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This paper presents a predictive coding account of obsessive-compulsive disorder (OCD). We extend the predictive coding model to include the concept of a 'formal narrative', or temporal sequence of cognitive states inferred from sense data.…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-09 P. J. Moore

The coupling complexity index is an information measure introduced within the framework of ordinal symbolic dynamics. This index is used to characterize the complexity of the relationship between dynamical system components. In this work,…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-15 Roberto Monetti , José María Amigó , Thomas Aschenbrenner , Wolfram Bunk

The concept of Granger causality is increasingly being applied for the characterization of directional interactions in different applications. A multivariate framework for estimating Granger causality is essential in order to account for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-04 Angeliki Papana , Elsa Siggiridou , Dimitris Kugiumtzis

We investigate lossy compression (source coding) of data in the form of permutations. This problem has direct applications in the storage of ordinal data or rankings, and in the analysis of sorting algorithms. We analyze the rate-distortion…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Da Wang , Arya Mazumdar , Gregory Wornell

A regression model is proposed for the analysis of an ordinal response variable depending on a set of multiple covariates containing ordinal and potentially other variables. The proportional odds model (McCullagh (1980)) is used for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-25 Javier Espinosa , Christian Hennig

In this paper, a new class of circulant matrices built from deterministic sequences is proposed for convolution-based compressed sensing (CS). In contrast to random convolution, the coefficients of the underlying filter are given by the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-11 Kezhi Li , Lu Gan , Cong Ling

Granger causality (GC), a popular statistical method for the inference of directional influences between time series measured from a complex network, is sensitive to high-order (non-pairwise) interactions which fundamentally shape the…

We propose conformal predictive programming (CPP), a framework to solve chance constrained optimization problems, i.e., optimization problems with constraints that are functions of random variables. CPP utilizes samples from these random…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-06 Yiqi Zhao , Xinyi Yu , Matteo Sesia , Jyotirmoy V. Deshmukh , Lars Lindemann

Causal Structure Learning (CSL), also referred to as causal discovery, amounts to extracting causal relations among variables in data. CSL enables the estimation of causal effects from observational data alone, avoiding the need to perform…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-12 Fabrizio Russo , Francesca Toni

Causal structure learning from observational data remains a non-trivial task due to various factors such as finite sampling, unobserved confounding factors, and measurement errors. Constraint-based and score-based methods tend to suffer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-09 Rezaur Rashid , Jawad Chowdhury , Gabriel Terejanu

In many real-world scenarios, it is crucial to be able to reliably and efficiently reason under uncertainty while capturing complex relationships in data. Probabilistic circuits (PCs), a prominent family of tractable probabilistic models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-14 Zhongjie Yu , Martin Trapp , Kristian Kersting

Predicting the effect of interventions with many possible variations, e.g., therapeutic content that affects mental health outcomes or an earnings call transcript that drives movement in share price, is useful across several domains.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Nikita Dhawan , Arnav Paruthi , Andrew Kim , Lovedeep Gondara , Jekaterina Novikova , Chris J. Maddison

This paper studies causal discovery in irregularly sampled time series-a key challenge in risk-sensitive domains like finance, healthcare, and climate science, where missing data and inconsistent sampling frequencies distort causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Weihong Li , Baohong Li , Anpeng Wu , Zhihan Li , Ming Ma , Keting Yin , Kun Kuang

This paper adapts a Multiple-Model Coding (MMC) approach for sampled electrical signal waveforms to satisfy reconstructed signal quality constraints. The baseline MMC approach consists of two stages processing vectors of Voltage and Current…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-14 Corentin Presvôts , Michel Kieffer , Thibault Prevost

Recent studies have demonstrated that correntropy is an efficient tool for analyzing higher-order statistical moments in nonGaussian noise environments. Although it has been used with complex data, some adaptations were then necessary…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-06-16 João P. F. Guimarães , Aluisio I. R. Fontes , Joilson B. A. Rego , Allan de M. Martins

Clustering is an unsupervised learning technique that is useful when working with a large volume of unlabeled data. Complex dynamical systems in real life often entail data streaming from a large number of sources. Although it is desirable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-20 Sin Yong Tan , Homagni Saha , Margarite Jacoby , Gregor P. Henze , Soumik Sarkar

Identifying causality behind complex systems plays a significant role in different domains, such as decision making, policy implementations, and management recommendations. However, existing causality studies on temporal event sequences…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Sujia Zhu , Yue Shen , Zihao Zhu , Wang Xia , Baofeng Chang , Ronghua Liang , Guodao Sun

Causal discovery with time series data remains a challenging yet increasingly important task across many scientific domains. Convergent cross mapping (CCM) and related methods have been proposed to study time series that are generated by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Kurt Butler , Daniel Waxman , Petar M. Djurić

Change point detection (CPD) and anomaly detection (AD) are essential techniques in various fields to identify abrupt changes or abnormal data instances. However, existing methods are often constrained to univariate data, face scalability…

Monitoring key elements of disease dynamics (e.g., prevalence, case counts) is of great importance in infectious disease prevention and control, as emphasized during the COVID-19 pandemic. To facilitate this effort, we propose a new…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-10 Lin Ge , Yuzi Zhang , Lance A. Waller , Robert H. Lyles
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