , Pål Ryalen , Mari Nygård , Vanessa Didelez
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